Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung

[Gowon]

 Lukesluckybunch

No Luke, but compared to south westerlies its decent

[LightningLover]

 Weather-history Madness.

[Lukesluckybunch]

Just now, Gowon said:

No Luke, but compared to south westerlies its decent

Yea ok...to me it's a all to familiar chart,with the cold in the usual regions!

[Gowon]

 Lukesluckybunch

Tbh, I thought it would end up better to what it's currently showing

[Metwatch]

 LightningLover

It would be interesting to find out the warmest airmasses seen over the UK for every month of the year. Other ones that I know of that were broken in recent years were in June, July, September and October. But for the spring months I'm least sure on. 

16-17°C at the end of February is incredible. Not sure if we've seen anything as high in March or April?

[MP-R]

7 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

There is an elephant in the room

Iberian Heights.

If I ever become a property developer, I'm going to get planning for a really ugly skyscraper and name it Iberian Heights.

Without such stubborn high pressure down there, I wouldn't be surprised if this current low would've been a slider and much more of the country come into the snow game. Rather irritating, how the opposite problem occurred in January when it missed the south coast altogether!

On a side note, Thursday 08th February 2007 - many will remember this snowfall. Not the most impressive chart at face value but brought a brief dumping here before melting very quickly (then it snowed again but didn't settle the following day).

[blizzard81]

 Singularity Yep ecm will be fascinating now. Yes, this winter has been the continual carrot dangler. I shouldn't moan though. I've been luckier than most. This is my view outside before it gets washed away and it's the fifth time I've seen snow fall this winter - which sadly is more than usual. 

[MJB]

Let's not lose hope just yet  

[Singularity]

As of +120 the ECM 12z has the low by the Azores considerably further east akin to the 12z UKM, with a bit of a high to its NW.

Intrigue increases further.

[joggs]

 Singularity The Iberian heights on that chart

[Lukesluckybunch]

Output is so different from this mornings!in the medium range

[blizzard81]

 Singularity Very interesting now - simply because the changes are at relatively short notice. 

[Lukesluckybunch]

7 minutes ago, joggs said:

The Iberian heights on that chart

The usual spoiler in winter!

[Ali1977]

This is very close to being very good - let’s see where it goes 

[Lukesluckybunch]

Weird chart!

[blizzard81]

When I see such a huge difference for the better at 6 days out I get visions of Darren Bett being dragged off the levers of the model controls. 

[Drifter]

So the day 7 ECM chart is very similar indeed to the really odd UKMO run. Interesting because now we get to see where that would’ve gone. 

[Lukesluckybunch]

1 minute ago, Ali1977 said:

This is very close to being very good - let’s see where it goes 

Possible link up towards Scandi I'm thinking....

[blizzard81]

 Lukesluckybunch Weird but good. 

[Ice Day]

ECM and UK at 168 are very much on the same page with the split vortex

   

Where's it going from here then?

[blizzard81]

I like this...... I like it alot. 

[Lukesluckybunch]

Heights declining over Europe at 168..hoping for some decent blocking around Iceland day 8!

[blizzard81]

 Ice Day incredibly similar... And in a good way. 

[Ice Day]

Here's the 192

 

Edited February 8 by Ice Day

[Lukesluckybunch]

Lovely day 8!cold northeasterly setting up here!