Mr_Pessimistic
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just based on what usually happens... Experience I guess. But I do agree that the lows usually head further south nearer the time, but I don't think it will be enough this time for people in the south.. -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, the center of lows always sit smack bang over east Anglia nearly every time, giving us nowt. Got a whole 2cm in 2010 due to this. Yawn. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, they were all just dreams..... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This happens every time, gfs spots the easterly, ecm says no, then ecm picks it up, mod hype sets in, then gfs drops it, then at t72 ecm and met drop it too. Then you get the usual depressed posts. The charts are not worth looking at past 72hrs. Don't give me the old "trends" nonsense. Personally I'm waiting till t48 before I get remotely interested. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Mr_Pessimistic replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Been a lurker for 10+ years on here, is the same every year, not good for your mental health this thread. I do notice a difference this year though, more 80s style charts, but will they fall in our favour? Probably not. -
Model output discussion - into the last third of January
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ha, realistic would be nice -
Model output discussion - into the last third of January
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi, anyone any news on whether the SSW will couple with the trop this time? As presumably, if it were to have an affect, we would be seeing this in the models by now? Or was there simply not enough oomph from the warming to disrupt the strat enough in the first place? Thanks.. -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Storm last night about half 9, eye, Suffolk... One of the best I've seen, just couldn't see any cg lightning, but good anyway.... -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
That's pretty impressive... -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Only problem is, its up high, no cg -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Crazy sh*t going down in north mid Suffolk, constant lightning -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards
Mr_Pessimistic replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Nothing here in north mid Suffolk, just some towering nimbus to the west/north.. Waiting for some storms from the south later.... -
Did pretty well here in north Suffolk, 9" + another 2" just fallen, drifting snow feet deep, roads blocked, great stuff. Its been 30 years since the last time this happened here, missed out 2010, 2013 etc. Got there in the end..
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Well well well, I am so surprised, the snow starved North Suffolk for once got a good dumping, over 8" and now drifting to feet deep drifts off the fields, really did not expect this, even got off work early. Lots of fun going for a long drive earlier, hand seemed to keep slipping towards the handbrake for some reason though...
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Oh well, the usual letdown here in north Suffolk, a couple of melted flakes, main showers to the south and north just as I said the other day and got slated for. Possible half inch on Wednesday morning, but that will be gone by tomorrow, then some rain turning to rain on Thurs Fri, that will have petered out by the time it gets here anyway. Talk about a load of hype for absolutely nothing,, again. Jeez. Yawn.
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Anyone thinking a repeat of 2010 where there is a wedge of no snow South of Norwich and North of Ipswich? (Or very little) happens every time, literally no decent snow for over 30 years now here in South Norfolk. And I really am expecting the same, maybe an inch, then the winds turn se, giving a shorter sea track, meaning nothing till the end of the week, where the frost pushing up from the South will stall as far North as Cambridge, so nothing then either for this location. I'd bet my house on it. Pessimistic, or REALISTIC? The latter I expect.