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Cheshire Freeze

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Everything posted by Cheshire Freeze

  1. Cheshire Freeze
    Quite agree. There is nothing at the moment to suggest anything that is outside of the norm for the time of the year. Seeing the 528 dam line progress towards the UK at times is nothing to get excited about as it's what we should expect as we head through November, but I guess the past few years have really lowered our standards. I'm hoping that we something click into place towards December, the time when we have the potential for some really cold weather.
  2. Cheshire Freeze
    Important to stress we've been here many many times before with charts of promise 10+ days away. That being said it's something to keep an eye on as we progress into November. Personally I prefer early cold ala 2010 as Feb and March cold doesn't interest me.
  3. Cheshire Freeze
    Yeah. I'll take what I can get after the past few joyless winters!
  4. Cheshire Freeze
    Made it to an air frost... -0.2C here
  5. Cheshire Freeze
    Hovering just above freezing here atm...0.5C Air frost looks distinctly possible.
  6. Cheshire Freeze
    I bet the tamiflu worked wonders though in the end. I felt absolutely terrible and couldn't get out of bed for a couple of days but the tamiflu shortened the illness considerably when I caught swine flu.
  7. Cheshire Freeze
    It's absolutely horrendous isn't it...and I sure as hell remember the lower back aches which I attributed to the kidneys. I've never felt as ill in my life as I did with flu...had it twice within a couple of years. The second one I caught was the swine flu variant- came on very fast, deteriorated quickly through the day to the point where I was vomiting too by the end of the day. With that one, however, tamiflu was prescribed fairly promptly and OMG is that a wonder drug! Also, the one positive with influenza is because it's so debilitating, it isn't as easily spread as the common cold as people who have it can't get out of bed to spread it! It also requires a higher viral load to infect someone.
  8. Cheshire Freeze
    Only right we should have a suitable warning in place
  9. Cheshire Freeze
    And pigs might fly!
  10. Cheshire Freeze
    To be fair, I can't see this winter being anything but mild again- however that isn't based on anything happening RE snow advance over Eurasia, more the fact that SSTs are conducive to promoting the same pressure distribution stateside that we've seen over the past few. Looks to me like the jet is going to be as fired up as ever.
  11. Cheshire Freeze
  12. Cheshire Freeze
    Aye
  13. Cheshire Freeze
    Indeed. Quite what this means going forward I'm not sure...but it's interesting to see. Would be good if we could transport this WAA sufficiently N to affect the burgeoning vortex.
  14. Cheshire Freeze
    With a bit of luck, the core of the highest winds will miss to your east...perhaps running up the Irish Sea as per 18z On a side note, I can't believe how differently Ireland approaches these things. I could never imagine my company (a large retailer) allowing closure due to storm force winds. In fact, they'd still try and trade if the roof blew off!
  15. Cheshire Freeze
    I was thinking the same about projected path...I thought data was meant to be sparse to our SW but Ophelia was forecast pretty effortlessly over about 5 days. I'm guessing it is due to the fact that initially she was detached from the jet stream. I think it is the jet (and forecast strength) which is responsible for errant model runs. Also factor in interaction with other areas of low pressure. On to Saturday...the 18z doesn't exactly give Ireland much joy Looks pretty dicey for them once again.
  16. Cheshire Freeze
    18z GFS looks nasty... Widespread inland severe gales possible from that on Saturday
  17. Cheshire Freeze
    Looking at the models, all I can think of is that SSW'ly winds have funnelled up the flat of the Cheshire plain...because there is nothing that stands out to me as overly severe.
  18. Cheshire Freeze
    The way this autumn is panning out, you'd be forgiven for thinking we might actually get a more seasonal winter this year. Though I won't hold my breath.
  19. Cheshire Freeze
    How strange...I didn't think Crewe would be affected much. Not been that bad here in Belfast.
  20. Cheshire Freeze
    The chart is basically the 'accumulated' windspeed for a given number of hours...not the actual windspeeds at that time.
  21. Cheshire Freeze
    Well the part of Belfast I'm at definitely didn't warrant a red warning and I think the biggest impacts from Ophelia have been felt in coastal areas of the Republic. Winds have eased here already and it has been somewhat anticlimatic. Feb 2014 storm was a notch up on this one IMO...that was truly quite scary at the time and did feature a Metoffice red warning.
  22. Cheshire Freeze
    I'm in Belfast and I have seen worse wind wise. Just a typical autumn/winter severe gale here IMO.
  23. Cheshire Freeze
    And that is why I love the weather. The sheer power it can possess. You don't mess with mother nature!
  24. Cheshire Freeze
    Indeed, a real potent storm shown on the 6z GFS, bringing quite widespread gales and severe gales to numerous locations
  25. Cheshire Freeze
    Hope all you lot over in Ireland keep safe tomorrow. This looks really, really nasty for exposed coastal locations particularly. I'm up in Belfast, was meant to be flying back to Manchester tomorrow evening. Not sure that's going to happen now. I just hope Flybe get their act together and give plenty of notice of cancellation to save a wasted journey to the airport!
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