Stormyking

Great surprise here, just had a couple really intense Dry Thunderstorms moved over the island, the cgs were incredible, so so powerful and amazingly structured! And so clear! no rain just thunder and lightning

I remember Lightning being pink during Morning storms of may 2011 I saw red lightning during a thundersnow in March 2007 White Lightning in June 2013 and a lot of other day time storms I have seen alsorts of colours

Little taster just from my phone from tonight's incredible display!

I was quite happy with that judgement about the dorset one haha, anyways we are heading to west wight to see if we get a view of any of these developing in the channel! GOOD LUCK GUYS And GIRLS!

Anyone on the Dorset coast, keep an eye out, cell has literally exploded, it looks close to popping

As we do our own local forecast this what we think, and our map area basically Thunderstorms? A complicated evening ahead! With all the different computer models showing different scenarios for this evenings potential storms, we have concluded the most likely outcome will be this. After a very warm day the cloud is likely to increase towards the evening with the risk of the odd thundery shower developing although the more severe and active weather will develop to the north of the island. There may be further thundery showers and rain developing close to the IOW but at the moment it seems as though the main bulk of the activity will be towards the mainland later on in the evening. All the thundery weather will clear northwards through the night and into the early hours of the morning. Please note that a couple of the computer models still put the strongest storms over our area but we are extremely uncertain how probable this outcome will be, which means we aren't ruling out storms at this point but we are expecting the bulk of the activity to be further north. We will give you further updates later as the high resolution computer model data is released because things may still change. Ryan Trigg will give you further updates as and when the information becomes available and I will be updating you all again later on today.

Loads of friends going up now like big friends (AcCas) thats what we call them lol ohh its on its side

Great Evening here, proper dry storms, some beautiful cgs, one very very close one, every single strike was all cgs and very powerful! Though not frequent, but still the skies along with any lightning, and an incredible sunset was seriously amazing!

Interesting week to come by the looks of it, though still a lot of uncertainty in where about's any storms will be if any that is... Thing with these set ups im kinda getting the vibe where there will be quite a lot of heat, i honestly feel the charts will struggle to pick some storms, as they could potentially be quite dry storms, where they develop really high up in the atmosphere. Im only going by this because the first wave of heat looks like a dry type of heat, so any storms will be very elevated. Correct me if im wrong, but this is just my opinion

Obviously the people who are doing these computer models want to go to the beach for a week off so its teasing us with this crazy settup, itis alright for some! -.- Haha nah have to say this GFS and all others are absolutely cracking, fingers crossed, im not getting hpes up until closer to times

In the meantime however, the GFS rolling out and its still looking rather nice and pleasant for the majority of this week, especially for much of the South, as does the ECM, before it all changes. Some really pleasant Temperatures: 22-23'c for quite a lot and this is the same into Thursday and Friday!

The ECM-GFS thing you have put there is what I was thinking and the way im seeing it about the ECM towards the end of the run.

Rainbow drops

El Bernardo El strike me

I personally dont find the ECM athat bad of a run, shows some very slack low over the UK, turning to a very slack Northerly which would actually be good for homegrown storms for places, Uppers of +2'c - +3'c and surface temperatures around 20-23'c for a lot of UK I should Imagine. By 240 I see potential of Warmer air pushing up from the South as thatWarmer air pushing up from the South as that low to the south of that main area of high pressure looks to draw some warmer air up and, that low that is over us starts moving off to the East or north East., that low that is over us starts moving off to the East or north East. This is at +240 Correct me if you think I am wrong, I wouldn't be surprised that High to our North moves further East on its next run.

Quite a hard one for me as we are quite spoilt here on the Island for views and watching storms, but my top 5 areas I would say is... 1. Culver Downs 2. St Catherine's Point 3. Brading/Ashey Downs 4. Compton/ freshwater area 5. Ventnor Downs

A Twister

Thankyou guys! Back on subject, stuff to our east looks so close to popping!

Thought you guys might be interested in these few snappers i got from last night, one from St catherines lighthouse and the other from Freshwater bay...

The channel is not a storm killer, majority of the storms we get along the South coast of the UK is actually developed over channel, even as much as 20 miles away! Because majority is usually Elevated stuff, which you not need surfaced cape or lifted or a lot of heating for this to happen! A good example is March 2010 an elevated storm developed barely 40 miles to our south over the channel, and it was a beast for March! The reason storms always die when they leave France is because they are surface based, so the cooler seas will kill them.. This has no affect on Elevated/ mid level storms, because these develop high up into the Atmosphere, so the channel will have no affect on these type of storms. Right now the cells that's developed going towards South East coast around Brighton, developed in the channel them selves.

Quite a decent night overall, had a great light show earlier and captured my very first Lightning strikes which I shall share with you all! Some pretty close strikes towards the end with some beautiful CG'S but quickly died out into just an area of general Thundery rain... However im not gonna say its all over yet as I wouldnt be surprised if some individual elevated cells pop up over the channel

Well we are quickly sho Ahaa fair enough, compton is a good area for this type going on now oting to Mcdonalds in a bit, and we are thinking of heading anywhere South or West wight