What heatwave would you like to see? [REQUEST]

[CryoraptorA303]

 Summer8906  In the May 2034 election, a government with a party leader deeply interested in meterology was elected. The Met Office saw its budget tripled in a mini-budget in November 2034, and the Met Office began a program to open "tens of new automatic weather stations" across the country, particularly in areas felt to have "unacceptably low levels of coverage" and "areas of special interest". So far, 14 brand new stations have been opened in areas with previously very low coverage, and six more areas that previously had a weather station designated as "climatically important" were reopened. The Met Office has stated it is looking into even more suitable areas to open new stations, and is open to suggestions by the public. Allegations of corruption were levied, as the Prime Minister's home area of Ilford received two new stations, and another station in nearby Havering, and his teenage-years county of Kent received both the reopening of Gravesend and the addition of Tudeley, when East Malling was already covering this area, however these choices have been defended as areas of "microclimatary and historical relevance".
 

After a humid but warm spring, the overall forecast is for the humid conditions to continue. Thundery, but also warm to hot conditions are expected.

"June 2035":
1st: 24.4°C Cheltenham
2nd: 25.3°C St James's Park
3rd: 26.6°C Cromer
4th: 23.6°C Bude
5th: 25.6°C Chivenor
6th: 30.7°C Cheltenham
7th: 29.9°C Heathrow, Pershore
8th: 32.6°C Wellesbourne
9th: 28.2°C Gravesend
10th: 22.7°C Tudeley
11th: 21.1°C Aboyne
12th: 24.6°C Kinloss
13th: 28.8°C Kinlochew
14th: 30.6°C Chivenor
15th: 26.7°C Valentine's Park
16th: 31.9°C Cheltenham
17th: 32.2°C Benson
18th: 33.6°C Rainham Marsh
19th: 32.5°C Wisley
20th: 34.0°C Otterbourne Waterworks
21st: 31.4°C Tudeley
22nd: 32.0°C Salisbury
23rd: 34.3°C Cheltenham
24th: 31.2°C Hainault Forest
25th: 27.9°C Weybourne
26th: 22.3°C Greenwich
27th: 21.9°C Eastbourne
28th: 24.8°C Rainham Marsh
29th: 25.5°C Gogerddan
30th: 25.4°C Whitchurch

Overall, June 2035 was the fifth-hottest on record, with the most notable June heatwave of the 21st century and the longest since 1976. However, the current 21st century record of 34.5°C set during the 2017 heatwave was not beaten. However, June 23rd was still the seventh-hottest June day on record. The relative lack of severe June heatwaves in recent history has perplexed meterologists somewhat, as both May (34.9°C) and September (35.9°C) have reached higher temperatures in this century. The Met Office also used this heatwave as proof of the station expansion being cost-effective: "Had we not established Cheltenham early this year, we would've missed out on that 34.3°C reading, as the next highest was 33.9°C at Otterbourne Waterworks". It was also noted how prominent some of the other new arrivals were.

Despite the heat, June was not particularly dry, being nationally around 30% drier than average. There were several thundery breakdowns, with the south coast in particular seeing intense thunderstorm activity in the aftermath of the 10-day heatwave. Scotland saw the highest anomaly, with it being overall 60% drier than average.

July is expected to continue the humid, hot conditions with a prominent Azores high over Europe.

"July 2035":
1st: 25.1°C Wiggonholt
2nd: 25.3°C Heathrow
3rd: 28.4°C Gravesend
4th: 21.2°C Blackpool
5th: 23.5°C St James's Park
6th: 26.4°C Oxford, Swindon
7th: 29.5°C Swindon
8th: 28.9°C Heathrow
9th: 30.9°C Middle Wallop
10th: 26.5°C Gravesend
11th: 23.1°C Seavington
12th: 24.5°C Cheltenham
13th: 23.9°C Kew Gardens
14th: 28.7°C Hainault Forest
15th: 27.4°C Faversham
16th: 24.3°C St James's Park
17th: 25.8°C Weybourne
18th: 24.9°C East Malling
19th: 29.6°C Wiggonholt
20th: 32.3°C Crawley
21st: 33.8°C Tudeley
22nd: 33.2°C Faversham
23rd: 33.5°C Cavendish
24th: 32.4°C Coningsby
25th: 27.4°C Hull
26th: 25.8°C Greenwich
27th: 26.3°C Uckfield
28th: 26.5°C Wiggonholt
29th: 29.0°C Otterbourne Waterworks
30th: 26.2°C Bognor Regis
31st: 21.3°C Donna Nook

