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Milhouse

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Everything posted by Milhouse

  1. The ECM 12z has high pressure slipping back south again throughout next week which should help to cut off the cool easterly that many are going to experience this weekend. Its the longevity of high pressure thats up for question though with the ECM prolonging it until the end of the week, whereas the GFS has a more unsettled look at T+168 but still warm.
  2. The ECM has the high slowly slipping southwards during next week so we would swap a light northeasterly for a breezy southwesterly. Eastern England, which will see the coolest conditions during the first half of the week would warm up and winds change direction. Meanwhile more unsettled conditions pushing into western areas to end the week.
  3. I recall a horrible wet muggy spell at the start of July 2012 where the back garden remained sodden for ages, it was that humid and damp. Then it turned much cooler and it wasnt until the final week that summer arrived.
  4. The ECM 12z slams the door shut on any cool northerly thanks to low pressure setting up just to the west of the UK dragging up fairly warm and pleasant conditions from the south,. The 12z mean suggests the warmer SW outcome is more likely.
  5. ECM 12z - Instead of colder air coming down from the north, the high actually brings relatively warm air. However as it has to cross the North Sea first to reach us it will be the SW that sees the best of the temperatures.
  6. The stand out spell was that one during March where 23c was recorded in Scotland i think. But you are right, from the start of April right until the last 3rd of May it was pretty dismal.
  7. Wouldnt read much into the scaremongering going on by Matt Hugo about the link between good springs and washout summers. 2012 was not the last good spring. Last year was! It was the 3rd warmest Spring on record and we got a pretty acceptable summer.
  8. UKMO quite similar to the GFS. Wednesday is the transition day to something briefly cooler but high pressure is back in charge by Friday, and by the looks of it would stick around into the weekend too.
  9. Next week is looking quite decent so far on the GFS 12z. The warmth of Monday and Tuesday gets squeezed from the north as a cold front pushes southwards. Wednesday is definitely a day of two halves with the southeast still fine and very warm for the time of year, but further north its much cooler and unsettled. High pressure then builds back in from the west for Thursday and Friday with light winds and temperatures in the region 10-16c with cool nights.
  10. I looks like we are set for another 3 days of pleasant warmth from Monday to Wednesday next week although as low pressure approaches on Wednesday we will see a greater chance of showers or longer spells of rain breaking out. Temperatures higher than what we saw this week just gone although the warm spell looks not as long lasting.
  11. Its nice to see the oranges and reds flooding northwards so early in the year. Temperatures next tuesday for western Europe wouldnt look out of place in July.
  12. Low pressure over the Bay of Biscay helping to draw some very warm air northwards during the middle of next week
  13. Spring is a long season with several different weather types. A week of fine warm conditions is surely a typical feature of a normal Spring.
  14. It looks like i may be lucky. Expecting some warm sunshine when heading to the coast this time of year is risky business.
  15. im hoping for some warmth right on the east coast on Thursday for a day at the beach. Wind direction looks favourable so im hopeful of a max of around 16c for Bridlington.
  16. The current warm spell will reach a peak on Friday where the high teens will be reached quite widely. Then the GFS 12z has Saturday as the one cooler day with temperatures back down to between 8-13c. Sunday sees a rise in temperatures and by the start of the new week they are back up to current values again. Lots of warm and pleasant conditions to look forward to.
  17. It will take a big upgrade to show high pressure taking control of our weather again next week just like it has done this week. But what we do have next week is a run of mobile south westerlies with the occasional Azores ridge bringing pleasantly warm conditions more especially to the SE. For much of next week the UK sits mid way between high and low pressure with normally results in a traditional NW/SE split. Highlighted quite nicely here:
  18. After a brief return to something cooler and more unsettled at the weekend we see rising temperature and more fairly dry conditions into the following week. The SE will see the best of the warm sunshine with rain at times affecting the NW.
  19. Its good aint it.The low cloud cleared to leave a pleasant sunny afternoon here. The grass has had its first cut and its just generally been a day for getting outdoors and soaking up the spring sunshine.
  20. The next few weeks should see an explosion of spring growth. Temperatures on the mild side, some sunshine and rain thrown in for good measure. Throughout March it has been slow but should be picking up now.
  21. The chance of another pulse of warm air for the start of next week showing on the ECM and GFS
  22. I hope that theres less easterly spells than last year, but i guess the law of averages meant that SW England and Wales were due a very good summer and it was the turn of Eastern England to come off second best. It just seemed that any high that set up close to our shores last summer dragged in a lot of low cloud and cooler temperatures. I recall many of those in the SE and East Anglia saying last summer had been unremarkable whilst move a couple of hundred miles further west and it was very good.
  23. The SE may squeeze out a rather nice pleasant weekend but unsettled conditions will be encroaching into the west of the UK and will spread to all areas by the start of the following week. But as others have said, its a fine outlook in the short term with plenty of spring warmth and sunshine.
  24. Looks like its turned out a lot clearer high than was first thought
  25. The ECM mean in FI shows high pressure hanging on to the SE of the UK close enough to still indicate an extension of the pleasant springlike conditions the further east you go. Mean pressure of 1020mb at day 10 for the SE is reasonable support for quite a prolonged spell of settled and warm conditions. Not the nationwide fine conditions that we will experience this week but still remaining mild/pleasantly warm nevertheless. An extensive area of high pressure over the UK midweek
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