Cheshire Freeze

I can hear thunder coming from somewhere. Lashing it down.

I can't see this December being anything other than predominantly mild and wet. At four month range we have the GLOSEA and CFS virtually identical in their prognosis The prognosis is about as grim as you can get for winter prospects. Put that together with what GP has noted about the likely early winter set up for the N hemisphere, it's a bleak picture. IF we get a colder than average (CET) and snowy December I'll pick one random person who has commented in this thread and paypal them a tenner. If that doesn't tempt a cold December then I don't know what will!

Complete agreement between GLOSEA and CFS now. Extremely similar in their prognosis. Horrid

Yes I noticed that the GFS is quite keen for some convective potential towards the western side of the UK overnight tomorrow.

Indeed. However, I do get the feeling those of us who are of a cold persuasion may not be laughing too much come the end of February. I would certainly not rule out another snowless winter for large swathes of lowland England and Wales.

It actually hasn't been THAT wet here. 2012 was definitely wetter for this neck of the woods.

I've just seen the latest GLOSEA output. I don't think I've seen a worse forecasted set up by a long range model for that time of year...ever. It is brutal stuff. As Don has pointed out, it has backing from other models too unfortunately.

The strangest little downpour has developed right overhead

LOL am I the last one standing in here?? Even Telford has had a storm!

As far as I'm concerned, the weather can do what it wants as August progresses. Summer is on the wane regardless with nights drawing in. It cannot go back to its prime now. It's like Cold showing for mid February when January was mild and wet- as far as I'm concerned, the best of winter would already have passed in that scenario.

That's it for today in these parts as the instability pushes further E this afternoon. Time is ticking for a rumble of thunder here in 2017. Surely I won't be waiting until 2018

Still here

Hahahahahahaha storms N of me, storms S of me, storms E of me but here, it's like the parting of the waves. Marooned in no-mans land.

It's like pulling teeth trying to get even a heavy shower here.

I personally love the new reactions.

Can't say I'm overly enthused looking at the radar. Just looks like bog standard sunshine and showers for most of England and Wales. Was expecting more in the way of torrential downpours.

I'm still in. I'm going to be the only one in here soon...

I was thinking the same thing. Surely it would be virtually unprecedented to go almost 2 years without a rumble?!

You and me both. Wait for a storm goes on..

I think people of the cold/snow persuasion should definitely count themselves so very fortunate to have lived through, pretty much, the most extreme December ever in terms of depth of cold. I don't think another December will top that in our lifetimes.

Nothing here again. Yawn!

Middle of summer, warm plume of air, approaching CF and I get drizzle, bloody drizzle!

Oh definitely not to get excited about, but worth keeping an eye on

You can see the classic signature in the surface winds, backed behind the front

Don't often hear the Metoffice speak of LEWPs lol