While not as hot as June, July is still the thirteenth-warmest on record. It was wetter than average on the west coast with frequent storms passing by, average on the south-central coast with it being caught in occasional stormy breakdowns, and drier than average across the Midlands and South East. Kent in particular saw a 70% drier than average July, with Faversham seeing only 26% of normal precipitation. Further north saw relatively average rainfall. Overall high temperatures were not reached due to the inability of the Azores high to draw hot enough air through to the UK. 33.8°C was reached on the 21st at Tudeley which is around what can be expected for July, if a little below average. Despite being the thirteenth-warmest, July was not too far above 2001-2030 averages, simply because of how high the average bar now is. The Met Office has stated that aside from freak events like the September 2034 cold snap, most months can now be expected to be at least the twentieth-warmest on record, just by being average by 2001-2030 climatology.

With many Netweather users worried that August will be a lot more unsettled due to having an Azores high presence for two months now, mid-term forecasts continued with the hot, humid conditions. Very early in the month, mid-terms began to suggest a notable heatwave, possibly seeing 36-37°C in Kent, however later mid-terms went with a more moderate 33-34°C run.

August:
1st: 24.7°C Cheltenham
2nd: 32.5°C Otterbourne Waterworks, Wiggonholt
3rd: 33.7°C Wiggonholt
4th: 34.2°C Crawley
5th: 34.6°C Beckenham
6th: 34.7°C Rainham Marsh
7th: 31.4°C Tudeley, Frittenden
8th: 32.6°C Walthamstow Wetlands
9th: 34.5°C Crawley
10th: 34.3°C Greenwich
11th: 34.8°C Gravesend
12th: 30.7°C Lingwood, Faversham
13th: 26.2°C Walthamstow Wetlands
14th: 28.5°C High Beach
15th: 22.8°C Manston
16th: 24.4°C Manston
17th: 25.3°C Cavendish
18th: 25.1°C Faversham
19th: 24.1°C Beckenham
20th: 25.2°C Dursley
21st: 21.2°C Armagh
22nd: 23.0°C Kew Gardens
23rd: 26.1°C Tudeley, East Malling
24th: 26.5°C Faversham
25th: 21.2°C St James's Park
26th: 21.9°C Heathrow
27th: 23.5°C Manston
28th: 25.4°C Langdon Bay
29th: 25.2°C Herstmonceux
30th: 25.5°C Uckfield, Frittenden
31st: 23.9°C Wiggonholt

As predicted, August had a notable heatwave in the first half, seeing 11 consecutive days above 30°C and two runs above 34°C. While the annual maximum of 34.8°C at Gravesend on the 11th is around average, it is still quite notable to see temperatures this high for over a week. After the heatwave, August became much more average, and saw quite a few stormy spells. Overall it was nationally wetter than average, but still drier in the southeast quarter of the country.

As a whole, Summer 2035 was very warm, and very humid, being slightly wetter than average. For those who dislike heat, this summer is hated for its constant humidity, however others praise it for the balance of storms and heat.

It is the fifth warmest summer in the CMU, being above 2031 but below 2024 (hottest to coolest):

Summer 2025
Summer 2033
Summer 2026
Summer 2024
Summer 2035
Summer 2031
Summer 2034
Summer 2028
Summer 2027
Summer 2029
Summer 2030
Summer 2032

Overall in the entire series since the 19th century it'd be something like the fifteenth-warmest summer.

[SnowBear]

Nothing over 30°c, I have to work in it. Ideally 24-26°c as that's the best temp I find for hand coach painting. 

[CryoraptorA303]

 Summerlover2006 After a dry autumn 2035, an average winter and a very settled spring, there are now fears that a hot summer could cause water shortages. Summer 2035 while humid was also really warm and wasn't all that useful for groundwater. A few Netweather users muse about the convenience that this would be the 30th anniversary of the 2006 heatwaves...

