Milhouse

I would hazard a guess, 2008, 2010, and 2014

The GFS 12z for next week makes for refreshing viewing. Gone are the unseasonable cool temperatures and showers, and its looking like the low to mid 20s will be achieved for many. The highest temperatures to be found as usual across SE and E England.

And the whole of next week looks much more like summer on the 6z. A brief cool down midweek before temperatures and humidity rises, which brings the threat of heavy pulses of rain coming up from the south, but also some drier spells too.

Temperatures still looking good over much of eastern England on Monday. East Anglia looking like the favoured spot with 29c, possibly 30c.

Yes, i can see even myself wanting cool summers if i worked every day in an unairconditioned stuffy office and when i wasnt working i slept. But outside of work i like to get out and about as much as possible and the mid 20s and sunny is far more useable than 15c and raining. On Saturday i play cricket which is probably the most weather dependant sport there is. Its no fun stood out in the field in freezing cold winds and squally showers in early May. But on a warm summers afternoon there is nothing i would prefer doing than making the best use of the valuable summer days, followed by a nice pint in the evening sunshine.

Once again a battle going on between the Azores high trying to push the low northwards and high pressure over greenland wanting to stay put. I really cant see the heights to the north being dislodged any time soon but we still get this from the ECM. Warm southwesterlies and fairly dry for most away from the far NW. Monday looking very nice for SE England with mid to high 20s bring a brief taste of proper Summer

Low pressure is really having a hard time pulling away to the NW on the latest gfs, and its the ever present heights around Greenland that are scuppering our chances of a more widespread pressure rise. A NW/SE split looks likely, warm in the SE, but unfortunately more misery for those in the NW.

Its alright watching it snow, its when it settles then it becomes a ballache. Im more addicted to watching it melt. Nowt better than watching mild winds get to work on a lawn full of mucky slush and compacted ice thats no good to anyone.

Apart from the far north and west Sunday is fine and warm on the GFS. So for most of the UK, the presence of the low pressure is meaningless

The latest GEFS mean is the strongest indication yet of high pressure setting up in a favourable position for warm and settled conditions to develop heading into August.

UKMO has ditched its unsettled outlook of yesterday and now has joined the rest of the models. At t+144 it looks like its gearing up for a warm southerly with low pressure to the west not really going anywhere fast.

Doubt youd see many people say outside a pub today.

An end to this extremely unseasonable cool weather is in sight. Saturday should see temperatures back up into the low 20s over much of England but more cloud and rain will keep temperatures pegged back further north. Friday too is looking a decent day too away from the NW.

UKMO on its own tonight in not bringing in the Azores ridge and a subsequent rise in temperature.

Not as warm as the GFS 12z but the GEM this evening also lending support

I like how high pressure seems to force its way through on the latest GFS 12z later on in the week. Almost like its been shut out for far too long so 'its my turn now!'.

Way too early to suggest suppressed temperatures well into August. Given the GFS 12z once again throws in a nice weekend. 22c on Saturday, 24c on Sunday. Southerly winds pushing up heat from the south on Monday. Think it begins with a 'P' but not allowed to mention it on here lol.

First of all you would expect July to be the warmest month out of the first 7 months. The last time June was warmer than July was 1970. And theres still more of this cool rubbish to go so it will end up below average.

So a pretty rubbish month tbh after such a promising start. Will go down as nothing special, totally masking the impressive heat right at the start.

No such concerns regarding the 18z. Temps up into the low to mid 20s on Sunday and as high as 27c on Monday. Quite a few 12z ensemble members went for a big warm up at the weekend too.

At least with this sort of mean chart it raises the chances of higher temperatures returning to the UK, more especially to the SE which should also enjoy the best of any dry weather. Same old story for the NW however.

I was going to say its the smallest of mini plumes but the GEFS mean still shows warmer air moving northwards before it gets swept away eastwards. The 10C isotherm just about making it into southern England

GEFS ensemble mean supports a mini plume next Sunday

Well if no one else is going to mention it then i will. GFS 12z has a nice window of settled weather Fri-Sun (nicely coinciding with the weekend) Temps up to 23c in the SE on Saturday.

Its been abysmal for northern England and Scotland lately and the outlook for these parts is truly dire this week. I cant believe Glasgow has gone 15 days without even reaching 20c. The north and west does well with warm SE winds off the continent and weve had very little of that so far this summer.