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Everything posted by Bishop Brennan
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Bishop Brennan replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thank you for your contributions to this thread Shuttler, very much appreciated. An encouraging update from a cold perspective - patience is the key, plus a bit of luck of course. Bish- 2,514 replies
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Seasons in the Welsh Valleys and Brecon Beacons
Bishop Brennan replied to Bobby's topic in Archived non-weather Photography
Great pictures, thanks for sharing! Bish -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Bishop Brennan replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
And we are also 99.999999999% uncertain as to how the strat warming(s) will influence the weather patterns in our little part of the world, and we will remain uncertain for several more days or even weeks. Always worth pointing this out before folk hang all their winter hopes & dreams on this event, as tantalising as it looks. Bish- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Bishop Brennan replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Apologies if this is a dumb question Chio, but how are the Strat temperatures measured? Weather balloons? Bish- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Bishop Brennan replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think I'm right in saying that the date of the forecasted SSW has actually moved forward somewhat, from Jan 10th to Jan 5th or thereabouts. Bish- 2,514 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2012/2013
Bishop Brennan replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hi Andrej, for the uninitiated (i.e. myself!), what do the final two graphs show? A split vortex from around Jan 10th? Bish- 2,514 replies
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Yep, it's been coming down increasingly heavily for the past couple of hours. 10.00mm for the day so far, but most of that has fallen since nine this morning. Drive carefully, Tony. Bish
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Yep, it's really intensified to our south & west and is now moving across us. Yet another stormy tonight beckons by the looks of things. Bish
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We got down to a very respectable -7.6C by half past five this morning. It was still below minus six when I first tried (unsuccessfully!) to get into my car a couple of hours later. Can I ask everyone what exactly constitutes an ice day? Is it an entire day whereby the temperature doesn't exceed 0.0C or does it only apply to daylight hours? Elsewhere on the forum some people are celebrating an ice day even though there are still several hours to go? Bish
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-6.1C at half past midnight. Coldest it's been here since we dropped to -8.4C on the morning of February 11th this year. Bish
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Really? Wow I'm surprised. For the period 1997-2006 I might as well have been living in the Nevada Desert from a snow perspective. I can only remember two snow events during that period, both of which were notable for their timing rather than depths: Late December 2000, when between Christmas and New Year we had a modest but very seasonal fall. And we had a very unexpected April snowfall early in the decade, but I can't be sure which year - 2001 perhaps. Bish
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But it's only December 12th! We just need to be patient. I must admit the outlook for the next week or so is not too great from a snow perspective, but that will change eventually. Remember: many of the epic snow events of the past didn't get underway until well after the start of January....... Bish
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Just picking up on the previous conversation - in my opinion "proper" cold and snow are far more commonplace now than during the dismal 1997-2006 period, when I can only really recall one or two reasonably noteworthy snowfalls. A very chilly -4.1C here in Knowle, with lots of dense freezing fog. Looks like I chose a good couple of days to use up some annual leave. Bish
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Well the fog never really cleared here today, once it had rolled in after nine this morning. If anything it got heavier as the day progressed. The temperature did fleetingly manage to reach the giddy heights of 2.5C around mid-afternoon, but it has fallen back below zero again now - currently -0.3C Bish
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Good grief that sounds terrifying. Thank goodness you're okay! Bish
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I'll believe it when I see it falling from the sky! If it does indeed snow, I can only assume it'll be very light and brief. Still, something is better than nothing I guess. Bish
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lol when I wrote my first post there were brilliant blue skies outside. Since then a very heavy fog has descended, in fact I can't even see the tree tops anymore. Currently -2.4C, with a minimum of -3.0C at 7:33 am Bish
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No fog here at the moment, although a very sharp frost. Sounds like there could be a wider risk of disruptive fog tomorrow morning for the West Midlands however. Has anybody seen the news re the latest ECM 32 day forecast? A very big turnaround from previous updates - it now seems that the rest of December may well be dull, wet, and windy. Northern blocking is still extensive, but has shifted slightly further north than was previously anticpated, leaving us in the Atlantic firing line for the time being Bish
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The turnaround has been pretty horrible to watch unfold, hasn't it? A real kick in the wotsits. What frustrates me is that we're actually going to end up with pretty much the total opposite of what the models were hinting at, i.e. strong Atlantic LP's rather than a significant easterly influence. I wouldn't even mind so much if we were at least looking at a snowy breakdown, which of course now seems unlikely as well. Bish
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The week ahead forecast on the BBC Midlands News this morning showed heavy rain for Friday - a sad case of what might have been Bish
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True, but extreme caution is advised! The fiasco of the past few days has served as a sobering reminder that we mustn't get too drawn into what the models are showing until a reliable timeframe is reached, and once cross-model agreement is achieved. But a tentative step in the right direction nonetheless. Bish
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RIP Sir Patrick - thanks for the memories. Bish
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Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
Bishop Brennan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sheffield Wednesday I presume? Bish -
Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
Bishop Brennan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Other names spring to mind, but I doubt I'd get them past the forum profanity filter. Bish -
Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
Bishop Brennan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion