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Everything posted by ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
To get just an inch from a well advertised BFTE in 2018 was indeed pathetic for the Thames Valley. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes but we were also looking at “possibilities” back in 2018 also well in advance of the event that delivered to a few places only. The ensembles looked a lot more solid then than they do now. Red flag for me unfortunately. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There is no agreement with any severe cold spell like there was in 2018 where you could see a bunch of ensembles members around -10c or lower. This one looks like a dudd with a bit of high pressure but welcome dry weather. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We had -10’s before the beast from the east in 2018 and even that just delivered 1” snow in Windsor! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The jet is still too far north and the lows would continue to stick over us rather than to the South or over southern Britain. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What’s so great about the GEM ? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We need to lose the Azores high fairly pronto otherwise it’ll keep pumping up the lows towards us at an unfavourable trajectory. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Not expecting any snowfields over Southern Britain! The usual suspects would do well further North. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not bad for a cold dry outlook. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Watch this get watered down to something like - slightly below average temperatures or dry with some frost or fog. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The trend since last night’s GFS18z run has been a downgrade. Any cold spell seems to get pushed further down the line and much shorter. At this rate we won’t even see any cold synoptics at all. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Can’t wait for this season to be over. Sick to death of all this unsettled weather and chasing the cold snowy weather which will never come. When was it ever ? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree, it’s just a brief cold northerly blast which doesn’t look like delivering much apart from north facing coasts and hills. And it’s over fairly quickly sandwiched with mild unsettled conditions. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s game over then. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We need to see the main ops showing this from various models soon! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Met Office are going for drier and more settled cold conditions which may not include widespread snow though. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
ItNeverSnowsInWindsor replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We could very easily end up with nothing cold wise. As has more often than not been the case. Need the GFS and ensembles to agree on the cold solutions.