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Milhouse

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Everything posted by Milhouse

  1. Still the general picture around the middle of the month seems to be high pressure attempting to settle things down from the SW.
  2. On the face of it we got 18c here yesterday which sounds reasonable. But it was the horrible nagging northwesterly that seems to have been with us for an absolute eternity. I think back to the persistent northwesterlies we had during the second half of winter and they are still with us as stubborn as ever.
  3. One crum if comfort is its not cool and wet. Im really hoping the rise in pressure for the second half of June materialises and it sticks around which has proved so hard to achieve of late.
  4. Finally we have surpassed Aprils max temp.
  5. But run the 6Z mean on and you will see the chart i posted is the start of a possible settled period with high pressure approaching from the SW.
  6. The GEFS mean also supporting a pressure rise from the SW so a cool northerly may be short lived.
  7. Today is such a tease. Lovely fragrant warm air, not a chill at all meaning it really does feel like summer. If only it was going to last. Best get out and enjoy it.
  8. Wednesday of the coming week looks to be the day when the cool air finally gets taken over by warmer air and we loose the northerly airstream, albeit momentarily. So Wednesday-Friday look like delivering average temperatures, perhaps low 20s on Thursday. Not a bad positioning of the high so some pleasant conditions to be had.
  9. At least the GFS 6z wants to build high pressure in for the start of the following week, so its better than the abysmal 0z. But still the GFS is sticking with the idea of a very disappointing cool weekend. But theres so much uncertainty.
  10. I agree. Something like a June 1989, 2001 or 2010 would do nicely.
  11. What a load of rubbish from the GFS. More annoying northerlies
  12. Compared to the GEM and the GFS it doesnt really put up much of a fight. Lets see what the mean shows. And it shows that the OP cuts short the settled spell rather early compared to the mean.
  13. The way low pressure manages to force its way through a rather robust looking high at 168h is rather suprising and not really believable to be honest.
  14. Later next week still looking rather nice with temperatures back up into the warm category. By Thursday the cool uppers have been enveloped by warmer air and temperatures are back nudging 20c and it stays warm into the first part of the weekend too. Can we avoid another swipe by the cooler air next weekend is the big question.
  15. By Wednesday the ECM has cut off the cool northerly and all areas would be dry and becoming warmer. I wonder if we can get high pressure to transfer over to the east of the UK on this run.
  16. Ok its mid summer but if your lucky you can still get decent temps from high pressure to the west of the UK. 27c in bournemouth on this day.
  17. One of the worst sights for me during Summer is the green finger of doom.
  18. How much temperatures rise next week will be dependant on how quick we can get rid of the cool air thats set to sweep south over the weekend. Early next week it will become trapped within the high pressure with the coolish feed from the north not helping things. The moment we get warmer air coming over the top of the high without having to come over the North Sea we will see temperatures respond. This is evident by Wednesday and particularly Thursday on the GFS 6z.
  19. Its the position if the high thats not helping and the particularly cool upper temperatures that are going to get trapped within the high pressure during the first half of next week. After that some warmer air will get dragged into the mix and that will raise temperatures from midweek onwards.
  20. Just looked at todays max temperatures. 21C around The Wash. Since when was that forecast
  21. The first half of June 1995 had a persistent trough stuck to the east of the UK feeding down very cool winds. Who would have thought the summer would have turned out so good. Not pattern matching really, just looking for Junes that started off quite cool. The first third of June 1989 looks horrific
  22. Well yes thats one positive about the outlook. This wind of late has been most annoying.
  23. High pressure needs to shift further east next week then things will be a whole lot better. but at the moment its all looking rather boring.
  24. It was on, then it was off, now it looks back on again. Fridays plume im talking about. And after that it looks like high pressure proper is going to pay us a visit. Except temps in the north wont be that special
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