There’s a lot of water to flow under the bridge first.
Let’s get to Thursday unscathed first!
If the ECM snow charts show decent snowfall come Thursday then we can get excited!
Currently there’s not much widespread snowfall showing.
There’s decent agreement cross model over the UK high. The question is how far NW’ can this retrogress.
Lots of interest over the pond on how the -NAO develops and its positioning.
We need to lose the low heights to the North of Scandinavia. But I don’t think that’s possible in the m0dern w1nters era.
There’s no cold advection from Scandinavia.
The SSTs are too unfavourable for any northern blocking now. We really needed a SSW to deliver but that has already failed.
We need the North Atlantic Drift to slow down to bring back winters here.