PolarWarsaw

Slightly disappointed reading that below. That's what you get when you click on the yellow warning for TODAY. It states the warning is now in effect for Friday, meaning they don't see any northward or eastward progression of Emma later. Be interesting to see if the warnings change through the day to shift things eastward.

This is the area we need to watch for later this evening and tonight. The further east that PPN gets/builds - the most the north and east of the region get in on the act. Eyes on this as the next few hours look very quiet.

The GFS has been horrendous so far in fairness.

Still expecting nothing from Emma currently, however, this mornings event has dropped an unexpected 3-4CM's and because of that I'm not too frustrated that we look likely to miss out in the north of the region.

Topped out with 2 inches. Showers retreating back to the coast now. So dry. Let the thaw begin. Expecting more light stuff later.

Yeah it's fine margins mate. I've taken a photo but can't seem to upload it.

Yes mate, remember we are slightly further north than you, we have probably had a bit more of the coverage and got a few direct hits from showers yesterday.

Im trying not to get excited. But we appear to have unmovable snow to the NE, a band intensifying as it moves up the country. The merging point could keep us at least in 'light snow' for a good few hours. If tonight then produced, that would be something epic.

Much to my amazement things around Derby seem to be pepping up, the area of snow expanding from the NE and dropping SW slightly. Why is there no warning from this? It's added at least 3CM since 1am. To be honest, I don't think we would get much more than what's lying now from the 2 systems expected later and tomorrow to be close calls. So if they don't appear, I'm happy to have had my snow fix. Forgot to say @Snowy L it looks like we are both happy now! Nottingham taken a beating since last night!

Very odd looking radar but the snow actually continues to just get heavier. 5CM's now easily, moderate snow falling. Where has this come from? It's like we have built a mini stationary low over us. Just goes to show, if winds had stayed due E all throughout the week, we would have seen far more convective snow.

Fantastic way to start the day - woken up much to my surprise to a complete white out. Moderate snow falling, roads covered. A good couple of inches.

Glad you are in the luck. Cant believe how frustrating this little streamer is, it's literally sat 3/4 miles from the north and won't budge.

Looks to me like Nottingham has gone from zero to hero, hit the absolute jackpot tonight. Constant streamer for the last couple of hours, with more orange echoes on radar currently. Probably got some of the highest totals in the midlands now.

I don't think it was completely clear, but the snow was far 'thinner' as such. The last couple of 'big freezes' (2010 + this week, March 2013 can't be considered as that was a different setup) - have delivered the least snow anywhere in Britain in a 50 mile radius from Birmingham east to Leicester and north to about Cheshire. It's why I didn't let myself get OTT excited last week. Regardless of the strength of wind, the depth of uppers, the convection - this area just DOES NOT do well in easterlies, it's that simple.

Pretty much - it's ironic that normally our best snow bringer is the 'slider' and even this weekends 'low' looks like missing us marginally, it's the kind of thing that makes you want to give up really isn't it?

At this point, I'd rather it was stranded in Scotland - I'd much sooner it be completely off the table than so agonisingly close that it's just a frustration.

Stoke, Staffordshire and the North Midlands in general, NEVER does well from an easterly - certainly not 'everywhere else seems to'. This line of showers, is stuck about as 50% in the middle of your house and my house as possible. It's literally within touching distance of me, but just won't build south or drop south enough and so again, somewhere 5 miles away is going to get a couple of inches from being under that, whilst it's cold and dry here. Snow cover will be gone by 8am when the sun is up. Frustrating doesn't even cut tomorrow's event at all. It's going to stall 10-20 miles south and west of us, more like 30-40 for you.

I was thinking pinch wasn't strong enough to be honest. For those of us in the central, north and parts of East Midlands that have only seen a sugar coating from the odd shower, this looks like more of the same. Be nice to see if shift north and east a little so we can join in the fun. Absolutely superb post though Nick, easy to read, easy to understand. Thanks.

About 1 mile into the gap is my house. We have been shafted beyond measure this week in general. A couple of nice showers, but any wind change, any trough, any bands of showers have just avoided about a 100 mile strip of the centre of the country virtually non stop. I pointed it out earlier, but stopping myself radar watching tomorrow is going to save a lot of frustration and anger I think, it's literally going to be one of those days where somewhere I could walk to within an hour, is going to be reporting CM's and we will have a few flakes floating around in the air for 12 hours. Id sooner it went 300 miles south than 3.

Midlands today did look better for tonight in terms of keeping the showers going and getting them inland. Looked very, very poor for those north and east of Birmingham + Shropshire. We really need a 50 mile shift eastwards to include Staffordshire and up towards stoke. Going to be one of those horrible, frustrating days of radar watching whether it all stays just a handful of miles away isn't it?

Ended the day with a CM or 2, probably more like an inch in areas that were untouched and haven't been in sunlight - so decent overall and a big overachiever of a day. We needed that. One of the coldest walks home I can ever remember, it's truly bitter. The wind bites are your nose and ears. Very interested in the tweet Matt Taylor has sent out? Something to do with Storm emma, or perhaps some convection beforehand that has been picked up? If we can keep these flurries going from the Wash through the night then that's a bonus too. One thing I've noticed today - how hard has it been to reliably track winds? We seem to have gone from a SE wind, to an easterly, to NE and even now tracking this showers from the coast is hard!

Hey GP, hope you are okay. Do we have any PPN breakdowns of Friday + Saturday instead of accumulation charts or any seperate accumulation charts from Friday lunchtime onwards, just to get an idea of what they look like after tomorrow's event in the SW/SW Midlands? Thanks.

Today has overachieved massively compared to yesterday and the expectations earlier in the week. 1 or 2 models are going to cover themselves in glory or be put firmly in the 'not going to bother using that model again' category come Friday evening. The Arpege and Hirlam look far too north and widespread accumulation and PPN wise IMO. Hope they are correct though. Enjoying what will be our last flurry today IMO, East Midlands and east anglia drying out now.

Not sure if anyone else has noticed, but just to show exactly how cold it is. Our snow that thawed, the small puddles and wet ground has actually just turned to puddles of ice and General ice. Can't say I remember that ever happening before, certainly not so quickly. Couple of showers looking interesting over Burton for those near Rugeley, Hednesford, Cannock. If they hold together they look similar to the 1st shower about 1pm today.

Well that was a fun hour or so, bar anymore flurries today or tomorrow that looks our lot from the SW midlands northwards. We do appear to be going out with a slow, dry warm up and all the snow or interest south or north of us, massive whimper - but there's been some charts to look at and a great model viewing in the last 2-3 weeks, something too learn from as always. 1 big thing to take from this is - even the best charts don't provide in everyone's 'IMBY' - no matter how good or bad they look. Still it's been a lot more fun this winter, ethic the most snow days and accumulating snow for many years. Enjoy any showers today is how I'm going to see it, it looks as thought it will almost certainly be that for at least the next 9 months or so.