After a fairly settled June that doesn't see much in the way of extremes barring the odd 32.8°C day at Raunds on the 17th, mid-terms have been suggesting a huge Azores plume that would see a prolonged heatwave in the UK. More Netweather users are now warming up (pun intended) to the idea of a 2006 30th anniversary run.

The heatwave continues to verify, and the nation braces for impact...

"July 2036" heatwave:
1st: 28.6°C Usk
2nd: 32.2°C Wiggonholt
3rd: 32.8°C Uckfield
4th: 32.5°C Salisbury
5th: 32.7°C Fontmell Magna
6th: 33.6°C Crawley
7th: 34.5°C Wisley
8th: 34.1°C Chivenor
9th: 35.6°C Cheltenham
10th: 35.5°C Crawley
11th: 35.2°C Wiggonholt
12th: 34.9°C Hainault Forest
13th: 35.4°C Harwarden Bridge
14th: 37.3°C Pershore
15th: 39.6°C Cheltenham
16th: 37.5°C Tudeley, Kew Gardens
17th: 34.8°C Cambridge
18th: 35.1°C Valentine's Park
19th: 32.7°C Porthmadog
20th: 33.4°C Harwarden Bridge
21st: 34.4°C Moulton Park
22nd: 36.7°C Raunds
23rd: 33.2°C Coningsby
24th: 32.5°C Weybourne, Cromer
25th: 32.8°C Shoeburyness

With temperatures staying above average until the end of the month, July 2036 has defeated July 2033 as the hottest on record, with a CET of 21.6°C, vs 2033's 21.2°C, the fourth month overall to achieve a CET above 20°C, but just missing out on being the second subtropical CET month. This makes it second to only August 2026. It overall has defeated August 2026's record for consecutive days above 32.2°C, although August 2026's streak above 30°C remains undefeated. While July 2036 has not approached the hottest few days on record or reached 40°C, which is what the Met Office defines as "extreme heat", Cheltenham has set an all-time record for the South West, defeating the 39.4°C recorded at Hartpury College during August 2026. Netweather users also noted the irony of Raunds matching its 1911 all-time record on the 22nd.

Although August threatened another round of high temperatures as it reached 33.5°C at Kew Gardens on the 5th, the Azores high was pushed south at the last moment and August ended up far more average. Because of this, summer 2036 as a whole was not record-breakingly hot, and ended up as the fifth-hottest in the CMU, ranking behind 2024 and ahead of the previous year, 2035 (hottest to coolest):

Summer 2025
Summer 2033
Summer 2026
Summer 2024
Summer 2036
Summer 2035
Summer 2031
Summer 2034
Summer 2028
Summer 2027
Summer 2029
Summer 2030
Summer 2032

Out of interest, here is what the 10 hottest days table looks like as of 2036:

I didn't realise it until now but July 15th 2036 is actually our first 39°C day on record Looks like we're also missing a 41°C day. I wonder what 2037 and beyond will bring...

[CryoraptorA303]

 SnowBear

After the hot summer of 2036 that saw a new all-time record for the South West, courtesy of Cheltenham, the autumn and winter were relatively benign.

However, a large Azores high has established in Europe going into March, and the UK is now in the grip of seriously unseasonable weather:

"March 2037":

1st: 17.9°C St James's Park
2nd: 17.5°C Gogerddan
3rd: 16.6°C Rhyl
4th: 18.9°C Santon Downham
5th: 21.8°C St James's Park
6th: 21.6°C Tudeley
7th: 17.3°C Virginstow
8th: 17.6°C Crawley
9th: 19.3°C Crawley
10th: 18.2°C Crawley
11th: 14.3°C Chivenor
12th: 17.2°C Cheltenham
13th: 20.6°C Cheltenham
14th: 23.2°C Heathrow
15th: 24.7°C Valentine's Park
16th: 24.9°C Greenwich
17th: 25.3°C Tudeley, Beckenham
18th: 20.2°C Faversham
19th: 20.4°C Wiggonholt
20th: 21.3°C Raunds
21st: 21.8°C Coventry
22nd: 20.8°C Coningsby
23rd: 22.6°C Pershore
24th: 24.2°C Cambridge
25th: 25.8°C Wisley
26th: 25.4°C Valentine's Park
27th: 26.7°C Cavendish
28th: 24.8°C Gravesend
29th: 23.7°C Weybourne
30th: 20.6°C Donna Nook
31st: 18.6°C St James's Park

