feb1991blizzard
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Everything posted by feb1991blizzard
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Eps!!!! RIPPER! -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEFS flattening the ridge again. Think it wont be too long before we see another bout of amplification though. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
was just about to post it, that is a proper version of what we're about to have. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes - i can't see this winter just dying a death without any snow chances at all. we'd have to be mighty unlucky. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well that looks a cracker but surely its out of kilter - would be some turnaround for stat modelling. oh its 30mb - wish it was 10 -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEFS are a hefty downgrade. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would agree with that, re- the first attempt. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
feb1991blizzard replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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January 2024 CET and E.W.P. forecast contests
feb1991blizzard replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
4.2c and 87mm please. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Crackers all round this morning. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
EC46 - oh dear - @Kasim Awan will have to change his name back again to Kasim 'iberian heights' Awan. Mind you i am not sure i wholly buy into that run, its got a +ve anom across the whole of the Hadley cell for the last 4 weeks of the run. EDIT: in fact i don't buy into it at all. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Any improvement on the extended Nick? Both ens means seem to be flattening the ridge by D15 recently. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Winter of 2 halves for me this. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, i really can't see Jan passing us without any chances of snow though. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sizeable shift from GEFS towards EPS. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
oh no - sorry - thought there was one for both - cant see one, there definitely used to be. scrap that - it was the op. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
WWW.METEOCIEL.FR Meteociel propose le modèle deterministe dehttps://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?jour=27&mois=12&annee=2023&heure=0&archive=1&mode=1&ech=72&map=0&type=1¶=0 ECMWF CEP -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
its moving towards it - watch the last few frames - and warming has gone altogether by then so nothing stopping it getting there eventually - lets hope it doesn't affect the trop. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
eps solid on Atlantic ridge again. poor in the strat though, vortex gradually moving slap bang over the pole. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
feb1991blizzard replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Only on uppers though, it would be very cold overnight in any clear skies at surface, granted its a no-snow chart but could be brutal if any lying snow was still around.