Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24

[skifreak]

The monkey is now resident on CairnGorm, so no risk to weather instruments in the NW. 

 

[dryfie]

Sincere apologies that my peurile attempt at humour in conjoining escaped monkey/temperature extremes has been so badly received.  When the reports were adjacent on every newscast it was too much to resist.  My apologies to any monkeys who may have been offended.

[Hairy Celt]

-1.5C this morning, plenty of hoar frost. The forecast suggests this may be the last frost for quite a while!

[Quinach]

Very cold morning, -5c at 7am but rising now to -3.9c.

Clear blue skies and calm conditions.

Alas no sunrise to match the sunset yesterday...

[jon_d1983]

probably got him In to fix the funicular

Edited January 30 by jon_d1983

[Northernlights]

-2c to start the day ground frozen pretty hard otherwise bright blue sunny skies  really nice midwinter day with a moderate wind  Days streetching allowing me to do a few jobs outside.  this afternoon. Not too sure about tomorrow though!!!!!!

[Hairy Celt]

That squall line tomorrow could be quite exciting...

[Northernlights]

4 minutes ago, Hairy Celt said:

That squall line tomorrow could be quite exciting...

No it won"t hoping to lift neeps tomorrow    .If we can   just get s few loads before it comes along that will do

[Hairy Celt]

How do I revert to the old way of quoting someone's post?

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Wind warnings out for tomorrow certainly strongest across the Western Isles pushing into the Northwest probably over toward the Great Glen with somewhat of a weakening as the front moves southeast across Scotland though still gusts topping 50+ mph.

Nice posts by @Jo Farrow as storm Ingunn develops and heads into Scandinavia, this is feedback from recent MJO phase progression which can be seen with phases 4 , 5 and 6 in particular for January 

following this cold front we'll have some colder air coming in again most significant for the Northwest & North with some snow for the Northwest 

Not sure who in here has read my recent posts 

 

 

 

''Following on from this as the preceeding MJO phases input begins to feed into the setups from week 4 of Jan onward the above remains true with further developments.

Looks like this initial cut off low will develop into a +PNA during the very end of Jan"

As the positive PNA feedback progresses eastward pairing with the MJO patterns I've covered in depth, a +PNA does have a tendency of being supportive for Atlantic ridging / blocking which moves in the direction of Greenland and in connection to a trough further east ie Scandinavia, Baltic regions which gives a doorway for something cooler > colder from the north.''

'Though I'm not putting a massive amount of emphasis into exact timeframes from my POV ATM it's looking favoured for this by approx February 4th / 5th and starting to see a possible redux around 1 week later ie 11th / 12th February.'

I do expect we'll have the PNA getting more into a negative setup during week 1 of Feb into the first part of week 2 with feedback of MJO phase 6 

 

 

With the influence of more of a -PNA paired to MJO phase 6 I'd not be shocked seeing potential for a storm as the associated troughing crosses the UK between February 8th > 12th

 

As mentioned in my posts lately heading into the 2nd half of February quite the tasty setups loom with a re emerging positive PNA pairing to MJO phases 6 and 7 

Truly spoilt for choice in February we've got the ongoing stratospheric warming which increases in strength during half 1 of Feb incoming too 

 

[Hairy Celt]

Nasty blustery wind this morning with the rain just starting. Could be an indoors day!

[Hairy Celt]

Strongest winds of the winter so far. The trees are roaring and the firth is a sea of foam on long waves - and this is just from the short fetch from Inverness.

Somehow I doubt Snakey will make it over the hills...

 

Edited January 31 by Hairy Celt

[Quinach]

1 hour ago, Hairy Celt said:

Somehow I doubt Snakey will make it over the hills...

Twas a impressive squall line earlier on for sure...

Dry at the moment with even some hints of the sun breaking through the Aberdeenshire Permagloom™; theoretically mild at 7.5c but sure doesn't feel like it in the wind.

Very gusty SW winds causing chaos with the bins locally (these days collections always seem to coincide with a wind warning....)

[Hairy Celt]

 Quinach We just caught the end of the line I think - 5 mins of torrential rain, with the street like a river briefly.

[Northernlights]

Worst windstorm of the winter today. I was blown over by one big gust 

Big spruce left uncut because thought to near power lines downed by wind this morning blocking farm road Just hit fence and dyke. Another bill for reinstatement. Lots of exposed trees in partially cut wood being blown down or snapped with a sound like a shotgun     Harvester  and forestry squad  cleared tree off farm round within an hour after it fell. Taken out in sections branches removed in wood so little mess in grass field.

Rain on now so neep lifting stopped but managed  a nice little store in.

[jellybaby1969]

This actually seems worse than the named storms from the  other week..certainly the mean wind speed feels a lot higher and cold rain smacking you right in the coupon. No wonder our mummy spaniel didnae fancy a walk....I wish the other 2 were the same.

[Snowandrocks]

Currently sitting in Dundee "enjoying" a McDonalds for lunch before continuing home towing a big box trailer. It's fully loaded to 3.5T so in no real danger of being blown over but it's still going to be a slow and steady trundle up the A90 and round the Aberdeen bypass. 

It's quite blustery with occasional spells of driving rain here but nothing massively out of the ordinary so far - sounds worse further north. 

[Ross B]

 jellybaby1969  I decided it was a good idea to go for a run at lunchtime and had the rain stinging my face, the wind felt that it was pushing be backwards at one point 

 

The squall line just went through here with absolutely torrential rain for a minute or two and with that the wind speeds have reduced down.

[Bats32]

Ok,ok had enough of winter and the wind and rain. Can we get to the spring and summer now? Was there rain warnings out for today? There's been some amount fallen here's lots of local flooding. Wind hasn't been anything special though.

Edited January 31 by Bats32

[Ross90]

Wasn't too bad in the central belt at least compared to the last two storms. 40 - 50mph winds and a lot of rain but nothing severe.

[Northernlights]

Much calmer now but temperature now 2c and odd bits of wet snow..what a day of contrasts. Wintry looking sunset  just now 

[Northernlights]

Proper snow shower on just now.

[mardatha]

Absolute worst one yet, even as far south as you can get without ending up in that other place .. Huge bangs and thuds and I couldnt even open the window to see what was happening. When I opened the front door the wind blew me up the hall And hellish rain with it. Getting a wee bit tired of this noo.

Edited January 31 by mardatha

[Snowandrocks]

Oh well, that was a bit of an anticlimax, nothing more than a bit blowy on the more exposed bits of the bypass Must have timed it well and missed the worst. 

[Hairy Celt]

 Ross90 Different worlds!!!

Apologies. I still haven't figured out how to do a proper quote.

Edited January 31 by Hairy Celt