The UK has experienced it's warmest, sunniest and fourth-driest March on record. As well as that, it has finally broken the all-time March record from 1968, first marginally on the 25th, before Cavendish smashed it on the 27th. Netweather users are absolutely delighted with the March nature has dealt them this year, however a few stragglers give warnings that extremely warm Marches rarely come with warm or hot summers.

This is how the all-time highs by month table now stands as of March 2037:

The June record is the final pre-21st century record remaining. How long will its record last?

Out of universe note: I'm sorry that this wasn't a summer spell, however to keep the realism, there is no way I can have a summer that doesn't exceed 26°C; not even a nuclear winter could do that by 2037. So instead I had to get a bit... creative as to how I approached this request. I hope this is sufficient

Another out of universe note: If you're a bit confused as to exactly what the Crawley entries refer to, this is the station that is normally referred to as Charlwood in Surrey. However, this is a misdesignation, as the weather station is actually just south of the border in West Sussex, so it's not actually in Charlwood. I tried to find a decent local name, and Ifield seemed to be the closest one, however I couldn't find anything definitive so I just went with Crawley.

Edited March 11 by CryoraptorA303

[Summerlover2006]

 CryoraptorA303 is this  forum only for heatwaves or can we do cold waves as well ??

[Wade]

A 6 week heatwave of maxes of 33 degrees Celsius, low humidity and a decent overnight storm event every 4 or 5 nights (I know that's a tall order for the UK) but you never know what nature might do this summer, that's part of the fun of it, nobody knows.

[LetItSnow!]

Feel free to kick me out at this point, but I had an idea to take different portions of notably bad summers and stitch them together BUT not in terms of putting the poorest parts together. More so, starting with June 1st, 1903 and looking at the weather patterns, and when the weather pattern changes, then go ahead to the next notoriously bad summer (1907) and so forth, so it's basically randomised with a die loaded towards a poor summer in this case. It's a pretty lengthy one but you enjoy these and I love seeing them come to life.  As always, get your creative hat on with stats and such (remain realistic as possible). Here's what this summer would look like. Ideally this should be 2037 to take place after 2036 but I may be too late.

 

June 1st-6th: High pressure dominating though centred to our west into the mid-Atlantic with a very gentle NE flow from the north-east. Low pressure around the Bay of Biscay.

 

June 7th-16th: Increasingly low pressure forces high pressure southward and eastward, meanwhile a strong high pressure over the Barents Sea forms. Low pressure dominated but with often southerly influences so Atlantic dominated but occasionally humid and thundery.

 

June 17th-28th: Low pressure in the Atlantic becomes even more vigorous with unusually deep depressions in from the Atlantic. High pressure begins to weaken to our north-east so the lows are able to pass through and allow cooler air from a northerly quadrant at times.

 

June 29th-July 3rd: A more benign period as low pressure tracks eastward into Central Europe and fizzles out while high pressure reestablishes itself in the mid-Atlantic. Winds generally from a N/NE direction.

 

July 4th- 8th: Weak troughs remain dominant as high pressure remains displaced to our west and flabby lows remain situated over and to our east. Winds generally from a N/NE direction still.

 

July 9th-19th: A strong low in the Atlantic forces the mid-Atlantic block southward and winds revert to a westerly direction. Generally unsettled with low pressure systems frequently affecting the country, but now with higher pressure to the south and occasional very warm/humid sectors.

 

July 20th-25th: Any warm and humid air gets shunted away to our east as a cooler airmass reestablishes itself. Cool air meeting humid (though not overly hot) air causes a widespread thundery spell on the 22nd and 23rd with some severe thunderstorm potential almost anywhere in the country.

 

July 26th-August 7th: Very low pressure dominated with unusually frequent and vigorous Atlantic storms bringing mostly cool westerlies, but also occasional warm sectors at times, though probably with a lot of cloud and rain so no heatwaves.

