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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    Amazing consistency from the gfs today it has to be said.
  2. blizzard81
    I think the models are homing in on the high locating around southern scandi/uk. May I be the first to christen such a high - the brandi high
  3. blizzard81
    Already looking forward to the ecm ens. Should be the coldest set yet in the extended - fingers crossed!
  4. blizzard81
    Let's hope the 00z runs carry on with the upgrades matey. The 12z runs can certainly be classed as upgrades today
  5. blizzard81
    As BA stated earlier probably best to go for the form horse of the high settling on top of us. Any sort of ridge up to scandi will then be seen as a bonus.
  6. blizzard81
    I would definitely bank that run. Must admit I was a little nervous watching that run lol.
  7. blizzard81
    Yes, I also remember the gfsp from a couple of weeks ago. Difference this time though is that it has got backing from it's older cousin.
  8. blizzard81
    Indeed Tim. Many more twists and turns to come. What we do need is a decent ecm run tonight.
  9. blizzard81
    The GFS parallel is starting to remind me of the gfs of yesteryear - throwing out winter nirvana charts during week 2 that don't materialise. Let's hope this upgraded version is a little more accurate.
  10. blizzard81
    Thanks for the reply blast. You seem very confident. I am just concerned that any undue interference from the sun may derail any cold potential.
  11. blizzard81
    Hi Roger. Thank you for your updates. I have just read about a cme that has erupted on the sun and could give a glancing blow to earth and thus creating the potential for polar geomagnetic storms around the 5th Dec. Do you think we should be concerned about this? In other words, do you think this will fire up the Atlantic on a more northerly track therefore introducing much more mobility and unsettled, mild weather to the uk?
  12. blizzard81
    I get your point but the first set are for the 7th Dec and the second set are for the 9th Dec.
  13. blizzard81
    I think they could be struggling with the winter forecast this year lol.
  14. blizzard81
    I feel quite a bit more optimistic than some on here today. We have had a few good ecm op runs on the bounce which is always a good sign.
  15. blizzard81
    Just a quick heads up. The meto 16 to 30 day update is much more positive for coldies. The cold theme makes a welcome return in their forecast.
  16. blizzard81
    A much more positive update for coldies. Trending back to the cold theme.
  17. blizzard81
    Best easterly of all time for snow? Remember the high north sea sst's
  18. blizzard81
    It definitely feels unusual compared to the norm. Let's see what the morning runs bring. We need to see the models consolidate now. If not, I feel we will have to wait quite a long time to see anything wintry.
  19. blizzard81
    This is what I mean by ridgy. Look at that ridge to the west of Ireland on the latest gfsp. This is rare at this time of year. There are many more examples on many models today throughout their runs. It is the opposite to the run of the mill UK winters.
  20. blizzard81
    If I was to sum up the trend in the model runs today as they have progressed, I would use just one word - ridgy! For any newbies on this forum, look at the ridges in the Atlantic on numerous runs today. These are crucial if we are to see anything wintry at all.
  21. blizzard81
    This one's for that cheeky monkey
  22. blizzard81
    Much better run from the ecm. Look at the 1010mb low forming in the mid Atlantic at t144. Then look at t168 and you will see that it is acting like a cut off low and has actually moved back north westwards. This is what we need to see. The t192 chart then shows the fruits of this. Much more amplified.
  23. blizzard81
    If week 2 verifies then in all likelihood week 3 will indeed sod off
  24. blizzard81
    Cluster 1 is exactly what GP was gunning for at that time frame.
  25. blizzard81
    That's brilliant news as I far as I'm concerned because normally it is the other way around - flat in the near/medium term and jam tomorrow. I remember BA saying last week that week 3 held some interest. Well, that is now week 2. Would be interesting to compare last week's week 3 to this week's week 2 to see if things have ramped up somewhat in the scandi high scenario.
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