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Mr_Pessimistic

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Everything posted by Mr_Pessimistic

  1. Mr_Pessimistic
    You should know by now that e/a will miss out!!
  2. Mr_Pessimistic
    Looking sooo marginal for sun/mon, so I'm calling for a rain - rain event. Such a shame we don't have nice cold uppers like in 2010, although in 2010, didn't haave any ppn to go with the cold 850s, either one or the other living here. Must change my name to victor meldrew_2 I think.
  3. Mr_Pessimistic
    Can't see any 2-5cm tonite, is still just heavy rain here.
  4. Mr_Pessimistic
    Hi hotspur, today we have only had -4 850's and with a warm north sea, one can only expecta bit of sleet, which, personally, is all I was expecting. By t120 ecm and gfs are predicting -8 or below, so should be low enough for snow for us. But this is still ages away in forecasting, and WILL change, almost certainly for the worst, (warm sectors, low too far east etc), id expect about a day of showers in a n/e feed giving an inch or two for favoured locations as the low pulls away. But anyway, you are right in this winter being close but no cigar on many occasions, but in my experience, most winters are, especially here in e/a,the dryest most boaring part of the country!
  5. Mr_Pessimistic
    Well looking at the ecm tonite, 96hrs+ looks fantastic for or region, strong n/e wind, -8 or lower uppers, low pressure close by,, id say plenty of heavy snow showers!! Shame its not t24, as prob will be a slacker flow come the day. But looking good using just this moddel anyway..
  6. Mr_Pessimistic
    With reguards to the much talked about 144 charts from the ecm and met off, using the uppers shown by the ecm, which are around -9 for our region, and obviously pretty low, I'm still not convinced we would get much in the way of showers due to the short track ober the north sea? At a guess, id say tjhe west of the region would get a pasteing as usual from the frontal system, and norfolk/suffolk missing out as always, and that would be about it. Very similar to the last cold spell (not counting the low from france) where showers were predicted but never materialised due to the short track from a s/e wind as opposed to a n/e where we would stand more chance.. but anyway, no point in speculating about chrts beyond 72hrs anyway for obvious reasons,, so ill just keep quiet till after the event, then pop up and say ah haa,, told u so!
  7. Mr_Pessimistic
    Met office predicting rain showers here tomorrow maybee turning sleety later according to the tv, they were showing snow yesturday for tomorow. Can't see it being snow myself due to the warm north sea,, uk met model showing -6 uppers, ecm and gfs showing -4 uppers, so not conducive for snow, that's not takeing into account dew points etc, but almost certainly not settling snow unless very heavy ppn like this eve. Would love to be proved wrong though. Just a shame people on this forum hopecast a bit too much.. maybee a chance later on iin the weekend, but that's 5 days away still and WILL downgrade to almost nothing at all come nearer the time as always. Pessamistic but realistic, as I always am!
  8. Mr_Pessimistic
    Fair enough, that 72hr fax shows slight n/e flow, but the 500hpa 72hr chart you posted does not show n/e, so I'm guessing that you can't actually determine the exact lower down wind direction from 500hpa charts?
  9. Mr_Pessimistic
    Sorry but the three you posted show n - n/w flow, so id expect a few flurries for norfolk/suffolk only?.. Maybee I'm readin them wrong then. Yes you certainly do need to know your stuff if you are going to own such a car,, I have a friend with a 320bhp turbo 2, would have got one myself, its just the fuel economy, although, tbh, the skyline is not much better!
  10. Mr_Pessimistic
    Don't let that put you off!! I was out in my 350bhp r33 skyline (gtst with welded rear diff!) in the last cold snap,,, lots of fun.. Love the rx7s.. hope you've got deep pockets though lol!
  11. Mr_Pessimistic
    Shame its a n/w flow.. pretty sure the ecm goes with uppers around -4, not low enough for anything fun..
