Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[Backtrack]

Just checking the charts, I think we’ll be good for a few hours of snow, even on the immediate coast. The uppers are conductive to wintryness until around 2/3pm, where they do creep into positive digits. 
 

Surface temps & intensity are key here to lying snow rather than uppers. Good old battleground. It’s been a while. 

[Scuba steve]

This of a certain social media website

[winterof79]

 Day 10The first fall of snow is not only an event, it is a magical event. You go to bed in one kind of a world and wake up in another quite different, and if this is not enchantment then where is it to be found?

[Maz]

Early March last year, and so many SE’ly frontal events previously….I know what to expect.  Falling snow, never too heavy and not settling.  
 

Normally just a couple of miles away, and 100m uphill, at 250m around Edenfield for example, there’s a good covering.  Annoying, but it’s so close I can do a nice run up there and enjoy the contrasts.

Thats the SE’ly Manchester snow shield for you!!! Will see whether this event bucks the trend or not.  More southerly or more easterly changes the dynamics, and stronger frontal uplift can help too…it’s the hope that gets me everytime!!!

[Dark Horse]

 Maz same with me but I've reined that in now. I really don't get hopeful when the shadow is forecast. It does save a lot of disappointment!

[russwirral]

 Day 10

Had several of these in Reykjavik last week. Even enjoyed one in an outdoor geothermal spa. Ill try and select the most shareable and put a post up a bit later. All ill say is, it was as incredible as it sounds.

[Rush2019]

Well the temp is coming down nicely, 3.9°C currently.

[Day 10]

 winterof79

Exactly, there is nothing better and I will still be the same when I'm 80!

Latest GFS is fine.

I'm knackered, goodnight all.

[damianslaw]

Tomorrow set to be a sunny cold day for the region. May be the only bit of sun we see all week, Thursday onwards looking very dull and overcast. 

[Thunder Snow]

 damianslaw I'm hoping to see atleast a couple of cms from this. Its turning quite breezy and chilly.now

[WillinGlossop]

2c looking good day tomorrow… some sunshine to get out in garden doing jobs… monthly garage haircuts tomorrow (only been 6 weeks) 

quick walk into town to shops… might put bins out tomorrow night… might be a bit snowy/slushy to drag bins out Thursday evening… 

think it’s a bit nowcast for Thursday/Friday morning… let’s see how this pans out

[rob_b]

 Maz once in a taxi ( prob 2005 ish)  from Bury back to a mates in Haslingden when at Uni in Manchester. We got to edenfield and taxi man said no chance not going any further…..went from Nothing to blizzard in space of a few miles.  All about the topography 

[damianslaw]

Thursday could be very snowy in the eastern lakeland fells, some hefty totals may amount, and persist well into Friday. It has been a poor season for snow cover on the fells this year so far, only two heavy falls in early Dec and mid Jan, both washed away far too quickly. Probably will be the same case again. 

Will be interesting to see if the met change warning tomorrow, I think they will extend the risk area into southern and eastern Scotland and amend timings for there to include much of Friday. I doubt an amber will be issued until very near timescale possibly as late as very early Thursday when it will be clearer how heavy the precipitation is likely to be, and its track. If there is, expect it to cover Pennine areas only. 

Edited February 6 by damianslaw

[Thunder Snow]

 damianslaw do you think I'll fair well, I seem to do quite well in a easterly oddly 

[damianslaw]

 Thunder Snow Much of Cumbria away from the coast should see some snow falling at some stage, but it may be fairly light away from eastern high ground.. but could also pep up in situ .. the further west in the county the less snow likely. Obviously higher ground will hold snow longest, for much of Thursday and into Friday morning conditions look set to be just right side of marginal for snow at very low levels in Cumbria. Will be a radar watch and looking outside job. 

Edited February 6 by damianslaw

[Thunder Snow]

 damianslaw oh but If it was rain moving up from the south you could guarantee there would be 150mm of rain for carlisle

[damianslaw]

 Thunder Snow Ah indeed, I'm quietly optimistic for at least a cover of snow on Thursday whether it be 1cm, 1 inch or 1 foot.. well probably not the latter, but who knows!

[russwirral]

So ive seen some pretty heavy snow this week in Iceland. It started off rainy and 4*c but quickly flipped over to sub zero and -20uppers straight off greenland.

Did lots of stuff, but this was a fissure between the tectonic plates... we arrived and it just bucketed down. We had about 6inches over the day.

 

Later that day we sat outside in a geothermal pool - the sky lagoon. It was about -4 or -5*c under a strong arctic wind and another snowshower blew in. We could barely keep our heads out of the water which was approx 40*c warmer. Was such an incredible experience

 

 

Edited February 7 by russwirral

[Iceaxecrampon]

 The Northern Ramper

Weather the week ahead on Countryfile 

For Farmers.

As it was always announced.

I used to tape it. Yes tape it VHS and all that. Fast forward to see the Synoptics for any outings. It was either this or ring up the Weatherline. Bonkers. 

[cheshire snow]

No change on the models this morning,the Gem perhaps the pick of the bunch with up to 11hrs of snow before clearing from the south,have to say the Meto text forecast is absolutely garbage.

GFS as per last night

[severe snowstorm]

 cheshire snow Yes, the metoffice text forecast is less than inspiring for tomorrow, makes it sound like the possibility of rain turning to sleet or snow at times. Are they having a last minute wobble? Models still look ok.

[cheshire snow]

 severe snowstorm models are all fine,the wording on the text forecasts are often way off the mark.if you look at the one for the midlands it says snow in the north of there region I know @Weather-historygets really annoyed with there written texts,no concerns from me this morning all looks good for a period of snow lasting into mid afternoon.

[iand61]

 Iceaxecrampon aye the bad old days when you had to work hard to get your weather fix

how did we manage

[Weather-history]

Manchester METAR goes for snow

Temporary
from 08 at 06 UTC to 08 at 12 UTC

Visibility: 3000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 600 ft

snow,

 

Liverpool goes for rain, snow

Temporary
from 08 at 05 UTC to 08 at 06 UTC

Visibility: 4000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 600 ft

rain, snow,

[Weather-history]

Funny how weather can play out at times. We could have a snowy breakdown to a virtually nothing here today gone tomorrow "cold" snap, when there have been numerous occasions where more potent prolong cold spells have gone out without  bang.