Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024

[weatherobsuk]

The north of Derby cell is looking interesting

[StormLoser]

 Eagle Eye Durham City.  At 9.am it was cold, and sky layered with a very low stratocumulus - probably a fret off the sea - with sun breaking through.  Once the sky cleared, there was a very small level of convection for a period of time. But now it's a mix of sun and haze with general low level badly defined messy stratocumulus. There's very little sign of convection activity, so it would have to be imported rather than home grown.

It might change.

Edited May 3 by StormLoser

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

 Wade We had our turn last September. With that mothership churning out circa 600 strikes/min! 

[Wade]

 East_England_Stormchaser91 I can't remember that 

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

 Wade 10th September 2023. It was an absolute belter. 

[Wade]

I don't think I witnessed that, I might've been unlucky and got a gap. I know if I did get it, I would remember it. I remember having a huge night time storm in 2015.

[Lt. Dan]

 East_England_Stormchaser91 That was a nice shelf  

[StormLoser]

Durham City. It looks like my 'local high pressure' storm-killing ability has affected Durham. No change here from this morning, apart from some visible low level convection (think: pathetic level) out of the disorganised stratocumulus. There's a lot of haze, too. And a police helicopter (all the excitement is here).  However, radar shows we might get imports from the coast later on.

The borders are doing well!

Edited May 3 by StormLoser

[Windblade]

 TJS1998Tom We had light rain this morning which has downgraded to light drizzle this afternoon as well. Looking at the radar we are just underneath the rear edge of a frontal system which initially came in this morning from France but is now moving over Brussels/the Netherlands. Seems to have sucked all the energy out of the air but hopefully as it moves off tonight the air will clear ready to generate more energy for the next event.

Edited May 3 by Windblade

[Allseasons-Si]

Mmmm!!! a storm has just popped up in the north sea,you can see some nice big tops on the sat24

i wonder if it will sustain it's intensity to reach the shore and further...

Cloud radar Hoyland Nether - View live satellite images | SAT24

WWW.SAT24.COM

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View live satellite images of Hoyland Nether on the cloud radar at SAT24 and see where the sun is shining or the rain is falling.

 

Edited May 3 by Allseasons-Si

[Rufus Butterfield]

 Allseasons-Si it’ll likely die out but I’d love to eat my own words

[Wade]

Lots of strikes now coming from that cell in the North sea, anybody who lives in the middle of Mablethorpe and Grimsby may have a shout (providing it doesn't die out) as it appears it is making a v line straight towards that area.

Edited May 3 by Wade

[LIGHTNING ACTION]

 Allseasons-Si yea you can see it cast a shadow on other surrounding clouds, looking good

[Eagle Eye]

Just passed my theory test for driving. Could well be storm chasing by next year. 

[LIGHTNING ACTION]

pretty much dead sadly, but very interesting

[StormLoser]

Durham City - no luck at all today. Oh well - my curse is alive and thriving!

[Allseasons-Si]

North sea storms back on again.

[LIGHTNING ACTION]

revived 

[Southern Storm]

 Eagle Eye Congrats Eagle . when it comes to storms it's a total game changer. There is nothing worse than knowing that storms are within reach but you're stuck where you are, and with your meteorological knowledge, you'll be able to put yourself in some great spots. 

[TJS1998Tom]

If only it was Winter, imagine the snow potential this would've been coming from the East

[Eagle Eye]

Convective Outlook️ 

During the early hours of Saturday, a few intense showers may develop across NE/N Eng, Scotland which may bring a few isolated lightning strikes. A bit uncertainty how much lightning activity will be within these showers, however we suspect there could be lightning strikes at times as cape levels seem likely to sit around 200-400J/KG.

 

During the late morning / early afternoon, we should see 2 areas of interest from across parts of Scotland & SE/S England where sporadic lightning may occu

 

Showers will develop across S/SE England before tracking N/NW where further showers may develop which may bring the odd couple of isolated lightning strikes. An area of interest has been put out as most models are suggesting Cape around 300-600J/KG alongside with intense shower development. A thunderstorm or few may develop for a time within this area during the afternoon period.

 

Our attention will also focus across parts of Scotland, where Cape is also expected to be around 200-400J/KG with some models suggesting higher, however i think its safe to say this is an outlier. Heavy intense showers are expected to develop and become slowly moving across the AOI. A few lightning strikes may be embedded within these showers, possibly the odd thunderstorm. 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

 Eagle Eye

 

knew it! Saw this the other day - also monday looking ripe for thundering peels

[Jamie M]

Storm video from the other day although the audio was the main goal 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

 Jamie M

awesome! Was this to the north of the storms looking towards the south?

 

I only ask as I think usually on a typical storm moving east the southern edge is often the most active? Or I might be wrong…

 

this would potentially mean where you were considering the storm was moving in from the east you would have a view of the most intensive point of electrical activity… I think… only say this cos you had a great view into the clouds from your location.

 

All I saw was sheet lightning haha

Edited May 3 by Flash bang flash bang etc

[Supacell]

This is the footage from the 2nd May storms. A couple of things I noted

The lightning on the Eastbourne storm did not appear to be as frequent on my video as I remembered, although the thunder was constant and that got picked up well by my camera. Either my camera didn't pick up all the lightning or I thought it was more frequent than it was.

There was more visible IC lightning on the Brighton storm and as I was driving through the Surrey storms than I remembered seeing.

The storm over Watford in the early morning seemed better than I remembered. I was quite tired by the time I was filming this though and it was also only 11⁰c and so it felt cold. I think part of me wanted to just get into my warm bed

The video is long! 

 

Edited May 4 by Supacell