Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

seb

Members
  • Posts

    609
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Posts posted by seb

  1. 15 minutes ago, slater said:

    Awful looking 0z run this morning, Even for us in the south east, the North very Autumn like,  Oh yeah I forgot it’s August in a weeks time , So with this chart run a normal cool wet August? As I’ve said in so many posts in the past August is one of my wettest months.

    We desperately need the rain here, so watch this space 

    Huh? There’s no rain until the 7 August apart from possibly a couple of showers tomorrow. Temps around 25 every day.

    • Like 1
  2. 10 minutes ago, TN9 said:

    Well I'm saying i was stunned ..it did rain  and for a while too,actually put window wipers on and got puddles and everything  ,monsoon for us here ,but thats our lot for a while i guess and getting warmer and for a lot longer this time it says , not boiling.like 40c odd but a run at 25-30c ,and dry too 

    And for once I was happy it was damp squib of a day 🙂

    There was a whole area of rain showing from Brighton toward South London. It moved eastward and the bottom half just disappeared leaving rain for you, Maidstone, Faversham. 

    I was in Dungeness, drove back to Ashford… nothing but dust and and brown grass. Now the sun is out.

    Not complaining as I love summer and am not keen on rain normally but it is like a desert out there.

    It’s really as if someone picked up SE Kent and dumped it somewhere between LA and San Diego!

    • Like 2
  3. 31 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

    Last night, quite a few people wrote the Storms off after 6pm, even I thought they would only be infrequent lightning but perhaps I should have been more trustworthy about what I said on Monday because it seemed to go down pretty much as I expected then, once again, happy with that forecast.

    Polish_20220720_075237749.thumb.png.64ae8cb3f9c64ccb1174f0cb358fb6c3.png

    Polish_20220720_072707393.thumb.png.e479389f7e8661497430af26cb24dcac.png

    Polish_20220720_074148444.thumb.png.27a414dbcb5a2214ad70084faf25e372.png

    Polish_20220720_074300297.thumb.png.3843a8911d93de62964d9be617800626.png

    Polish_20220720_074402588.thumb.png.a629f65e9134296ca5fcbdc418757613.png

    Polish_20220720_074456551.thumb.png.939a1e2a0dc0342c41741386d71d2bf9.png

    Polish_20220720_074652739.thumb.png.83a87a22309dde085576ff95ba1d348b.png

    Polish_20220720_074830489.thumb.png.c5247c25823a1ec947edc1fd9149a19d.png

    Polish_20220720_074922094.thumb.png.596d0ba082a7019096340b45ecea2302.png

    Polish_20220720_075110504.thumb.png.c074ebd18076c6fedb45e0d0dd5a4197.png

    Nice photos! And yes, it was a great display 🙂 No rain though. Did you get much over in Woodchurch?

    • Like 1
  4. Temps down to 18 degrees. No measurable rain so the East Kent desert continues to be in place. Nice light show though!

    Looking ahead, mid to high 20s in the reliable and FI. No rain other than trace amounts, even on the automated model-based apps.
     

    Distinct smell of smoke in the air this morning which adds to the last 48 hours reminding me of Southern California during a Santa Ana wind event.

    • Like 2
  5. Temps down to 18 degrees. No measurable rain so the East Kent desert continues to be in place. Nice light show though!

    Looking ahead, mid to high 20s in the reliable and FI. No rain other than trace amounts, even on the automated model-based apps.

  6. 16 minutes ago, Sky Full said:

    For “fires ‘breaking out’ everywhere” read “fires being started by criminal arsonists everywhere”.  I do not believe that fires start unaided just because it’s hot.  If I had my way anyone caught starting fires deliberately in these conditions should be locked up for life.  

    There will be those but I have seen first hand what a small piece of glass can do. I lived in California for a long time.

    • Like 1
  7. 6 minutes ago, mb018538 said:

    All eyes further north now...probably got a couple of hours left to see how high it can go. Perhaps the gusty wind may prevent something more insane like 42c we could have got on a still day!

    For some reason we are still rising. Temp was stuck around 36 for two hours but now up to 37.9 in the last 30 minutes.

    (Local WOW Station)

    F9C1A8E3-480C-4D8F-916A-16128699D8FA.png

  8. 27 minutes ago, Cambrian said:

    Mixed indications for a more changeable interlude in around a week’s time as low pressure chances it from the west. 12z UKMO and GFS op. There could be a good drop of rain on it if it comes far enough south, a few mm reaching southeastern parts too according to the GFS.  

    DB778DCF-7313-4307-93FC-C440E63D65AD.thumb.png.c9c1972393c8c366715bf5695607f6b5.png 6F003B18-884E-40A3-9E50-4F64DEFDDA8B.thumb.png.242133baad3854debcbb95dd68713cf2.png D88E9367-0BD1-4D6F-9DD4-3FF42BE0AA8C.thumb.png.fe26116eed1d19c0f7b3b8cc001893a5.png

    A short lived mixed spell possible then, but with good heights to the southwest never too far away and perhaps not yielding that much at all, like with the 12z ECM op, that brings the low through further north and earlier, by day 6, seeing the back of it altogether with it settling down again by day 8. 

    4369556A-9244-40EA-849D-911BA31F383E.thumb.png.cc4118d0caec7332a9406a563ae4a937.png 962907B1-88C8-42A6-8ED2-215479458E3E.thumb.png.b1d5230114120c15e77e6914d606ebf4.png

    So maybe, maybe not, a well needed splash before a great summer most likely resumes. 35.2 degrees here today, a new home record that will likely stand for a long time. Today was remarkable, the whole feel of it. No need to head to the Med when the Med comes to us!

    I know it will change at one point but every single rain event affecting the SE at day 6+ has vanished for the last few months by the time it gets to day 3, so I have my doubts….

    27 minutes ago, LRD said:

    A couple of days ago it was looking quite unsettled this weekend/early next week. The ECM is now showing this:

    image.thumb.png.2fab50022116a8e206fbd11e2a7ed736.png

    24 hours later GFS is showing this:

    image.thumb.png.bac68c994538f519972d9c00547f2129.png

    UKMO this:

    image.thumb.png.470824364549276002da24e10e3c449f.png

    Ok no heatwave but there should still be an awful lot of dry weather about (away from northern and north-westernmost areas) when it was looking anything but a day or two ago. I know longer term modelling can go awry but it is incredible how often this happens lately. Models sniff out an unsettled spell and it gradually or quickly gets removed

    This. 100%. 
    has been the case for months.

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...