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ItNeverSnowsInWindsor

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Everything posted by ItNeverSnowsInWindsor

  1. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Watch the charts start to back track soon.
  2. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    ECM failed to spot the mid Atlantic block that GFS did.
  3. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    The Met Office aren’t the be all everyone makes out to be. GFS could well be right again just as it was in early December over the pathetic snowless cold spell.
  4. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Over here in the Thames Valley I haven’t seen over an inch of snowfall since January 2013. Wish I could move North but wife won’t let me .
  5. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Until the Met Office change the wording to widespread significant snowfall this winter will remain a non event. Close but no cigar CURRENTLY.
  6. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Unfortunately in this m0dern w1nter era it’s nigh on impossible! What was possible in the U.K. is now only possible in Scandinavia. Summers on the other end are so easy to see heatwaves now compared to the past few decades. Winters suck here!
  7. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    It looks mainly dry to me. We need the high further North!
  8. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Might need to wait a bit for the skis
  9. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    A decent ECM for some parts of Western Europe with some snowfall reaching parts of France. At least it’s looking dry here for a much needed change from the wet conditions we’ve had!
  10. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    It would be interesting to come back in 5 days to see the ensembles again. Will we see agreement on the ensembles dipping below -5c +7days ?
  11. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    What a struggle it is to see below average temperatures in this era!
  12. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Great for earlier cold and an easterly.
  13. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    I’m liking the elongated low into East Europe. It should help develop a cold easterly flow on the Northern flank.
  14. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    I’m not keen on GFS. It blocks any of the Scandi cold pool advecting SW’ towards us. ECM is the preferred option. UKMO isn’t bad in that respect, just need the low to edge a bit southwards and then bingo!
  15. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Where’s the low to the West of Iceland heading ?
  16. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Once the high pressure exerts its influence.
  17. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    I’d be happy to just see some dry weather for a change. I’ve pretty much accepted that to see wintry weather I’ll have to go to Scandinavia or the Alps. And yes a nice warm Easter
  18. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    With this kind of setup, there won’t ever be cross model agreement inside T144H- maybe only within T72H if we’re lucky.
  19. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    The 6z GFS run doesn’t even get the low reaching Denmark and is also further North. Unfortunately the low phases with the low over Scotland and the cold Scandi pool remains blocked.
  20. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    We need the low over England on Tuesday to clear East into Europe as far as posssible to allow the Scandi cold pool to start flowing West. The GFS doesn’t do this and has the low slowing down over Denmark before eventually getting absorbed into the vortex over NE Scandinavia.
  21. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    Got room for improvement, the current EC run would only favour north facing areas.
  22. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    The only consolation will be the much needed dry weather! Maybe February could deliver like in 1991 ?
  23. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    In other words a very strong Atlantic jet stream with limited blocking ?
  24. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    So what happened with the cold coming in December and the snow chances after ? Absolutely zilch and same again this time around. There is not enough blocking in place for this to deliver.
  25. ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
    This one is even more so based on current data.
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