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Everything posted by No Balls Like Snow Balls
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Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ian F gave a update earlier a few pages back. Here it is:- Addition to my earlier post: in summary, UKMO note very little support "as yet" for the deepening frontal depression in 00z EC DET (= circa 10% ENS) and ditto for severe wx seen in GFS-P. However, developments remain under close scrutiny, obviously, given "...natural interest in festive period wx". -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's not really a proper high in Scandi anyway. It's only surface pressure. You need greens and yellows for it to start being a proper high pressure cell. -
From WSI Models are trending in favor for a significant Eurasia stratospheric warming event during the next 2 weeks.
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Wednesday 17th December General Weather Chat
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to The PIT's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
From WSI re last nights rain. High precipitation totals for Wales overnight, 32mm for Capil Curig. Drier across the east with around 5 to 10 mm. -
White Christmas 2014
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Stuart's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think the chances have increased slightly from the last update they did on the 15th. -
White Christmas 2014
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Stuart's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Someone call a doctor LOL :-P -
Wednesday 17th December General Weather Chat
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to The PIT's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Current conditions Sky conditions: partly cloudy. Temperature: 11.0 Celsius. Dewpoint: 9.0 Celsius. Relative Humidity: 87% Windchill Factor: 9. Winds: West at 17 km/h or 9 knots. Mean Sea level Pressure: 100.40 kilopascals. Horizontal visibility: 6.21 statute miles or 9.94 kilometers. Height of the Ceiling: 2438 metres ( 8000 feet ). Low of 6c overnight, but had risen to 11c by sunrise -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From WSI Monday's ECM update indicating a potential cold spell for Scandi and W'ern Europe at end of Dec/ start of January. -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good run again from the GFS 12Z FI (following on from a good GFS 06Z in FI) in regards to wanting to build heights around Greenland. -12c 850's trying to make it into Scotland -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I am pretty sure Ian did say the other day not to use the mean charts as they are skewed by the historical climatological averages. -
Winter 2014-15 thread
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
From Weather Network UK Temperatures to fluctuate widely over the next few days. Highs of 15C are possible by Thursday. -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Albeit run at a lower resolution than the ECM DET the below ECMWF 500MB EPS control for the 8-15 day period shows a Positive anomaly over Greenland and a negative anomaly over Scandinavia. Make of that what you will :-) -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From WSI Turning colder Christmas Eve & Christmas Day! Wintry showers in the north but questionable in the south!?! -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Tuesday 16th December General Weather Chat
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to The PIT's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Current conditions Temperature: 3.0 Celsius. Dewpoint: 1.0 Celsius. Relative Humidity: 87% Windchill Factor: 0. Winds: South-southwest at 9 km/h or 5 knots. Mean Sea level Pressure: 101.50 kilopascals. Low overnight of -3c -
Monday 15th December General Weather Chat
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to The PIT's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Current conditions Sky conditions: partly cloudy. Temperature: 7.0 Celsius. Dewpoint: 5.0 Celsius. Relative Humidity: 87% Winds: Southwest at 4 km/h or 2 knots. Mean Sea level Pressure: 101.20 kilopascals. Horizontal visibility: 6.21 statute miles or 9.94 kilometers. Height of the Ceiling: 671 metres ( 2200 feet ). High of 8c today. -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GFS P ends up different (horrifically different) from the old GFS, obviously that throws a big spanner in any potential shown by the old GFS. -
White Christmas 2014
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Stuart's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Thursday 11th December General Weather Chat
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to The PIT's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Current conditions Sky conditions: overcast. Temperature: 7.0 Celsius. Dewpoint: 3.0 Celsius. Relative Humidity: 76% Windchill Factor: 4. Winds: Southwest at 19 km/h or 10 knots. Mean Sea level Pressure: 100.90 kilopascals. Horizontal visibility: 6.21 statute miles or 9.94 kilometers. Height of the Ceiling: 6096 metres ( 20000 feet ). High of 8c today. -
Winter 2014-15 thread
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
From Weather Network UK Friday night could be the COLDEST of 2014 so far. Would have to beat -7.7C recorded in February. -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From Mark Vogan Weather N England snow event: Both GFS & ECMWF have coating to 1" for low levels, up 6" over the Pennines next 36 hrs. -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
No Balls Like Snow Balls replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Latest ECM Snow total charts from WSI via twitter. UK daily snow totals (in centimeters) decreasing in drier, although still cold, air from the north-west. -
Looking forward to a period of gusty winds and heavy rain, no matter how short that maybe :-)