[b][u][u]ASWT'S SUMMER FORECAST 2012[/u][/u][/b]
[b][u][u]JUNE[/u][/u] [/b]... mostly warm and dry, with short unsettled interludes. Temperatures 0.5 to 1.5 above normal. CET 15.3C. Rainfall 55% south east to 75% north west, storms and occasional fronts providing most the rain for the SE, a mixture of fronts and showers providing rain from the NW during unsettled interludes. Sunshine 15-20% above normal.
[b][u][u]JULY[/u][/u][/b] ... cool and wet periods likely at times with warm, dry co
[b]Headline: Warm with some showers to mid week, then mostly dry but cooler[/b]
Some welcome dry, very warm and sunny weather in recent days. We all had a completely dry week just gone, the first one since March. West Wales was hot on Friday and again Saturday, reaching 28c in a few places, including Llanwnnen, and just missing out on breaking the all time May heat record of 29c for the Principality.
Cooling off this week but probably still not much in the way of rain, just hit and miss
[b]No this isn't an entry about the fall of social taboos! [/b][color=#000080]In fact I am talking about fahrenheit! This week parts of the north-east will experience temperatures in the mid 60s fahrenheit (17-19c). It doesn't sound impressive, but bear in mind temperatures have struggled to get past 12c during the last few weeks, and the brisk northerly winds have made it feel like February![/color]
[color=#000080]Happily the weather improves this week, and although those of us on the east c
[b]We're not in Kansas Anymore...[/b]
Day 10 is finally here. Our last day chasing.
SPC have a slight risk for the Plains from Oklahoma up through Kansas to Nebraska.
We set out from our base of McPherson in 40mph hot winds which soon reached 97F and headed for
the dry line.
Dry line Definition: [url="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dry_line"]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dry_line[/url]
[attachment=134491:Dry Line.jpg]
A quick stop for Breakfast and the Dow Trucks were already out a
[b]Headline: Becoming dry, warm and quite sunny! [/b]
The week just gone was not too bad overall with plenty of dry weather, if generally rather cool. Llanwnnen did manage to reach 18c on Friday though, which is a little above the May average. A total of 20mm of rain falling on Llanwnnen, and only 10mm on Coventry in the past week.
A taste of Summer on the way in the coming week (let's hope it's not the last!), with the highest temperatures since that exceptionally warm spell in March.
We began the day in Hays, Kansas.
Todays risk was far up North so the plan for the day was to drive down to Hutchingson and visit the Space Museum there where they also have an IMAX cinema showing Sean Caseys "Tornado Alley".
Temperatures today were crazy. By 2pm it had reached 93F with winds around 40mph but a really dry heat.
The drive took us through some amazing scenery and fields of crops flowing like rivers in the wind.
We visited the historic town of Claffin with its wild west fro
Thursdays Chase day began in the town of Limon Colorado, situated at 5377 ft ASL and made famous as being the site of the most gruesome lynching in American history back in 1900. Fortunately nothing quite as gruesome during our stay!
The most recent and significant Tornadic event of note was back in 1990 when a EF3 touched down west of Limon.
We woke to a pleasant change in the forecast from the Storm Prediction Centre (SPC). Even early on, distinct tops could be seen over the Rockies and
Day 7 began in Amarillo.
Initially we'd planned to drive into eastern Oklahoma, however looking at the model forecasts for Fri/Sat we decided to head North into Colorado and await developments for Western Kansas.
The drive took us through the final portion of the Texas Panhandle into a narrow strip of the Oklahoma panhandle. The land is so flat here, a playground for Tornadoes; all the towns we passed have the warning sirens in place. Railroads are key to local transportation and we saw some
Tuesday was our longest drive so far. Leaving Sonora we drove North and into the the Texas Panhandle, our first view of Tornado Alley proper.
The area is flat, towns are few and far between and skies are big.
Dust Devils can often be seen dancing in the distance across the hot and vast wide open spaces.
[attachment=134264:P1010126.JPG]
Todays weather was hot and clear. Although some convection existed towards the south, the cap held and skies quickly cleared on the drive north to Amari
Nothing could quite follow Sundays amazing day at Roswell.
Monday in Carlsbad started with a storm and heavy rain early morning.
It was all looking good. We saw Sean Casey and Brandon Ivey from Team TIV at breakfast who were also headed south to the Mexican boarder to pick up the days threat potential down there, however on the way down we passed the DOW (Doppler on Wheels) trucks headed the opposite way.
