markw2680

It’s a cold start this morning

Yeah a good covering here was just driving on the m5 by frankley services at it was awful on there

Hoping shower activity picks up in the next few hours and comes our way

Some may be in for a little surprise in the morning, but also I feel there could be some Cheshire gap action to come this week so could be interesting

Yea the models currently are not upto much but just because the outlook doesn’t show cold weather currently doesn’t mean it can’t change in the blink of an eye! Far to much negativity on here imo. When the models show good charts in fi it rarely verifies so why will fi verify now? We have a more seasonal week coming up so enjoy possible surprises and then look again at the models and see what’s showing up.

If it’s anything like this mornings your going to be very upset and have sore eyes from the lack of sleep, if I was you I’d wait until it’s light mate

Whether gfs moves to ecm or whatever does not mean it’s done! I don’t think we will be much clearer come the morning tbh, I’d say tomorrow 12s would hopefully start to become clear but even then I expect changes hopefully small ones though not giant flip flops

So I look at models this morning and thought disgusting I’ll forget this and maybe have another look in the morning just in case, but then couldn’t resist a quick look in the model thread and see 19 new pages!! Then to see it’s all possibly back on after this morning we’ll I give up. I mean what the **** is going on? I no the models can flip flop about but Iv never seen this amount of change in a day before especially for something that’s only a few days away it’s insane. Anyway maybe I’ll have a look at the 18z for a laugh, something very strange is going on I know that much

He’s forgot his details to log in the plank he will be back I’m sure soon good old severe Siberian icy blast. We do but wish the blast would come

True I’d be completely amazed if it did flip back to cold but then again I wasn’t expecting such a big turn around when I woke this morning

Not saying they will flip back at all but the way they suddenly all flipped light switching a light there’s still a chance they could flip back again either later on or in the morning, small chance but still a chance. I’d say the models are still not sure what’s going to happen

Blimey it’s all gone depressing in here hasn’t it. We are all weather enthusiasts in here otherwise we wouldn’t be here but blooming heck there’s so many more important things in life than to be so downbeat about the lack of cold or snow that might or might not fall. End of the day aim low and then you won’t get so disappointed when it all goes tits up. onto tomorrow you never know might wake upto a buzzing forum again

For the life of me can’t understand why your always so negative, where you live I’d say is possibly a prime spot for this weekend. It’s all starting to shape up nicely if you ask me. still think there’s going to be some quite sharp twists in the models in the coming days so peeps further south might still get in on the action or it could all go Pete tong and go back north, either way fantastic model watching at present, far from the usual sw mild mush.

There’s so much uncertainty around the models, the pros pretty much all forecasts and yet some just say game over! It’s most certainly not game over yet, come the 12s today there’s going to be big changes yet again for good or for worse but it’s NOT game over just yet. If it’s looking like mild mush tomorrow 12s then yes pretty much done but not today people. Keep ya chin up it’s Monday morning

It was only yesterday that things where looking good and further south so just because today has pushed it all north dosnt mean that tomorrow it won’t come further south again. It’s really not done yet there will 100% be further twists and turns to come

Tbh I still think there will be big swings in the next couple of days, remember it only takes minor tweaks to the high and low pressure to make all the difference. I honestly do not think we will have much of an idea until Tuesday evening personally. Id say even Wednesday and Thursday there will be tweaks for good or worse. Let’s just relax a bit, I know today has been a bit of a kick in the balls but tomorrow is a new day

There’s a lot more high pressure to the south today unfortunately and I think that is a big problem and unless that gets shunted away or weaker then I think anywhere away from the north will not see any of the white stuff at Christmas

I personally still don’t think we will know that much later today, there will be big swings too I feel. I’m thinking Tuesday would hopefully start to firm up

Couldn’t of put it better myself. The theme is pretty much the same just need that southward trend and there will be booms going off all over the place

Well after last nights 18z run we all just new it would all take a slight backwards step this morning. Nothing is ever simple in the uk is it? Oh well expect more swings to come. Probably be a few poorer runs today and then just as some will say that’s it it’s nailed the models will start to push south once more. There’s plenty of time yet so just stay calm and carry on

Quite remarkable charts showing on the latest gfs, I think there’s been a general improvement across the board today overall so that’s definitely a good trend. What we don’t want tomorrow is for the trend to start going further north again! I don’t think that would be the case as generally things go slightly further south the closer the time gets. Some spell this COULD be, let’s count it down now without anymore downs if possible

As has been said countless times by many on here it’s completely pointless looking at snow charts for a week away, if you have low pressure around in a cold airmass then chances arrive at very short notice. Let’s just get the cold air in and see what happens

Sooo many toys will be thrown out over the next few days and then picked back up again just a few hours later, it’s gonna be a bumpy ride peeps so please for the love of god don’t say it’s done and dusted as the next run may leave you looking a little silly

Personally get very annoyed by people jumping the gun all the time even though they know how the models work. How can anyone call it a bust or it’s boom or anything like that for weather for a week away? Yes 7/8 days yet and apparently it’s a bust! The models will not have the correct outcome for a good few days yet and will not firm up until about Wednesday. At least we are in with a shot this year which doesn’t happen often does it. Let’s relax a lot and see how things shape up but for now shaping up rather nice if you ask me

As lovely as ecm is I’d say fi starts around 144/168 hrs latest so anything after that is just not really worth taking much notice of, I know it’s what we all want to see but it will chop and change 100% so for now we need to take with a pinch of salt to avoid that possible disappointment