 

August 8th-21st: Low pressure tends to centre more to our north-west so turning even cooler, though the Atlantic remains just as vigorous with many low pressure systems, some very deep and only brief pulses of warm air.

 

August 22nd-25th: Low pressure clears into the Low Countries and leaves an unusually cool northerly feed of air.

 

August 26th-September 1st: Unusually deep low pressure to our north-east at times with a very cool north/northeasterly flow dominating. Showery, unusually cool airmass. High pressure remains to our west/northwest. High pressure, longer nights and cool airmass mean the capacity for some unusually chilly nights.

 

September 2nd-8th: A gradual slip south of high pressure allows one solitary very warm day that’s warmer than almost the entire summer (but it’s not an extreme heat spike) but it’s a one day wonder as it’s generally very autumnal as the westerlies get going and further unusually deep depressions track over the country.

 

September 9th-14th: Atlantic dominated with further depressions. An unusually vigorous low pressure systems gives the deepest pressure ever recorded in the UK in the month of September during the 14th and crosses in an unusual fashion as it moves NW-SE and becomes cut off over France.

 

September 15th-18th: The low gradually fills but remains stuck over the south-east, so while the damaging winds are over, the heavy rain isn’t. This leads to an exceptional rain event that occurs on already sodden ground. Torrential rain causes catastrophic flooding over much of England, mostly in the east and south. Rivers burst their banks and millions worth of damage occurs. It becomes a weather event remarked amongst the likes of October 1987, January 1953 etc.

 

September 19th-30th: As if though the weather gods had felt guilty, high pressure builds as the low pressure fizzles out and the rest of the month sees high pressure dominating, often over the country. It’s the only spell of high pressure domination all summer and comes far too late for any meaningful warmth and far too late for any summer holidays. Still, it brings some warm and sunny days but some lovely chilly nights.

[Summer8906]

 LetItSnow! Interesting, which was the bad summer which was like that from September 19th-30th? Sounds a bit like 1986?

[LetItSnow!]

 Summer8906 The 19th-30th I just took from 1972. I try to make them vague as possible as I don't want carbon copy repeats, just loose analogues. The very wet spell September was 1968. I try to make them mesh. I've just completed the same thing but for hot summers and I'm afraid to post to be greedy and overwork @CryoraptorA303but I think I've made the best summer ever!

[CryoraptorA303]

 Summerlover2006 Well, as this has now evolved into a full-on storyline, I'd like it to be at least semi-plausible, so by 2037 cold is going to be rapidly receding from the UK. However, there's still the aftereffects from the explosion winter, so maybe this will allow for some occasional notable cold snaps, like the historic September 2034 cold snap. Also, we will just every now and then be in the firing line for cold air, so cold spells will sometimes happen anyway. Feel free to suggest cold spells as long as it's plausible. Probably no record breaks, I don't see that happening unless it's a ridiculously rare event that would've seen something silly like -30°C or lower in pre-1980. I'd hate to stifle anyone's creativity though, go ahead

Speaking of cold snaps, I had to actually check if September 2034 broke any records. It didn't, but it got bloody close and must rank in the 10 coldest September nights ever, and probably the coldest second or third in England considering the coldest temp was seen in Santon Downham. In that respect it's on the scale of December 2010 in terms of anomaly.

Also a reminder to everyone that the pre-CMU winter records all still stand. You're allowed to request winter warm spells as well

 Wade After the March 2037 warm spell, the UK remained under persistent heights and experienced its driest March-May period on record. Temperatures remained respectable with no serious heat spikes. That is, until the end of May. The Sun was getting strong, and the heights were persisting. To make matters worse, Iberia was dealing with a serious drought, and had seen persistently drier than average conditions since 2022. The last average rainfall year was 2032, and the last average or wetter than average month was February 2034. By now the ground was completely parched there, and most importantly for the UK, southerly flows were receiving absolutely no challenge in southern Europe before reaching our shores. With the UK now seeing very dry conditions, it's a recipe for disaster. Predictably, a serious heatwave began right at the beginning of June.

