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ItNeverSnowsInWindsor

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Everything posted by ItNeverSnowsInWindsor

  1. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    There’s still a few members moving the low for next week further North bringing rain to London. So there’s still a chance the Low could follow an optimal path for us to deliver something! Nice finish to the ECM run prolonging the cold spell unlike GFs.
  2. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    GfS ensembles are certainly going for milder unsettled weather from next weekend. Quite a few spikes appearing together with the rise in 850’s. Hope they’re wrong and we manage to get a high pressure cell somewhere close instead. Could do without the extra rainfall certainly!
  3. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Is this the Met Office extended debate chat ?
  4. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Could be seeing double digit minima for areas with abundant snow cover
  5. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Hope the ️ doesn’t jinx the models this afternoon!
  6. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    It should drop below 2c if the cold Northerly happens in a few days time. Looking at a few ice days for sure.
  7. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Lack of data
  8. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    ECM
  9. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    The mean will do nicely thank you.
  10. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    No point viewing the charts until Sunday. Too early to micro analyse such a complex situation.
  11. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Too early to be confident of the positioning and 850’s. Look at how high ECM was predicting this week’s 850’s until the last minute!
  12. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    How do you mean ? It has the snow potential!
  13. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    This is great. We want an elongated low so the mild sector stays to the South instead of mixing the uppers readily!
  14. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Let’s hope this evenings ECM is kind to us down South in lowland. Need 850’s of below -2c as a max, but ideally -5c and below.
  15. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Gfs Op and Control have gone from zero to hero!
  16. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    The current GFS op has over 24 hours of decent snowfall over parts of Southern Britain!
  17. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    The good news is that the GFS is less progressive this morning! The Op is no longer a mild outlier in the medium frame. This bodes well for snow chances further South!
  18. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Last evenings ensembles show that the 18z GFS op was on the mild side for both London and Oslo in the crucial medium term and therefore being over-progressive. Will be interesting to see if some of that has reduced this morning ?
  19. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Look forward to the Met updates at the weekend hopefully for the jackpot down South The South is in the game if the GFs 0z run is to be believed.
  20. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    No one knows yet where exactly it could be.
  21. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    I can’t remember it as it was a long time ago The last proper snow down here!!
  22. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Very disappointing Op and Control runs on the GFS 12z. Praying for a change of fortune come the morning!
  23. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Just hope the weather stays cold enough for any snowfall not to melt quickly to exacerbate the flooding issues in the South East!
  24. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    I think the GFS is being a tad progressive in blowing away the cold pool over NW’ Europe. But we will see…
  25. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Somewhere’s gonna hit the jackpot! High stakes high reward!
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