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EML Network

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    Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by EML Network

    17 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    Icon has rain for much of the day (away from high ground) turning to snow in the evening. Chilterns,  downs & welsh mountains etc could do well..

    Could contain: Plot, Map, Atlas, Diagram, Land, Nature, Outdoors, Rainforest, Vegetation, Sea

    Could contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Atlas, Diagram, Outdoors, Plant, Rainforest, Tree, Vegetation

    Could contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Atlas, Plant, Rainforest, Tree, Vegetation, Sea, Water

    Iove how some are ignoring this.

    going to be some upset people IMO come this time tomorrow.

    Snow falling onto wet ground, with temperatures above zero even overnight and dew points wrong side of marginal.

    im expecting rain here if it snows from the outset ill be pleasantly surprized

    Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by EML Network

    Its becoming obvious now for those South of London, get out and enjoy whatever snow falls tomorrow before the night because its looking likely to transition to rain as the system heads North.

    Amazing just how far North the modelling has moved the PPN compared to what was being modelled just 24 hours ago.

    London itself could be in a prime location.

    before the real fun heads to the North

    • Like 2

    Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Just goes to show that you cant really take the snow charts at face value.

    im right in the center of that lovely salmon coloured snow zone on the GFS for 6am

    Could contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Atlas, Diagram

    The reality...

    Could contain: Backyard, Nature, Outdoors, Yard, Plant, Potted Plant, Garden, Cookware, Pot, Chair

    Yes I know...I forgot to put the washing in 😂

    Tomorrows PPN has gone quite a way North on the GFS as well for the South on the 0z run and seems to have been pushed back into the daytime as well. So im figuring that too will be falling as rain.

    0Z for 3pm tomorrowCould contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Atlas, Diagram, Person

    18z for 3pm tomorrow

    Could contain: Chart, Plot, Map, Atlas, Diagram, Person

    Thats pretty shocking inconsiatency for something only 36 hours away.

    Met office App not even showing any PPN at all for this area tomorrw 🤷‍♂️🤮😂

    Seems little point in posting any other charts now. What does and has throughout this entire saga, seemed more likely is that the area between Midlands and North England are in a good spot for a real pasting and potentially sustained through until the weekend.

     

    Somwhere like Edale Peak Districts and Lakes or North York Moors could do really well out of this

    • Like 7
    • Insightful 2
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