"June 2037":

1st: 33.4°C St James's Park
2nd: 33.5°C Valentine's Park
3rd: 33.6°C Raunds
4th: 33.9°C Santon Downham
5th: 33.8°C Heathrow
6th: 34.6°C Benson
7th: 34.3°C Swindon
8th: 34.6°C Fontmell Magna
9th: 34.3°C Cheltenham
10th: 35.2°C Cheltenham
11th: 35.3°C Cheltenham
12th: 35.2°C Cheltenham
13th: 34.6°C Cheltenham
14th: 33.2°C Heathrow
15th: 33.7°C Valentine's Park
16th: 33.9°C Wisley
17th: 33.3°C Beckenham
18th: 33.2°C Frittenden
19th: 34.4°C Wiggonholt
20th: 34.3°C Raunds
21st: 34.8°C Wellesbourne
22nd: 34.8°C Coningsby
23rd: 35.6°C Pershore
24th: 36.2°C Cambridge
25th: 36.8°C Wisley
26th: 36.4°C Walthamstow Wetlands
27th: 36.7°C Kew Gardens
28th: 37.6°C Wittering
29th: 37.3°C Cambridge
30th: 34.6°C Cromer
31st: 33.6°C Gravesend

June 2037 has been described as the most extreme month ever experienced in the UK, smashing all previous heatwave records, including the all-time June high. The Met Office described it as a heatwave of "satanic" proportions. Overall June 2037 is the hottest month ever recorded in the UK, achieving a CET of 22.4°C, defeating August 2026, although it did not reach the same temperature extremes. It was also the driest month ever recorded, even drier than August 2032, recording an average of just 3.2mm of rainfall nationwide. Most of the rainfall came from light showers that occasionally brushed past East Anglia overnight. A record level of dry thunder was also reported over the month. Meteorologists credit the remarkably low humidity all month for the inability of an intense thunderstorm to break out and end the heatwave. A severe drought has been declared as water tables reach historic lows, rivalling those reached during the 1976 and 1995 heatwaves.

However, our story doesn't end here, as the heatwave refused to call it a day even after destroying every possible record in the book, bar absolute all-time heat records. Try not to give it ideas

"July 2037" heatwave continuation:

1st: 33.2°C Crawley
2nd: 33.5°C Caterham
3rd: 33.1°C Wisley
4th: 33.9°C Wiggonholt
5th: 33.7°C Frittenden
6th: 34.1°C Beckenham
7th: 34.7°C Greenwich
8th: 34.5°C Kew Gardens
9th: 34.2°C Beckenham
10th: 34.9°C Rainham Marsh
11th: 35.5°C Tudeley
12th: 36.3°C Rainham Marsh, Gravesend
13th: 36.6°C Gravesend
14th: 36.2°C Faversham

And so, after six consecutive weeks above 33°C, the humidity builds and the heatwave finally comes to an explosive end, with exceptionally severe thunderstorms touring the UK. Some areas receive over 1,000mm in a single day, and experience dire flash flooding of such extreme proportions than in some areas, local geography is permanently changed. Over the course of severe drought and record flash flooding, it is estimated that the damage to agriculture and infrastructure will cost several tens of billions over the next few years.

The rest of summer remained mild and wet, and July 2037 was both the fifth-warmest, and the wettest on record. After this, the UK enters a deep wet spell which lasts into 2038. It is yet to be seen whether the wet spell will endure and make next summer a total misery. It was the events of this year that woke many people up to the severity of climate change and what is now becoming possible due to it, although meterologists warn that it is likely the aftereffects of the explosion winter are still a non-negligible factor in extreme weather, and the current Super La Nina event, which has now lasted two years and provided the strongest La Nina on record with an anomaly of -2.2°C in Nino region 3.4, is most likely encouraging extreme events globally. The Super La Nina is currently projected to continue into 2038 and become a triple La Nina.

