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Everything posted by blizzard81
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The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
blizzard81 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The model output is at best mediocre, at worst a bit of a bore. What has struck me over the last couple of days is the complete absence of any freezing cold flat liners in any ensemble suite. -
The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
blizzard81 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
blizzard81 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
We even manage to scrape some sort of easterly out of it. -
The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
blizzard81 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
But is the control run ever going to verify lol. -
The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
blizzard81 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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The Hunt for Cold continues 02/01/19
blizzard81 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
As long as the eps remain flatter, we should all still be wary about any possible cold spell. The ecm ext ens need to start smelling the coffee soon. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Ecm and gfs determined to make the return to work even more painful! -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Your opportunity to mention the lobe of death just for a change. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The pub run is only ever in the mood when it's wrong so thank goodness for that. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Bless the gfs 18z pub run. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
They actually cum in much more good use than what you would think in such places! Lol -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Not as good as previous. Difficult to tell but maybe be the dreaded west based neg nao showing it's hand. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Haven't seen the charts (don't know why you don't post them?) but that omni present Atlantic trough has been a pain in the back side since the early promise of late November cold. It has served to keep pressure high over Iberia and France. A real winter killer. Apart from the gfs ext ensembles things don't look too good to me tonight. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nah! Ecm control would surely disagree? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
We really could be in a much more dismal position as we enter a new year. In fact I can't remember entering a New Year on such a cold, anticyclonic note. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Latest fax chart for next weds - first day back to work for many, including me.The cold, seasonal feel with frost all day and possible freezing fog will make the return to work more bearable for me Also an impressive surge of cold into mainland Europe. We will be very grateful for this a week or so down the line. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I respect your opinions just like I respect everyone else's opinions on this forum. Time will tell as always. Onto the 00z runs. I for one will be looking for further amplification upgrades that we have seen throughout the course of today. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Great continuity between the GFS Para 12z run and 18z run. Not identical by any means but the trend is the same. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Are you saying you don't see any potential in this chart at all? Are you not seeing any upgrades today at all? Seriously? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Did you not view the GFS 12z Para or for that matter the ongoing 18z para? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Really liking the look of the GFS 18z para. That low over Finland looks like it will sink naturally under rising pressure on it's north west flank - our possible scandi high -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hallelujah! Lol. Cheers -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
And the fax charts are late - quelle surprise! -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
blizzard81 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
How did I know this was coming? GFS para stuck on 96hrs!