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Everything posted by Frosty_wsm
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Frosty_wsm replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah but the model thread ain't the place to do it, the se regional would be more appropriate. Thought I'd reply to your post in the correct thread too. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Frosty_wsm replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Whoa, what have I been saying, I must have been so drunk at the time as I can't remember saying anything lol -
I wouldn't say it's that bad here for cold and snow, the three or four winters prior to the 2013/2014 each had at least one snow event here with snow lying, It's just been crap here since the 2013/2014 winter, despite the two falls of snow we'e had this winter, neither of which ended with settling snow, well apart from a little on cars and grass anyway. Been miserable day here so far today though, hasn't stopped pouring all god damn day!
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We've had sleet and snow showers from a w/nw wind before (I can remember driving round chasing the showers that were streaming in off the bristol channel) it all depends on where that westerly originates from and next week it' coming from a very cold source and despite the sea track over the Atlantic the models are still showing some very low upper air temps over the uk (for a w/nw wind!).
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Would have thought the M4 was the leat of our worries, the welsh mountains will be I expect but it wouldn't surprise me if all the parameters are right for snow, upper air temps, dew points, low thicknesses etc at times during next week, the question is will there be any precipitation around at the same time.
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What a depressing miserable bunch we have in here tonight lol. Even Ian f mentioned on the forecast that the north westerly is going to very cold for a wind from the nw (as in more colder than usual for a nw pm flow, can't remember exactly his words but it was something along those lines) The models, especially the gfs is showing some unusually cold uppers coming in from the nw, this doesn't look like your typical pm flow from a north westerly.
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Frosty_wsm replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh really, post the video up on YouTube as proof? I've been out a few times today and it feels god damn cold out there, especially in the wind. Short weather it ain't! -
How about you back up your predictions with some chart analysis as to why any easterly will fail before months end as without them as far as I'm concerned you could be looking at tea leafs to come to the conclusion you have!
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Frosty_wsm replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah, powdery snow, the sort that gets blown about in the wind and doesn't melt on impact, has been years since I've seen that here. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Frosty_wsm replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ah, that explains why we haven't seen that member from Greece on here, anyone remember him, he used to 'like' every single post that talked about mild weather for the uk lol. -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Frosty_wsm replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And some people act like the south west is the worse place to be for snowfall, in some battleground scenarios it can in fact be the best place to be!