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blizzard81

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Everything posted by blizzard81

  1. blizzard81
    As others have mentioned. Miserable runs this morning. Like previous mild winters, any forecast amplification is rapidly watered down.
  2. blizzard81
    Let battle commence.
  3. blizzard81
    Thanks for the info. I noticed debilt went cold later on. I guess the control run was one of the scandi highs?
  4. blizzard81
    That's the best news I have heard all day. Many of the potent cold spells of yesteryear were preceded by exceptional mild spells. Jan 1947 being just one example.
  5. blizzard81
    A very encouraging start to the day. We haven't been able to say that for a while have we? A lovely seasonal ecm op and looks like the control run is similar. Some positive news from some of the more learned members just now so let's see if momentum can build from here for the coldies.
  6. blizzard81
    A reason to be optimistic
  7. blizzard81
    Understood
  8. blizzard81
    Is that tongue in cheek or have you gone from eternal optimist to pessimist
  9. blizzard81
    I would have more faith if it wasn't the pub run.
  10. blizzard81
    What I find encouraging is seeing the high being centred towards the UK as opposed to South West Europe. I have seen many potent cold spells being preceded by a long period of quiet anticyclonic weather so here's hoping.
  11. blizzard81
    I thought there was a chance that the models were playing catch up with height rises over Scandi but alas that wasn't to be. Not good for us coldies. However, I feel quite philosophical about it - at least we will be less inclined to be distracted by the weather models over Christmas. We can place our energies more into the people and things that matter most to us Merry Christmas everyone
  12. blizzard81
    I'm glad I'm not the only one who is seeing this. Thought I had gone loopy . Good luck with the last minute shopping and a very merry Christmas to you too
  13. blizzard81
    Looks like the ecm control jumps to the scandi high at day 5.
  14. blizzard81
    Quite a decent day 10 chart
  15. blizzard81
    Fridays ecm for this coming Saturday compared to today's chart for the same day.
  16. blizzard81
    Just to illustrate my point. Today's ecm day 4 compared to yesterday's day 5. Scandi high is there at day 4.
  17. blizzard81
    We can hope Some on here have implied that I have gone hyper optimistic with my thoughts but like you say, flips can happen very suddenly in our favour. Not often but it can happen. The ridging into Scandi that I have been banging on about has got stronger during the last 24 hours modelling.
  18. blizzard81
    Then let's hope we have a WTF moment
  19. blizzard81
    The irony of it. I never shop at M & S. Can't afford lol
  20. blizzard81
    Also, look at the progression from day 5 to day 6 on the ukmo. Looks semi-promising to me.
  21. blizzard81
    Deary me! I've heard of post Christmas blues but I think there is an outbreak of pre Christmas blues on here. As long as there is a meaningful cold batch approx from 28th Dec onwards on the debilt ens, I won't give up hope. Yes, it's still there.
  22. blizzard81
    Well if things carry on like this there will only be knocker posting on this forum lol. Seriously though, I am still looking for signs of more amplification in the 5 day timeframe. All is not lost - yet!
  23. blizzard81
    So glad this is the pub run mean at day 6. It means in reality the weather will be nowhere near as flat as a pancake come the actual day.
  24. blizzard81
    Scandi high territory at day 5 on the latest icon.
  25. blizzard81
    Thanks John. I always appreciate your thoughts. I am thinking there is still a small window of opportunity for height rises to our north east in the near to medium term - around 5 days from now. Certainly not banking on it but can't rule it out just yet.
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