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stun12

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Everything posted by stun12

  1. And as I will never go into the techy threads, I really appreciate it when you repost in here. Although the technical bits take a bit of work, you have made them accessible for those of us who haven't fully learned about the subject. With JP here and producing great short-term forecasts by casting his runes on the fax charts, and your longer-term geophysics, we'll hopefully have a decent idea of when I can plant out and how wet the doggies will get. Long may it continue.
  2. Just for anyone interested from earlier about the MetO 3 month forecasts - there were a few, which gradually predicted a drier (oops, edited) winter (thanks to HaroldW on bishop hill for the links) stun:I've located three such forecasts.2013 Oct 25 "The probability that UK precipitation for November-December-January will fall into the driest of our five categories is close to 15% and the probability that it will fall into the wettest category is approximately 25%." 2013 Nov 21 "The probability that UK precipitation for December-January-February will fall into the driest of our five categories is around 25% and the probability that it will fall into the wettest category is around 15%" 2013 Dec 19 "The probability that UK precipitation for January-February-March will fall into the driest of our five categories is around 20% and the probability that it will fall into the wettest category is between 10 and 15%"
  3. It was certainly a concern that Slingo could come out and blame climate change for a jet stream phenomenon that a Met Office scientist said could not be attributed to AGW at all. As you say, this government and the previous one do well out of this for the moment in taxes, despite hurting the poorest most with energy bills. If, as some seem to believe, we are heading into a cooler period - the unusual regional weather, hot or cold, wet or drought - supposedly a symptom of this, you can bet that they won't bother reducing the taxes, having already found something else to waste our money on. OK, so maybe my rant hadn't quite finished. Oops. Rained a bit, Wasn't expecting that, to be fair. Just a small blob on the radar.
  4. Indeed, it was a bit of a scandal at the time as due to there being "no more snow forever", councils were not encouraged to have stocks of salt, leading to a bizarre situation in our area where all the deliveries to B&Q etc depots were suddenly cancelled and the salt commissioned by the government. My opinion is that somebody got climate change (another subject entirely, and with some huge uncertainties) mixed up with weather. Not for the first time, if we remember spring 2012's drought (" we can expect this to be a frequent occurence") followed a week later by the summer that never was. Bad advice or poor judgement? OK, I'm done now. Sorry
  5. Evening all. The MetO winter outlook was here; http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/m/8/A3_plots-precip-DJF-2.pdf Jax, my son manages to find all sorts of places on the internet to watch the latest movies (and much older ones) and it seems to be harmless enough as far as viruses are concerned. He also uses torrents quite a lot, also with no problems, though some people may have ethical issues with that in terms of copyright. I did recently watch five series of a BBC production which were never put out on DVD and were also, for obvious reasons, no longer on iPlayer. A lovely walk this morning with the doggies. I even leapt out of bed because it was already getting light at 6.40 and I was quite looking forward to it for a change. Just need the muddy quagmire to sort itself out a bit. A couple of showers during the day but mostly bright - I can live with that, but not very warm, so the woodburner is lit. With all the trees we lost in the woods, I can't see us running out for the next 10 years or so. 4.3C and clear here.
  6. Agree entirely that already wet places are impossible...anyway, it was always something of a tongue-in-cheek theory. Bodiam Castle is just so castle-y. And designed as such as it never had much in the way of defensive or military qualities, but was built mainly as a vanity project. And very splendid it is too. Frequently used for history documentaries, one of which features Mrs stun12 chasing an escaped and camera-inquisitive retriever.
  7. God, I hope not. Into the existing drainage system, rivers if available, lower ground. So maybe the problem in the cities where there are now groundwater issues is for the rural people - obviously only where there are no floods - to release water into the rivers to then drain into the sea. If we have too much water in the reservoirs, ground, air (and brain, or so Mrs stun says anyway). If we overwater our garden, it flows down the hill we live on, through some woodland, and eventually arrives at the River Rother. It's slightly tidal, but nobody's built on the floodplains and when upstream floods, most of it's out of the way. They even built the castle at the bottom up the hill a bit:
  8. Where do you think they pump it at the moment, if there's no river nearby? Edit: More seriously, there are probably evaporative qualities to washing the car or distributing water to plants which then transpire. Though there may be the disadvantage of increased water vapour in the atmosphere which then makes it rain again. So that's settled then, compulsory hosepipes when westerlies are >15mph. Sorry, Folkestone and Dover.
