Well I've just read through all of MB's posts on UKWW and am now a bit closer to understanding what his system is (for the past that is!), it would appear that he is matching all variables at all times across the whole globe (universe?) Where they match exactly I think he's saying that the same weather will occur. Can accept that you could match in the past. But, and it's a very big BUT - how can anyone predict the exact same variables occurring on a day in the future? MB states that he is using cycles in nature, but nature encompasses a hell of a lot of different variables. I'm making a lot of assumptions and reading perhaps between the lines of his reasoning on UKWW. I'd really like some clarification of how past analogues can be extrapolated into future weather at any point in time at any point on earth - MB could you give a clearer explanation of which variables you look at? I'd be very interested to know what these are - you'd probably need a vast spreadsheet of past data to be able to do this as there must be several thousand variables to input for each day/cycle
Would the chart attached give very similar conditions to those in MB's forecast for end Jan/early Feb?