Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24

[johncam]

2 minutes ago, NorthYorksWeather said:

Yes Dalwhinnie now showing -9 instead of -12c. Almost cancelled the holiday when I saw that! The snow symbols always seem to become less and less. Thankfully the computer generated apps are useless in a convective flow from experience from back home with snow showers moving off the North Sea. 

We have went from-6 to -2 and no   ice days now , aw well mabye next time 

[NorthYorksWeather]

2 minutes ago, johncam said:

We have went from-6 to -2 and no   ice days now , aw well mabye next time 

I think the one of the issues for low minimas this week is the wind doesn’t look like it will let up. Ideally you’d want light winds under slack flow with snow cover on ground which doesn’t look likely as it stands. 

[Big Gally]

18 minutes ago, johncam said:

We have went from-6 to -2 and no   ice days now , aw well mabye next time 

It is still going to feel raw. The temps still showing -3. I also think the gfs has the low nailed on. It has picked up signals before most models recently. The icon has started to side with the gfs. Hopefully things flip back to cold before next weekend.

[M1245]

How’s Tuesday looking for the Central belt?

[NorthYorksWeather]

1 hour ago, Big Gally said:

It is still going to feel raw. The temps still showing -3. I also think the gfs has the low nailed on. It has picked up signals before most models recently. The icon has started to side with the gfs. Hopefully things flip back to cold before next weekend.

Indeed. -13 850hpa temps lingering off the North coast. Really is going to feel Baltic.  

[Bullseye]

Found the latest WRF 6z run interesting, only runs out to 36hr but has hinted at some showers getting far south as central belt and SW - noticed this for around midnight into early hours of tonight and then again around late afternoon tomorrow, which I have attached. 

Edited January 13 by Bullseye

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Upon seeing statements that would lead anyone to believe a drastic change had occured with our upcoming setup IT HAS NOT. 

Entirely fitting to my thoughts from 8 days ago 

On 05/01/2024 at 20:01, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Looking to the end of January week 2 into Mid month through roughly 5--6 days to have the most significant cold upper and lower temperatures 

Jan 15th - 21st was always probable for the most severe conditions 

[Big Gally]

5 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Upon seeing statements that would lead anyone to believe a drastic change had occured with our upcoming setup IT HAS NOT. 

Entirely fitting to my thoughts from 8 days ago 

Jan 15th - 21st was always probable for the most severe conditions 

The latest Exeter update is interesting! Extended update winds coming from the north or east.

Edited January 13 by Big Gally

[Glaswegianblizzard]

2 hours ago, johncam said:

We have went from-6 to -2 and no   ice days now , aw well mabye next time 

Let’s see what happens. It could be right and it’s not as severe as forecast, but I think these events can begin to appear changeable the closer we get.

[Hawesy]

Ground frost this morning but still no January air frost. Hopefully that drought will be ended tomorrow evening!

Spent the day in Edinburgh and it’s been very pleasant with some sun, light winds and 7c this afternoon.

 

[Big Gally]

Icon gives us 2 shots at snow on Tuesday now! First one arriving rush hour and the next coming in around 19:00. Bring it on!

[NorthYorksWeather]

4 minutes ago, Big Gally said:

Icon gives us 2 shots at snow on Tuesday now! First one arriving rush hour and the next coming in around 19:00. Bring it on!

Yes just saw that. Here’s the GIF 

 

Edited January 13 by NorthYorksWeather

[Big Gally]

Just now, NorthYorksWeather said:

Yes just saw that. Here’s the GIF if it works. 

https://images.meteociel.fr/im//7903/animqbv8.gif 79

 

[thebigyin]

Interesting options later next week...stop it big yin, here and now...

Still felt cold this morning and not as taps aff as i expected,  slightly milder feel early afternoon. Now temp 5c, td 3c here, temp dropping 0.5c/hrs. Light breeze swinging more NNW. Ground still clinging on to a bit of frost. Birds fed.

[Big Gally]

Gfs and icon are starting to look good!! Probably all change come monday . 

[lorenzo]

[jon_d1983]

Well the new temporary fence to keep the dog from jumping over the wall is up!! Morning was rather pleasant with a gentle breeze and felt rather mild working away, but boy has it got chilly in the last hour or so. Fire on and a coffee to heat up. Couple of drizzly showers this afternoon too, but looks like we might get a few showers later tonight just to get the excitement juices flowing for Monday

Edited January 13 by jon_d1983

[Bullseye]

Not sure if worth anything but both ICON and GFS 12z runs this afternoon keep the colder upper temperature holding on longer at end of week (Friday/Saturday) compared to earlier runs. 

[Ruzzi]

3 hours ago, johncam said:

We have went from-6 to -2 and no   ice days now , aw well mabye next time 

Wait til you see this John, you'll pish your frillies ..... the ice days are coming back 

Coatbridge ...

-5C's in there for minima aswell plus 2 ice days over the next 4 days for you. MetO generally slightly over estimates temps too, especially the night time minima temps. 

[Northernlights]

One of those in between cod spells sort of days. Quite a bit of retained snow above 2000feet on the hills.  Dreich dull damp with a maximum temperature of 6c which is not cold neither is it mild  able to fall easily to freezing  when cooler air arrives. Delivering lots of hay to horses this afternoon.

[Norrance]

Warmer today here too with the frost slowly lifting but not gone completely and hard underneath. Briefly reached 5C and now back to 3.5C with a light northerly breeze.

[Bats32]

Lovely evening in the south west tonight, cold, crisp with a nice pink sunset. Noticeably lighter too now which has cheered my spirits before the Atlantic enslaught in a week or so.

[Stormeh]

Looking forward to the cold weather over the coming week. Very hard to forecast where any snow will fall, I think it will be a matter of looking at the radar as anything can pop up at the last minute out of nowhere in these situations. It certainly looks like the north west will get a good amount of snow but fingers crossed we all see something decent over the coming days before the Atlantic fires up. 

[Halfamilefromnowhere]

Cold raw wind as dusk slinks in with temps slowly sinking down to 3.3C with light drizzle plus odd burst of rain.  Winds slowly freshening from the NW.

[Hairy Celt]

Just dropped below 5C now after a pretty crappy dreich afternoon. I doubt we'll see 5C again for a few days, good riddance for now.