bobbydog
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Posts posted by bobbydog
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Lamp-post alert!!
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13 minutes ago, evans1892 said:
Wasn't expecting this. Dire.
What were you expecting? A baby?
It's +360 so it'll be different tomorrow.
Here's the op at +360 to cheer you up-
anyway, someone spotted a stray isobar earlier on a model somewhere. Apparently could be worthy of an Express headline...
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3 minutes ago, tight isobar said:
Well there you are...where ya been ??!!
Busy mate, we have to move house in January. (Landlord selling up) another reason to be confident of a cold snowy winter. - My kind of luck says I'll be moving house in a blizzard...
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Yet another very different (and very good) evolution from the GFS
00z
06z
Whilst the details are unclear, the overwhelming theme over the past few days, (Yes, I have been watching but life's problems have been keeping me away from my hobbies) is for a definite slide into winter. Notably colder, more frequent wintry showers and more importantly, the signal for significant cold and snowy weather into western Europe - exactly where we need it. So far, this winter is shaping up to be a good one. Patience young jedis...
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1 hour ago, Soaring Hawk said:
So sorry about your news bobbydog, that must be turning your life over hugely. Really hope you can find somewhere suitable that you like and meets your budget. Just wondering why your landlord hasn’t given you the six months notice you’re entitled to?
Nice sunset yesterday.
They actually only have to give us 2 months notice, so 3 is a bonus really. They really don't want to sell the house and said if their circumstances change in the meantime, they won't sell. Mid-winter is not a good time to be moving house.
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3 hours ago, Badgers01 said:
another lovely day such a contrast to yesterday - much better day to appreciate the new house colours.
Lovely house there.
Sadly, our landlords informed us yesterday that they are going to have to sell the house so we will have to move by January. Been here 4 and a half years and this was their retirement income. They were happy for us to live here forever but due to unforseen circumstances they have to sell. They are almost as gutted as we are. They said we are the best tenants they could have hoped for and offered us first refusal on buying it. I bought a lottery ticket last night.... (£550,000 market value...) Didn't win... Sad really, we love the house and we couldn't have wished for better landlords. They've even been here for barbecues in the summer. If we do have an epic winter, we could be moving in the middle of it. Not quite sure where though, there aren't many properties around here which suit our needs within our budget.
But hey, $#/! happens, that's life...
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So... we're now on 159 days, with 86 days left, the maximum number of spotless days we could theoretically achieve is 245 days. Realistically, there is likely to be a few more sunspots by the end of the year but I reckon we will still manage to pass the 200 mark
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Just for fun at this stage but the CFS looks interesting for Boxing day
Even -16c uppers a few days later!
1962 anyone?
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1 hour ago, SteveB said:
10 day's blank, 152 for 2018 57%
Solar flux 68
Now equal to 2007 for blank days.
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22 hours ago, Geordiesnow said:
I must say I would not be surprised if by the end of September if snowfall anomolies across Siberia are below average because the outlook look way above average temperature wise and perhaps dry with large areas of high pressure dominating.
Actually, as of now, the anomaly is slightly positive for all areas-
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10 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:Not as deep or threatening by the looks on the fax chart, my other slight criticism of this storm is I would prefer the isobars to be tightest on the SE flank like Oct 16th 1987, I would love to see a really potent sting jet occur slap bang over my house.
The Met office complaints department should deal with that for you. Though you do need to subscribe to their premium service if you want a sting jet over your house...
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I suppose I better take my gazebo down.
Before it ends up somewhere over the rainbow....
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1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:
The Ensemble mean ( on the same site ) is near 100% agreement on the dip to now 6M/S (was 5)
Best
That's 8m/s going up to 9 at the end. Still lower than climatology I suppose.
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14 hours ago, Steve Murr said:
It does im afraid because the model is trying to resolve what happens over the pole in terms of blocking when we dip down to 5M/S again on the zonal wind in around 10-12 days time-
Can't see it here Steve-
Looking around average.
That's H. Attard website. Where do you see the dip to 5m/s? (which site I mean)
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28 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:
Some extreme charts from the earlier 12z- All tied in with another projected dip in the vortex to record breaking low levels...
Hmm... one ensemble chart at +384hrs doesn't really 'tie' into much. Lots of waiting yet before any projections can be given credibility....
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4 hours ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:
Within next 3 years I strongly believe we will have a challenge to one of the 20th century greats. And this winter on will start to display DNA of winters experienced during 40s to 70s imo....before the 2nd anticipated step down as we come to the end of cycle 25.
I think a very ‘seasonal’ December beckons
BFTP
19 minutes ago, Lakigigar said:I also believe we will have three much colder than normal winters in a row now.
So do I. Though based on scientific fact and historical data, It's more a 'feeling' than anything else..
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Forgettable years?...
Dunno, I forgot them....
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7 minutes ago, coldwinter said:
I'd rather there was little there until October, as the more there before then means there is less scope for larger gains. Snow cover is obviously linked with the pressure patterns, that's what is worth watching as we head through October. Be interesting to see how much blocking there is over the Taymyr peninsular and the barents/kara seas through October as Mr Murr has alluded too.
Yes I agree about the larger gains point. What I'm really referring to is the suggestion that we may see recurring blocking weather patterns which could result in larger gains anyway through October. Early days yet but all we can do is watch and wait...
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Just now, coldwinter said:
Correct me if i'm wrong but the SAI correlation if for the last week of Sept at the earliest no?
Yes. It's technically the October SAI. However, an early start to the season can only help things along
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2 hours ago, Katrine Basso said:
No change in sea ice but there has been some retreat in the snow cover.
Not in China though...
Well below 60°N (think S.A.I. ...)
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23ºc and cloudless sky. sunbathing in the garden, loving this 'autumnal' weather
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great summer. august not great overall but 2 weeks of it were spent in st ives in cornwall which has its own sunny micro-climate anyway. so my summer was brilliant.
and (thankfully....)i DID get the 34ºc heat for a while which i loved. summers shold be HOT and winters should be COLD! now bring on the arctic!!
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1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
westerly breezes very grey, bbc going for grey and westerly winds here all week, similar to early last week
this looks like westerly breeze and grey
naah, i can see red, orange, yellow, green....
The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Well I've just seen my fridge and it's still only November.
As an added bonus, there was beer in it...