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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    Is that a leading question? Lol. Looked at debilt and definitely more colder runs in the 9 to 11 day timeframe.
  2. blizzard81
    However, putting my pragmatic hat on, there has been absolutely no appetite at all for the high over the UK in 5 days time to migrate towards Scandi. We do have to be realistic about this.
  3. blizzard81
    Just think back to last weekend and I have just plucked a chart out at random depicting what the models were showing at the 10 day timeframe. This is now the 5 day timeframe. Both charts are for weds morning 2nd Jan. The first from last Sunday and the second from this morning's run. A massive improvement.
  4. blizzard81
    If there is any chance at all of more amplification up towards Northern Scandi at that crucial 120/144 hour mark, it has to happen on today's 12z runs. I think it is now a long shot but I haven't given up all hope just yet.
  5. blizzard81
    Looks like your wish will probably come true. Exeter certainly gunning for zonal after next week, very much in line with the gfs.
  6. blizzard81
    An encouraging ecm op run. It seems to get very confused towards the end, hence the messy ending. The pain in the backside are those stubborn heights over Iberia and France. If it wasn't for this, we would be going into the freezer on that run.
  7. blizzard81
    Might see the odd fleeting sleet shower lol.
  8. blizzard81
    Real cold zonality on the 12z gfs.
  9. blizzard81
    I'm not holding my nerve anymore. Just going to emigrate to colder climes lol.
  10. blizzard81
    Just think this is one of those occasions when we need to hold our nerve. The ecm and ens will be interesting tonight.
  11. blizzard81
    Looks like Exeter are going with the gfs solution on it's latest update - cool zonality into second week of Jan.
  12. blizzard81
    Great signals are one thing. However, getting meaningful cold to UK shores is a totally different ball game - most on here are all too painfully aware of this lol.
  13. blizzard81
    The gfs is hell bent on bringing in a strong north westerly air stream by the second week of Jan.
  14. blizzard81
    But even the ecm ext ens trend milder towards the end by the sounds of things. I get the feeling that anything meaningfully cold is just going to be kept putting back. The only thing good about that is that we still have decent time on our side.
  15. blizzard81
    That is a shame and doesn't bode well for the ec46 later tonight.
  16. blizzard81
    No, just to clarify, I was commenting purely on the trop modelling.
  17. blizzard81
    The eps are a little worrisome to say the least.
  18. blizzard81
    'unreal' ? Really? People just airing differing opinions? Isn't that just the way of the world? I find your post dramatic to say the least lol.
  19. blizzard81
    No appetite on the ext ecm ens for debilt for anything remotely wintry.
  20. blizzard81
    The problem we have is the omni-present low coming out of north east Canada. These are not modelled as cut off lows unfortunately so they just trundle eastwards cutting off any chance of a Greenland height rise.
  21. blizzard81
    Must admit. There is nothing positive at all with the output at the moment.
  22. blizzard81
    I agree. To be honest I have been feeling the same for a few days now. I feel we will have a modest cold spell in mid Jan akin to Jan 09. Not much more than that. Next winter for me for the fun and games.
  23. blizzard81
    Very good news.
  24. blizzard81
    The last few updates have been poor in terms of cold potential when compared to the updates a few days ago. That is a fact. Everything is relative.
  25. blizzard81
    Very rare Indeed. Dare I say Jan 4.... On second thoughts, no just forget what I started to type lol.
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