Summer 2037, perhaps the most bipolar summer ever, ended up predictably average overall. It is the new sixth-warmest summer in the CMU, behind 2036 and ahead of 2035 (hottest to coolest):
 

Summer 2025 (AnnMx: 40.4°C South Farnborough, Otterbourne Aug 10th, Faversham, East Malling Aug 11th)
Summer 2033 (AnnMx: 38.7°C Cambridge Jul 25th)
Summer 2026 (AnnMx: 42.8°C East Malling Aug 10th)
Summer 2024 (AnnMx 35.8°C Coventry Jul 23rd)
Summer 2036 (AnnMx: 39.6°C Cheltenham Jul 15th)
Summer 2037 (AnnMx: 37.6°C Wittering Jun 28th)
Summer 2035 (AnnMx: 34.8°C Gravesend Aug 11th)
Summer 2031 (AnnMx: 33.6°C Wittering Jul 21st)
Summer 2034 (AnnMx: 31.7°C East Malling Aug 11th)
Summer 2028 (AnnMx: 29.9°C Coton-in-the-Elms Jul 10th)
Summer 2027 (AnnMx: 33.7°C Bedford Jul 15th)
Summer 2029 (AnnMx: 34.9°C Manston May 29th)
Summer 2030 (AnnMx: 31.6°C Frittenden, Hull Apr 13th)
Summer 2032 (AnnMx: 35.9°C Faversham, Sep 7th)

The average annual maximum for the whole series is 35.8°C, and the average annual maximum for 2024-2034, the first decade of the series, is 35.0°C. For comparison, 2013-2023 had an average annual maximum of 34.4°C.

Fun fact: While writing this particular scenario, I had "It's the End of the World as we Know it" playing in the background

 LetItSnow! Uh oh, is the all-time record under threat in 2039?

Feel free to keep posting requests, if I can't complete it all then I'll complete them tomorrow

Also to everyone, a reminder to suggest new stations for the "Met Office" to consider opening

Edited March 11 by CryoraptorA303

[LetItSnow!]

As you wish! Tried to leave it vague as always as I didn't want a carbon copy of times past so you can let your imagination  choose locations of storms, temperatures etc. No craziness like 2037 though  I actually was laughing all the way through that. 30C every day in June and then 1000mm in a single day??? Permanently changed geography??? I'm just going to pretend I didn't hear that!!!

 

May 2039

 

1st-7th: Unsettled with unusually deep low pressure systems from the Atlantic on a southerly tracking jet stream. Occasional plumes of warm, unstable air from the south.

 

8th-11th: The blocking high across Greenland intensifies. Low pressure clears east and cuts off the warm, humid airmass. Potential for extreme rainfall, thunderstorms, hail, mist and low cloud.

 

12th-18th: Low pressure dominated with winds often from a northerly quadrant. Often quite weak lows and meander for days and bring lots of showery weather. Still a risk for severe thunderstorms, mist and low cloud.

 

19th-25th: High pressure establishes though mostly within quite cool air. A chance of some warm and sunny days as the high becomes more UK-centred.

 

26th-29th: The ridge retrogresses once again to let rather tame northerlies. A risk of mostly light showers and cloudy weather, particularly in the east.

 

June 2039

 

30th-June 9th: High pressure becoming an established force ridging from the mid-Atlantic up to Scandinavia. Weaker pressure to and over the south at times bringing the risk of cloud, rain and severe thunderstorms. Generally becoming warm to very warm away from the cloud.

 

10th-21st: Low pressure to the south becoming explosive and intensifying into a deep UK low and generally becoming a very unsettled period. Starting very warm to hot but temperatures gradually moderating. High risk of severe thunderstorms, hail, flooding and tornados at this time.

 

22nd-28th: Pressure raises and eventually a plume of very hot and humid air gradually encroaches from the southeast with the 20C line making into the south-east. High pressure remaining dominant over Scandinavia with south-easterly winds. “Higher” pressure as pressure remains slack throughout so the risk of severe, damaging thunderstorms remains high, though more isolated than mid-month.

 

July 2039

 

29th-July 3rd: Pressure gradually increases and the storm risk dies out. A slight change of wind direction means humidity drops and it becomes more comfortable, though high pressure remains in situ, ridging right over the top of the country with uppers of 15C in the south, so unbroken sunshine and hot/very hot temperatures.

 

August 2039

 

4th-August 5th: A large, immovable anticyclone becomes lodged over north-west Europe keeping the UK under hot sunshine all month. A brief re-adjustment of the high early on gives a couple of cooler days, some broken cloud and maybe some isolated light showers, but it quickly turns hot again as high pressure becomes fully established. During this period, apart from early on, there is barely any, if any cloud at all. Mostly bone dry though with some brief but very isolated but very intense damaging thunderstorms. In this period (after the brief cooler phase) somewhere in the UK reaches at least 30C somewhere in the country. It cements July as the best summer month ever recorded in UK history.