  9. I presume that surface water is sinking in and raising the water table such that it is now full to spill...the video earlier of the people in Hampshire where the ground was like a water bed would also be caused by the same thing. A bit concerning as it hasn't got anywhere to go - the water needs to find an outlet via a (dredged) river. Alternatively, we could have a reverse hosepipe ban where everybody has to wash their cars and water the garden.
  10. That would explain the doggie interest. A couple of largish holes there, so I'm always worried about badgers which might consider Jupiter's nose to be a tempting little snack. Thanks MK, forgot about the bunnies, though I've never seen any there. Having said that, the retrievers tend to range ahead of me and they aren't exactly equipped with a stealth mode.
  11. Does that look like about 5mm for most of us? Sheer luxury. Would you like a mashed potato and pea sandwich with that? Not too bad again here today. A couple of showers overnight and a bit of drizzle early doors. Still a mudbath in the woods - it seems to get (even) slipperier when some of the water drains out of it. I've managed to stay upright so far (apart from last Friday, but that was only weather-related as far as it involved being on here) but I suspect that will change. Totally on another matter, does anyone know what sort of animal digs up bluebell bulbs? They're just coming up in the woods and I keep coming across small digs where there are bulbs scattered around afterwards. I've picked a few loose bulbs up and replanted them in our bit of woods which desperately needs some new flora, but I was just wondering what does it in the first place. We have the usual foxes and possibly badgers in the area.
  12. Looks like a bit of everything, JennyJane, but all on quite a muted scale. Some breezier days, a bit of rain, the odd sighting of the strange yellow ball in the sky, but nothing like we've been having. Which is a major relief to all, I'm sure.
  13. Blue skies and sunshine here, but still quite gusty. I can't see any more trees down in the woods - maybe the sustained nature of the gale rather than sudden gusts means the trees stand a better chance. It's like the Vicar of Dibley's lounge after her chocolate binge in here this morning. Scattered around the room are empty (and less empty) bottles, cans, emergency lighting, several types of internet capable devices. Oh yeah. And me. Better clear up before Mrs stun gets up or it'll be CharltonKerryWorld for me.
  14. Still just the occasional gust here...how is it for peeps east of me like Folkestone and Dover. And is Tamara under any weather yet (apart from in the mod thread)?
  15. Some gusts are arriving here now. Still dry though (excluding the vodka, and shortly the red wine) mind.
  16. Well, I opened the front door and it is windy now, but if it was strong I'd have heard it anyway though the double glazing. How's it doing in Brighton?
  17. The wind picked up a wee bit. Unfortunately, the anemoneter, amenoneter, twirly wind thing doesn't seem to be connecting to my glorified alarm clock Oregon weather gadget. Not raining either. The vodka stream is flowing well, though is not yet threatening to burst its banks. My son cooked his Valentine a meal here tonight. Scampi and chips may seem a breeze (ha!) to us, but seeing him try to peel a potato was excruciating. Scary new generation, though I'm sure my parents said the same thing.
  18. Nothing here either. A bit breezy. The NE direction of the storm is taking it past us so far....I think this will change as the evening goes on
  19. Nothing much here at all so far...extreme south-east and a few miles inland. I did get a chance to visit the camping shop a few miles from us to buy a couple of LED lamps in case the power goes - quite likely given the forecast wind speeds and the tree-ey location. Obviously took the opportunity to pick up some libations for the evening ahead, which I've started on. The camping lights take 7-8 hours to charge, so I may not be able to find them. In which case, drinking the vodka (red wine later) appears to be the best idea. #pi§§edstormwatchers
  20. My retrievers are too daft not to want to go out. Walkies is their top priority (even over food, distinguishing them from labs) and nothing will deter them. High winds make them briefly sniff the air before getting stupidly excited again. Managed to go out into the woods with them at 7.30 this morning before the heavens opened, luckily. Just the mud and debris they bring into the house which drives Mrs stun round the twist.
  21. My business partner reports a short snow flurry in Hurstpierpoint (about 12 miles north of Brighton).
  22. The radar's a bit hard to work out now with small blobs now moving in a more westerly direction. No idea what's coming next. How was the dogging, AS...didn't realise there was a netweather 'meet new people in car parks' thread
  23. Took a milk bottle out (yes, I know I sound like Jax, but it wasn't the bin) and noticed it's still and quite chilly - just 3.6C here. Odd to still have milk deliveries, but we're in quite a rural area and the milk comes from a local dairy. Even in the (sob!) snow events of the last few years, they never missed a delivery to us. And I have a bizarre liking for bottles of milk rather than plastic containers. Recycling bin is always full of dog food tins and (oops) beer cans plus all sorts of other plastic.
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