We reached Big Bend National Park and had little to no radar coverage and no internet
[font=arial,helvetica,sans-serif][b][size=4]The Roswell Mothership Supercell [/size][/b][/font]
[size=4][font=arial,helvetica,sans-serif][color=#323232]What a day![/color]
[color=#323232]Starting off this morning in Carlsbad New Mexico, we first headed north to Artesia. Here we waited patiently as a cell formed to the west over the foothills of the Rockies. It looked promising at first, but as soon as it left the sanctuary of the mountains it lost energy and collapsed.[/color][/font][/size]
[b]Headline: Cool and changeable; more rain and showers at times, with decent dry interludes. Frost risk mid week.[/b]
The dismal, cool and soggy Spring continues relentlessly. A respite from the rain this weekend but a fairly unsettled outlook for the coming week, so still no prolonged dry or warm weather as yet. In fact, more late frosts are expected in the middle of the coming week.
After a fairly sunny but windy weekend, the cloud from the next frontal system, attached to a deep low
[attachment=134128:P1000293.JPG]
Todays tour was a re-positioning day ahead of whats looking like a very promising setup for Sunday.
Our chase target for the next few days is New Mexico, and in the morning things were already looking promising.
The drive took us through parts of Western Texas then out on to the flatter plains of New Mexico, finally to Calrsbad in the evening where we enjoyed an excellent meal at local restaurant.
[attachment=134131:P1000304.JPG] [attachment=134129:P1
Day 2 began in Corpus Christi on the Gulf coast. After a night of severe storms alleged to be the worst in 20 years causing significant damage in and around Corpus Christi; Friday morning started dry and hot with temps climbing into the mid 90s.
On what initially looked to be a pretty dead day, a drive to the beach had to be done followed by a quick dip in the gulf all streamed live to whet the appetites of our growing audience of hundreds.
[attachment=134098:P1000233.JPG]
Our planned d
So then, Spring, the majority of the nations favorite season (I think!) it brings out the new insects, new leaves its all NEW NEW NEW! . We all have a secret love for spring, mainly becuase of all the new things and the house martins come back. But what I love about spring is the trees. I am a weather-lore lover, and I have been looking at the trees in my garden and going by the olde saying:-
Oak before Ash we will have a splash
Ash before Oak we will have a soak
There's just something abou
What an amazing day!
For those of you not watching the livestream, todays chase started in Irving Texas. A quick drive thru downdown Dallas, then the long drive south via Waco and Austin where the skies soon began to look interesting!
After passing through the MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) we finally reached a stream of supercells headed up from Mexico. Bang! A huge lump of hail hit the roof of the car - Just one piece but it sounded like a rock hitting.
We headed into the town of Kened
As some of you may know, we've been planning and developing mobile apps and more mobile friendly pages on the Netweather site for some time now, and are getting toward a point where we'd like to finalise an initial feature list.
Our initial apps (Iphone & Android) are planned to contain a number of features which include:
Local Weather Forecasts
Latest Local Weather Conditions
Radar (with free and Extra radar's available)
Lightning Detection (again with free and Extra available)
La
[b]Headline: Unsettled, more rain or showers at times, temperatures close to average. Looking dry next weekend.[/b]
Although overall April 2012 was the wettest on record for the UK, this was not the case at Coventry where the final amount fell just 2mm short of the all time record of 106mm, nor for Ceredigion, with Llanwnnen receiving 126mm rain compared with the 186mm that fell on Lampeter in April 1998. However, Rugby had almost three times the April average with 129mm falling, and probably
[b]Headline: Very wet and windy Sunday, then some rain or showers, but generally drier and and milder[/b]
This month is going some way to easing the water shortage in parts of the UK, and will end up one of the wettest April's on record; Llanwnnen has had over 5 inches rain so far and Rugby over 4 inches. The record for Coventry is 106mm (just over 4 inches), and so with a very wet Sunday coming up, a good chance this will become the wettest April on record.
Another low pressure system
[b]Summary[/b]
Definitely a week of contrasts there has been some very heavy snow over higher resorts in the Alps, very impressive for this time of year, and also after some resorts have closed at the end of the season. This makes a marked contrast to last season which ended much milder. The snow was though largely limited to higher slopes and it has turned milder towards the end of the week.
http://www.snow-forecast.com/pages/tips_full
Winds this week are set to come from a South Weste
Are Chelsea fantastic or what? [img]http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/forum//public/style_emoticons/default/clapping.gif[/img] Roberto di Matteo for permanent manager. Fantastic game, can't believe Messi hit the bar! [img]http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/forum//public/style_emoticons/default/laugh.png[/img]
As time goes on I am fearing that the Model Output Discussion is going to degenerate into the usual summer fare, where the UK's weather is over-simplistically divided into two types: "settled" aka "good", and "unsettled" aka "bad".
The main problem is that the desire for "settled" weather, for most people, is tied in with images of clear blue skies, warm sunshine by day, and evenings spent in the garden with the barbeque going. Of course, high pressure can bring such weather, and many of us