  12. Mr_Pessimistic
    Anyone expecting more than the odd sleety/snow shower this week is getting a bit wrapped up in the usual mod hype. It may feel cold but the actual 2m temps won't be that low, any snow will melt during the day, if we get any at all. All models are simply a waste of time looking at beyond 72hrs (and don't give me the old 'trends' malarky). Cold, boaring wet windy week ahead for this region then, atlantic winning by the weekend almost certain.
  13. Mr_Pessimistic
    Isn't the canadian part of the vortex heading towards the siberian lobe on the 18z gfs? Hey guys, newbie alert, great times reading this thread (and the strat thread) over the years! Edit - actually, maybee not!
  14. Mr_Pessimistic
    Yeah I'm v unlucky with reguards to snow, always the liest hit area, totalling 3 inches since the begginin of this cold spell so far.. :-(
  15. Mr_Pessimistic
    In prime location here, but been snowing since about 2, snow grains so small you can't even see them, must have half a cm. So how is it everywhere else is talking of 5cm+ etc as the radar has the same colours for most people as it does over mid north suffolk? Surely not another non even for here yet again??
  16. Mr_Pessimistic
    Heavier stuff in noth sea looks like affecting just norfolk and usual suspects, can't see suffolk getting anything but snow grains, again.
  17. Mr_Pessimistic
    Incredible how there is always a hole in the ppn over most of suffolk whatever direction it comes from, unbelieveable. There really must be some geographical reason for this as its ALWAYS the same as I'm sure mr rybris will agree with as I'm sure he will have notied this. No significant snow for 25 years and counting. Had the usual couple of inches last mon, nothing since, so depressing every year. Yawn yawn.
  18. Mr_Pessimistic
    Radar shows snow here but nothing as usual, I'm expecting it all to go west of here, just the opposite of what's forecast, eithjer thjat or will split into two and avoid me like most of the snow so far. Worst place in the country here, even beccles got hit by the blob and avoided me.
  19. Mr_Pessimistic
    yes id say norwich has it best, right on the pivot point. just over 1cm here, nothing this morning, big letdown as always. maybee another cm later woo hoo moan groan. fridays event will almost certainly slip to the south or fizzle out too, thats if the uppers are low enough anyway. and those predicted height rises over greenland progged probably wont happen either, as the initial trop response to the ssw (what we are seeing now) often seems to be better than the actual after effects of an ssw which is a shame, but we'll see.. pessamistic but i think realistic.
  20. Mr_Pessimistic
    Yes, I'm looking forward to taking my 350bhp r33 nissan skyline out with a welded rear diff! Love driving in the snow.. let's hope we get some!
  21. Mr_Pessimistic
    well according to scientists livingstone & penn, if they are right, the next solar minimum will be a damn long one! 30 years+ the net result is similar to the predicted net result of the high ice melt, i.e, higher chance of northan blocking and a southerly tracking jet.. all good if you want cold here in the uk, but suceptable to being overridden by other factors such as enso and the like.. heres hopeing they are right! (and we will know in just a few years as sunspots should be dropping like flies! (Due to weakening magnetism needed for them to form in the first place), (and not that there are many to drop anyway!)
  22. Mr_Pessimistic
    wet, wet, dry, dry, dry
  23. Mr_Pessimistic
    indeed, im glad its not just me!
  24. Mr_Pessimistic
    yes, spot on. same old rubbish here weather its summer or winter, dry dry dry. any ppn refuses to fall from the sky in central ea. i really dont know what all this talk of wet weather comes from from an imby perspective. forcasters genuinely should state that the forecast covers the u.k accept for central ea, as it has its own climate where any ppn fades to nothing. if you are thinking im messing around, next time any showers, frontal rain or snow crosses the region, just watch the radar and see it fade to nothing, then pep up again once its crossed the region. this happens every time, without fail. it rellally does annoy me, especially in winter.
  25. Mr_Pessimistic
    storm oh so close, but i fear no cigar
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