PolarWarsaw

One thing seems notable this morning - the strength and consistency of a proper Greenland high as been watered down, quite significantly. It's no surprise to see that the longevity/distribution of cold has diminished somewhat this morning. Cold and dry at the moment next week, however, as they say - get the cold in first and then see what happens. Wouldn't it just sum the life of a snow fan up, to finally get a cold week supportive of snow and for the first time in about 6 months...an entire full week go by being dry.

See previously I'd agree, but it's becoming more and more apparent that November and December are just extended periods of Autumn, whilst late February and March have offered us the best cold synoptics in the last few years. As far as I'm concerned, the first half of March is now spent searching for a last shot of cold and snow (ironically, this year, perhaps a first shot)..there is plenty of time for yet more of the 'averageness' this climate provides from...April until December. Searching for something out of the ordinary (IE cold and snow) is worth it IMO. After this winter, I just hope the spring/summer provides some entertainment in the extreme weather department..(april squalls, huge summer thunderstorms). What a shame we can't 'build' on the atlantic, it would perhaps help slow the jet stream down. But i'm going way off topic here. Apologies.

74m here...at least the Power Station closing might have a positive atmospheric boost in the coming years..

Indeed! My mistake on that one. I hope they haven't read this.

Potentially record breaking cold this weekend down the eastern side of the UK. Valentines look a bitter one...plenty of snow to be had in favourable areas. Lots of lake effect snow coming to fruition with the chance of a strong system early next week.

Plenty of snow chances in the US this week. Starting today with a coastal system that is likely to bring Boston and areas surrounding the coast a 4-8" fall. A smaller clipper system moving across the lakes west to east following this system for the same areas perhaps bringing a reasonable top-up overnight for the same areas.

Pouring down here..something theraputic about listening to rain in bed with the window open.

Been on the pop this evening have we? Spring starts in April..regardless of whether current trends/models/output or even recent winter history suggest that's different..I and 90% of people on this thread want nothing to do with 'Spring talk' for another 2 months yet!

Indeed, very sad. For the weather itself, parts of the NE Coast picked up as much as 10" in spots today with NYC grabbing a couple of inches and parts of Boston 5-6. Next week looks very cold and very active. 1-2-3 potential chances for smaller storms up and down the east coast depending on location next. The Chance of a flurry into Florida...with 3 'frosts' looking very likely. Once again, they take all the fun!

Personally, I have already thrown the towel in on delivering anything of note. It's been another in a 3 year line now of 'Oh, the strat looks great at 10 days' or 'downdwellings will bring X synoptic within X amount of weeks'...it's in the same bracket as the buzz word of recent winter MOD threads 'potential'. Yes, potential will always show it's head at day 10, just down to the fact that models are less accurate at that range and more likely to deliver a mixed output. The simple facts have been, most of low lying Southern England have received NO/ZERO/ZILCH Snow for about 3 years now. There is no gloss to put on this, recent winters have been absolute turd for the vast majority of people who use and visit this thread. A cold spell may develop sometime between now and mid-March, it may not. My only hope is for a squally spring, April showers and then frequent Storms through the summer months. Before you know it, it's September again and we can start looking out for an angry Autumn followed hopefully by a more condusive La Nina winter next time around. However, the next stop on the 'weather calendar' is Storm season in the US. Almost guaranteed to find a talking point on average once every couple of days even during relatively quiet seasons from the end of March right the way through to the middle of June or so. If it's interest you are craving, then following this can at least give you some respite from the endless boredom and 'so close, yet so far' kind of climate the UK is offering and has offered for a good few years. Hopefully people can keep the spirits up - at least next year's early background signals suggest we could have something more condusive to cold/blocked. See everyone back in here in mid-late November!

Snow is returning to parts of the US in the coming days...quite a couple of falls again...stretching right from the west...through Colorado...swinging up towards Iowa/Michigan and the great lakes...Some places looking at 6-12" - another very widespread event, another big fall. Sigh. What a climate to be in.

Not a fan of wind, but rain is fine. I walk to and from work 4 days a week, take an umbrella with you and it's fine. What do we get interest wise, out of blue skies from 8am to 6pm? Sure, you can have a walk, cut the grass, not need a coat when your out etc - but what does it offer you at this time of year to keep you wanting to login into NW? Naff all.

I don't mind the odd sunny day, but I'm a follower of extreme or 'active' weather. Not days of endless blues skies..there's nothing enjoyable or 'addicting' about following those. Don't get me wrong, I don't mind it being sunny for a day or 2 here and there. Perfect conditions are a few hours of sun interspersed with squally, thundery showers - that's if it's not snowing. I sincerely hope this summer is way below CET and offers showers/storms most days. Evenings can be fine, especially weekend ones - that way a beer in the garden works out nicely!

Give me that over Sunny, boring weather. At least it's active. I'd sooner it rained, hailed, had storms, snowed over a completely dry day. Very boring.

Incredible, absolutely incredible. Just to be there.

Heavy snow falling on the Fox live stream in DC now..http://www.fox5dc.com/live

Already a good couple of inches lay in that second video feed. There's too many cameras and feeds to keep an eye on.

Cameras all around Maryland..one of the states expected to be hardest hit..http://www.chart.state.md.us/travinfo/trafficcams.php#

Anyone have any live TV coverage? TWC? Local DC stations? TWC - http://www.weather.com/storms/winter/news/winter-storm-jonas-forecast-blizzard-watch-january-21

Didn't comment in here last Saturday as I was out of the house but we ended up with a CM, possible 2 last weekend. All melted by midday, but it made for a nice scene on my drunken walk home.. Back to reality, another crap winter is closing in on us. No real frosts, just rain, wind and a couple of flakes - crap. Meanwhile....over on the Eastern side of the US...they have a state of emergency declared...30+ Inches of snow forecast...amazing forecasts > http://www.wbaltv.com/weather/first-significant-snow-may-come-to-maryland-this-weekend/37498694 It's not fair...who put us this side of that massive pond? To put things into perspective...we got excited over a dusting of sleety wet snow that had melted 6 hours after it stopped finishing..meanwhile..they are squabbling over get only 18 inches and not 24...sigh..

Yes, it's looking highly likely that parts of the NE - from Washington up to Boston and NYC could see anywhere from 6" to 2 feet from this storm in extreme cases. A fascinating watch/read coming up. Much more interesting than anything this country will ever have to offer.

Absolutely atrocious, it really is. It's the middle of January and cold air gives us rain. Absolute joke. The quicker that move to Buffalo comes about, the better. Such a dire hole for snow this country, I mean the radar today is just a complete jaffa cakestake.

Great, informative post Costa. FWIW - I think any PPN will stay west of the Midlands until midweek, including tomorrow night's affair. I expect that to slip through Wales, into the SW and then the front to stay out west until later in the week than Monday. Tonight's 18z backs this up a little, but the general consensus of the models readjusting west the closer they get to an event with these kind of synoptics (undercut/slider - pressure to the east and the atlantic trying to push in). A shame really and I hope they do correct eastwards again as I really, would rather we hit reset and had a couple of decent snowfalls in the next 3-4 days.

I'd rather just have my snow fall tomorrow and Monday to be honest...let's hit reset, have a couple of milder days and go again. All we are doing by 'battling' this...is trying to milk awkward synoptics for snow fans which could or could not pay off - in the meantime, we have wasted another week to 10 days of 'meh' winter weather.

Just like they did at that range a week ago..and the week before that...and so on. The default weather in this country is mild. The chance of having a cold snap (as we are) and cold showing in ALL model runs from T0 to T360 is erm...somewhat unlikely.