R.P. McMurphy

Well, little to offer tonight with the charts... Christmas day looking very unsettled, strong wind, wet, feeling cold, with the potential for something wintry, especially on higher ground Northern England/Scotland. It's not long before the next LP system moves in... Wet & Windy, not as cold, especially in the SE... New years eve see's potential for some milder weather, perhaps double figures in a SW flow... New years day shows potential for something wintry across high ground and NW England... The start of the new year shows something which may be of interest:

Says it all really, albeit this is pretty much where the centre will be, Faroe.

Uh Oh....Faroe...

It's showing -655 - Were Doomed. In all seriousness... It looks around 905-915.. I'm just glad Knightrider didn't throw in the Nun joke !

Thats unreal.

North,

Actually posted by Kevin himself !

Thanks Cloud for these updates, it's quite interesting to compare each day - keep it up !

At least it won't be Mild.

If I cannot base it on charts or data, how does one predict the weather? Is it the old lick of the finger and place it in the air trick? Ahhh Yes, Cold & Snow....

The current & medium term certainly looks to be on the Chilly side, unless you can show me otherwise? I woke up to a Frost yesterday, and it was bitter this morning, with potential snow predicted during the storm, i'd call that not average. You are correct in assumption, some days will "feel" a little warmer, but I suppose that depends where you are, certainly not even close to mild weather. Chilly & thats MAX. Chilly, and thats MAX. Chilly, and thats MAX. Chilly, and thats MAX. Towards the end of the run... Cold... Not sure what else to show to prove the way we are heading? Debilt & Ens again, just got fun.

DeBilt also firming up for much colder weather.

Which going by recent temps and feel, its cold !

Lots of colder scatter options showing now on the Ens, nothing remotely mild appearing.

Southerners...

Oh if only...

White Christmas Anyone? Obviously will change before then, but still nice to dream !

Weather God is not amused. P.S - Can I have a copy of your mind dictionary ! "The joys of our insular land and it's weather vagaries" - No idea what it means, but i'm using that tomorrow if anyone stresses me out.

Possibly, but with so much uncertainty on the positioning anything can happen... We will see.. Either way, batten down the hatches NI and NW Scotty.

Yes, certainly a strong storm, but not the worst we have seen, the past day it's been downgraded and downgraded, and the models still can't agree on the location of the low's final position. Although I will point out, it's Hurricane Force, not an actual Hurricane.

GFS 12Z downgrades any snow. Annoying. More runs to come though.,

I think this is where the problems / negative comments about the models are coming from. The mountains here had a dusting too, which wasnt expected. I woke to a harsh frost too. It's mainly a North/South divide thing, as in for the South it's looking quite poor, but for the North we have things to shout about. Just check out Metcheck forecast for Buxton, or take a look at the charts = lots of snow.

Is the UK even on that chart ?!?

Yep, looking stronger already.

I don't think anyone compared it to 1987 to be honest, and i'm not sure why we are talking about people in the Phillippines? People lost their lives in the last storm, along with property and belongings. The storm on Wednesday night & Thursday is going to be bad by UK standards, and it's not something to be ignored to be fair. I also don't think it's any laughing matter that the "Isle of Man is going to get battered". Some folk just don't realise how deadly, and how dangerous bad weather can actually be... Just ask the family members of poor souls who have lost their lives.