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Everything posted by Frosty_wsm
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Frosty_wsm replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted earlier in this thread about the Dec '81 snowfall, I'm at sea level just a few miles from the Bristol channel coast we had around a foot of level snow, snow drift up the back door of the house that we couldn't open it but looking at the archive charts the 850s were only -2/-3, there's more factors at play than just the 850 temps. -
And yet the met office class a flake of snow falling but nothing on the ground as a white Christmas lol. We had scenes just like that here on Christmas day that year, absolutely gorgeous Christmas card scene greeted me upon opening the curtains but because we had clear blue skies & no snow falling it wasn't a white Christmas officially!
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Frosty_wsm replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep, I've seen so much talk recently about the upper air temps not being great & then I think about the awesome snowfall event of Dec '81 with over a foot of level snow here & I'm at sea level just a few miles from the Bristol channel & looking back at the archive charts the upper air temps were only - 2/-3 at the time so you never know. Either way it's great seeing this thread buzzing & hopefully we all get lucky & see some snow. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Frosty_wsm replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
BANK!! think I'd sacrifice all of next winter for that chart to come off! Better hope Catacol doesn't see that chart seeing as he's recently moved from down this way -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Frosty_wsm replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Sorry to the few of you who were probably sat their just waiting for the first tiny signs of the 12z gfs back tracking towards the euros output this morning just so you could come out with the 'I told you so' posts in the mod thread lol. Instead the ukmo has moved towards the gfs. You might want to keep sitting there waiting though as you never know, the ecm might yet come to your aid in a couple of hours Personally I love the chase & when the mod thread is buzzing when there's cold showing up (at any range) , just because some might show excitement when cold charts appear does not mean they expect them to come off, obviously they don't, the weather will do what it's gonna do. -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Frosty_wsm replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry but you're talking rubbish, think I'll use Dec '81 as an example, that was the most severe snowfall I've ever lived through, over a foot of level snow on the ground, couldn't even open the back door of the house due to a snow drift all the way up to the top of the door. I'm down south at sea level and just a few miles from the coast and looking back at the archive charts the upper air temp was only - 2/-3, if other factors are favourable then you don't need - 5 uper air temps. -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Frosty_wsm replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Chasing sleet, funny that as I see lots of reports of settling snow from various locations even in the south east & not at very high asl either! Looks like all those who were mentioning snow falling were right, despite all the stick they were getting from various posters. -
Still have nightmares about the heavy snow forecast for the south of the uk over night a few years back, the low pressure ended up being even further south and buried the channel islands! There was a few snow flakes blowing about in the wind the following morning but that was it, the snowfall caused chaos in the channel Islands though & northern france due to the snow depths.
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Early run up to Winter 2020/2021 discussion
Frosty_wsm replied to Mapantz's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Dec 81 was awesome down here in North Somerset, over a foot of level snow at sea level, snow drifts up the back door of the house to the point we couldn't open it, never seen a winter like it since though & with global warming I doubt I ever will again. -
Having asthma, along with a life long heart condition I'm certainly stressing out about this virus for what might happen to me or my elderly parents. Regarding the advice to self isolate, ironically that's how I've lived everyday for nearly 30 years anyway since I finished work in 1992, I got diagnosed with severe social phobia shortly afterwards and I literally spend most of my time in the house & when I do go out I go out of my way to avoid people, it's a very depressing, lonely existence but I've got used to it so you could say this virus outbreak hasn't had any affect on how I'm living (existing!) day to day. Not sure what type of weather I'd like to see now, you'd think nice warm spring weather is likely to lead to more people getting out & about , where as a very cold easterly blast (it cold enough) might result in less people going out.