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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    I always respect your posts sir! Here's hoping
  2. blizzard81
    We do live in a very impatient world (more so than ever). I'm sure most would agree. Even I have the odd wobble from time to time
  3. blizzard81
    With all due respect, you have been saying this for quite a while now lol.
  4. blizzard81
    Just beat me to it. The model output is mind numbingly boring and that's why it is quiet in here. We may have to wait another month before anything exciting happens on the ground so to speak.
  5. blizzard81
    The positive vibe has increased markedly as the day has progressed on here today and justifiably so imo. Much better news model wise (both strat and trop) as the day has gone on.
  6. blizzard81
    Looks like a very exciting couple of weeks model viewing coming up. Just in time for the holidays
  7. blizzard81
    Or on the other hand, does anybody really know how good or bad the NWP is? I know the point about the strat forecasts being more reliable than the trop forecasts but the fact remains that all the ensembles across the various models today are c**p. One would expect some degree of volatility in the ensembles by now but scant signs of this.
  8. blizzard81
    Yep. Almost predictable now. Always happens (not just ec46) when anticipation is at it's greatest.
  9. blizzard81
    Yep. That would be a start.
  10. blizzard81
    Much better run for our neck of the woods. Need to see this built upon on the 12z runs.
  11. blizzard81
    All this anti-negative tosh really does my head in to be honest. 'stop being negative' 'the negative nellie's are back' etc, etc. People are just posting what they see - just let them be and allow them to express themselves, even if it isn't what you want to hear. By all means offer counter arguments if you disagree but just responding with the 'negative' insults is just down right silly and immature imo.
  12. blizzard81
    On a more positive note, the gfs para is an improvement at quite short range. Time for this model to start proving itself now though.
  13. blizzard81
    Even the comments in the strat thread are a bit more downbeat this morning.
  14. blizzard81
    Happy New Year! Deary me.
  15. blizzard81
    Your last paragraph sums up why people on here are despondent this morning. Very flat output today.
  16. blizzard81
    Heard from reliable sources that Darren Bett was covering this shift today!
  17. blizzard81
    Here we go aka jan 47 or maybe not!
  18. blizzard81
    Fair point but on the other hand that week 4 chart seems to agree with the glosea and ecm pressure anomalies for winter. It therefore has good backing from the more respected models.
  19. blizzard81
    Interesting!
  20. blizzard81
    Taking a leaf out of John Holmes's book. Compare yesterday's gfs 06z with this morning's for the same time. I know which one I prefer
  21. blizzard81
    Best clusters I have seen so far this winter.
  22. blizzard81
    Much better than last night's run up to day 8. A day of upgrades today which will hopefully build further on the 00z runs.
  23. blizzard81
    A great positive vibe on this forum tonight. Quite a significant strat warming in the making, Xmas weather still up in the air - Willets (legend) giving great hope for Xmas like she did back in 2005 (and proved correct), GP posting in the strat thread. So much to look forward to. It really doesn't get much better than this Oh! And shaky is singing on TV - Merry Christmas everyone!
  24. blizzard81
    My advice to anybody who is feeling dispondent this morning is to look at these two charts for next Saturday morning. The first is the recently updated gfs 06z and the second is from yesterday morning's run for the same time. Massive improvement imo.
  25. blizzard81
    Yes, I am very encouraged by the ecm this morning. The op and ens are an improvement going forward compared to the last couple of runs. It seems to be a slow burner like you say. However, I think there is every chance things could be brought forward a few days as the ramifications of the strat warming sink into the model psyche.
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