zubzero
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Forgetting the crazy odd cold run in lala land. Some of the uppers shown on the GEFS are insane some show +12c. I think peoples perceptions of March cold are based on the recent cold ones this past Decade. Most cold spells away from the North are rare, and brought about by northerly toppler type cold not rare raging easterlys.
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Wow that's some southerly plume on the ECM from mid Winter to mid Spring in the space off a week http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2021021412/ECM0-192.GIF?14-0
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Here's a chart we have not seen much of this Winter http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/para/runs/2021021212/ECM1-168.GIF?12-0 Was hoping for a settled and dry end to Winter. Sadly if the UKMO and ECM have picked up on the Atlantic winning out. It could end up being a mild wet n windy end to Winter
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Hello, this link will help show/explain what models data ect the meto use Unified Model WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK The Unified Model (UM) is a numerical model of the atmosphere used for both weather and climate applications.
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The upper warm front is causing the more persistent light/mod snow in the SE. And from about the wash northwards the showers are convective in nature, and will very slowly move south over night and align more east to west winds turn more easterly. As the upper warm front finally fizzles/moves away Frustrating as it is that's the dry zone in the middle and this event is unfolding slowly