feb1991blizzard
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Everything posted by feb1991blizzard
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Is there really gonna be enough forcing on this pattern to get the Griceland now?, starting to have my doubts now about anything before 10th-15th feb, - scandi dead in the water before at least 7th now.
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surely in your job you have to analyse the output!
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This spell probably struggling top 25, just about top 50 in my life.
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Here comes the GEM 0z redux.
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That's what i see as well. But following on from failed attempts at an out and out scandi. And i'd prefer it to a GH, we all know where they end up in recent years, either a W based setup or a magic roundabout, both caused by iberian heights.
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I certainly don't take the ECM operational day 11 seriously!
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With you all the way but think 29th a little early, looks to me based on the ens suites it will have a go at scandi around 29th, not quite make it but retrogression to Griceland around 5th feb
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Yes - although it would be about 3-4 weeks earlier or even less assuming it gets there in the end! - still a stonker though even if we could repeat it in mid Feb.
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Either way its a cracker for kent.
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Not sure if it does happen it will be strat lead, its more likely from trop lead tropical forcing in the pacific.
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Starting pistol fired for the next chase.
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Angle of Atlantic trough a bit dicey but out west there's a bit more disruption about to occur. Hopefully Allister Mc - it'll do an impression of feb 1991
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12z GFS - nice and solid so far.
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We're at serious risk of setting up a powerhouse Easterly in Feb if the GFS 0z is anything to go by.
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This is what we need to be seeing more of in the coming weeks.
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Better.
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look at that streamer wasted in the North sea - at this rate even NE England won't get any snow.
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Round 2? - plenty of runs yet for this to upgrade.
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I'd take the control all day.
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They're out to 312 already
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Yes - problem is don't the teleconnections fit more with a sceuro then scandi (or scriceland ridge at a push) than an out and out Greeny?, when you get mixed signals, from experience, naff all (decent) tends to come off.
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Tentative signs on the +360 chrt of another MAR.
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Yes i must admiti am certainly not in that camp now with a slack cold upper trough (not sure i ever was) after Early Dec 2022 and now, its ok with a slack surface low as well (evaporative cooling) but then you have mild sectors and they are usually marginal anyway.
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Problem is now strat w2 and trop w2 look unerringly similar so how do we get out of it.
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GEFS - blink and you'll miss it affair now.