 

6th-12th: Remaining warm to very warm but with high pressure weakening to allow generally weak pressure to dominate this period. This period is likely to bring widespread severe damaging thunderstorms.

 

13th-17th: The Atlantic breaks in after being dormant all summer, though it’s not an Atlantic onslaught. Pressure remains fairly high in the south and the depressions are fairly weak, plus with residual warmth it remains still rather warmer than average with high pressure nearby, but gives particularly northern areas much needed rainfall.

 

18th-21st: High pressure builds back in to give another hot spell, this time not as noteworthy but still with the 15C line making its way much of southern England.

 

22nd-30th: Remaining dry as high pressure continues to dominate, just slightly positioning slightly more to our west allowing slightly less hot temperatures, but remaining very warm and locally hot, though nights rather cool in places. Sunshine in abundance and virtually rainless.

 

September 2039

 

31st-September 3rd: The high pressure sinks southward allowing westerlies and low pressure in. This brings the first widespread cool and wet day in weeks.

 

4th-7th: The low pressure quickly clears allowing high pressure to reestablish over the UK and bring another spell of very warm to locally hot weather. Increasingly long nights do allow nights to remain fresh.

 

8th-16th: High pressure continues to dominate with the high mostly centred over and just to our west. Days remain very warm, even locally hot at first, but gradually cool as the high becomes UK centred and nights get longer and in some areas mist and fog begin to develop. The very dry ground from the long hot summer means nights become unusually cold and locally some ground frost is recorded, particularly in areas that are prone, leading to some large diurnal variations. Some places see cold, foggy mornings only to see very warm, sunny afternoons.

 

17th-20th: The high retrogresses to allow low pressure to develop over the country and sit over us and into the North Sea, bringing a risk of outbreaks of rain, showers, drizzle and low cloud and some very cool maxima. A taste of autumn.

 

21st-30th: High pressure pulls back westwards into the mid-Atlantic but this time allowing deep low pressure systems to graze the UK at times. Unsettled, cool at times and windy but the high pressure remaining close by to keep the south mostly safe with paltry rainfall amounts.

[CryoraptorA303]

9 hours ago, LetItSnow! said:

I actually was laughing all the way through that. 30C every day in June and then 1000mm in a single day??? Permanently changed geography??? I'm just going to pretend I didn't hear that!!!

Well, he requested six consecutive weeks above 33°C, so I had to find a way of balancing it out, as such a ridiculous run would have the humidity build to insane levels and the North Atlantic at unimaginably warm temps (not helped by the ongoing Super La Nina), so when it finally broke it was going with the most explosive end ever seen. These would probably be among the strongest supercells ever recorded on Earth.

The laws of physics were really pushed with this one, I don't think I'm doing a scenario this extreme again unless we reach, idk, 2100 when 32°C is the new 26°C. No more insane requests like these please, otherwise I'll have to become creative about it.

Btw LetItSnow!, I am working on 2038 and 2039, it's just taking a while 

Edited March 12 by CryoraptorA303

[LetItSnow!]

14 hours ago, CryoraptorA303 said:

31st: 33.6°C Gravesend

Apparently we have June 31st by 2037 

[CryoraptorA303]

 LetItSnow! Oops...

[LetItSnow!]

 

16 hours ago, LetItSnow! said:

Feel free to kick me out at this point, but I had an idea to take different portions of notably bad summers and stitch them together BUT not in terms of putting the poorest parts together. More so, starting with June 1st, 1903 and looking at the weather patterns, and when the weather pattern changes, then go ahead to the next notoriously bad summer (1907) and so forth, so it's basically randomised with a die loaded towards a poor summer in this case.

Out of interest I did this with randomised years (I went to a random number generator between 1836 and 2023) and it spawned what would be considered an absolute classic summer with bucket loads of thunder. I won't post it today but it sure will make 2040 (or 2041, 2042, 2043 etc depending on who else gets in) a very interesting one.