markw2680

To me at this stage there seems to be a lot of models taking the high further north which is good but it’s all starting to go a little too north so where the Atlantic meets the stuff coming from the east will also be further north which would bring milder air in quite a way up the country. Just my thoughts but I’d rather it all be a few hundred miles further south tbh. Quite a way to go yet though so no panic just yet

Sooo it’s all starting to look rather exciting in the run upto Christmas and around the big day but it’s completely pointless looking at who will/might get snow as it’s all around 10 days away which in weather terms is massive, let’s just enjoy what the models are throwing up atm as it’s all very rare to be in this position in the heart of winter let alone Christmas. If we are still in this kind of position come next Tuesday or so then we can all get very excited but for now keep the feet on the ground I’d say

It’s not king at all, they all through a wobbly and all change like the clappers. No one model imo is better. If u ask me ecm is usually the one that takes us up the path only to Chuck us off last minute but we will see

Now that is something I’d like to see

Don’t you just hate it when you read it’s (sinking) it’s probably a coldies gut wrencher. we need to keep our feet firmly on the ground though because I feel there’s going to be plenty more ups and downs to come.

Quite a lot of scatter as you would imagine given the timeframe but there’s quite a lot of very cold ones going on there, very interesting I’d say

Taking just those 2 charts you posted, the 12z definitely is a sinker where as the 18z has much more promise imo . Of course I’m only going off those 2 charts

Yes I get what your saying but that doesn’t mean any are right or wrong atm, all models are struggling with this high where it will end up etc and will not have this nailed until middle of next week if you ask me. I personally expect it to hang around for a while and then slowly sink se, that’s what would normally happen hope I’m wrong though. Time will tell

a few more slight tweaks to the strength of the low and the high and it’s all looking rosey again and tbh this small island only needs little tweaks in a situation like this to lead to much bigger things

Yep coming down well out there with a decent covering already, shame it’s milder tomorrow

Yeah shame it isn’t snowing around 7-9pm then the rain and thaw could set in but 3am I think I’ll be asleep lol

So that’s it then done deal? Wind and rain coming in 5 days??? Come on man do you really think so, the models haven’t a clue what’s going to happen in 2-3 days at present let alone 5

I still don’t think the models have the correct handle of all this. That low pressure that’s so over blown if you ask me that will become much weaker IMO so will have a knock in effect afterwards. Far to many knee jerk remarks in here which to be honest is quite annoying. Early December is showing much more promise this year than normal

It’s gonna be a cold one

It was when I looked outside at 6 am and was wet everywhere and drizzly

Now this was very unexpected

So I read some comments in here and thought it was all over and up the garden path again, so I check for myself and wonder what on earth some people are on, all looks great, very rare to be in this position at all during winter let alone before it’s even begun. How many times not every run will be exactly the same for crying out loud. There will be run to run differences but the theme remains the same for it to get much colder with the chance of snow. End of my rant. Over to the more experienced now….

I think pretty much all of the models are just showing a variety of pretty much the same theme. It’s going to turn much colder with the chance of snow about. That’s about all the details we can say at this stage and I think most on here including myself would jump at that. Looking for the end of any spell/snap at this stage is daft as it’s going to change on a hourly basis

My only problem here is, are we going to get watered down earlier on with the proper good stuff getting delayed again back around the usual day 10. Let’s hope it’s just a blip on this run and back to looking good again in the morning. Only trouble is Iv seen it so many times once it starts getting watered down or put back it gradually just ends up a bog standard affair. Let’s hope not ayy

Or damp and foggy which is all you will get down there in the valleys of wellesbourne

Iv been lurking in the background

Yes normally a few of those remarks knocking about in December when the odds on northerly blast is blasted away last minute to a nice moist south westerly. anyway I better hush now before I get blasted by admin

Can we stick to the models please as winter is over a month away

Definitely something trying to develop pretty much over my head, probably not amount to anything but it’s trying nevertheless

Gee give it chance mate, pretty much everything Iv heard is for after midnight into the early hours.