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ItNeverSnowsInWindsor

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Everything posted by ItNeverSnowsInWindsor

  1. To get just an inch from a well advertised BFTE in 2018 was indeed pathetic for the Thames Valley.
  2. Yes but we were also looking at “possibilities” back in 2018 also well in advance of the event that delivered to a few places only. The ensembles looked a lot more solid then than they do now. Red flag for me unfortunately.
  3. There is no agreement with any severe cold spell like there was in 2018 where you could see a bunch of ensembles members around -10c or lower. This one looks like a dudd with a bit of high pressure but welcome dry weather.
  4. We had -10’s before the beast from the east in 2018 and even that just delivered 1” snow in Windsor!
  5. The jet is still too far north and the lows would continue to stick over us rather than to the South or over southern Britain.
  6. We need to lose the Azores high fairly pronto otherwise it’ll keep pumping up the lows towards us at an unfavourable trajectory.
  7. “the risk of impacts from cold, ice and snow is greater than normal.” So what’s the “normal” risk of impact from snow and ice in the South ? 5% and diminishing each year ?
  8. Not expecting any snowfields over Southern Britain! The usual suspects would do well further North.
  9. Watch this get watered down to something like - slightly below average temperatures or dry with some frost or fog.
  10. The trend since last night’s GFS18z run has been a downgrade. Any cold spell seems to get pushed further down the line and much shorter. At this rate we won’t even see any cold synoptics at all.
  11. Can’t wait for this season to be over. Sick to death of all this unsettled weather and chasing the cold snowy weather which will never come. When was it ever ?
  12. I agree, it’s just a brief cold northerly blast which doesn’t look like delivering much apart from north facing coasts and hills. And it’s over fairly quickly sandwiched with mild unsettled conditions.
  13. A definite improvement towards the latter stages but too much water to flow under the bridge yet.
  14. Current icon output would only deliver for more northern regions unfortunately.
  15. Let’s see if there’s any prospects of countrywide snowfall before suggesting it not to be your average cold spell.
  16. It’s not exactly hard to see a colder trend after the very mild conditions most of us have had to endure the past few weeks!
  17. The Met Office are going for drier and more settled cold conditions which may not include widespread snow though.
  18. We could very easily end up with nothing cold wise. As has more often than not been the case. Need the GFS and ensembles to agree on the cold solutions.
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