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Everything posted by Stuie
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at the Arpege precipitation chart for Tuesday shows showers coming in from a NE direction, not directly East whereas on Wednesday it does look more Easterly (maybe that`s when the true term actually starts). Anyway... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
An IMBY post but this is pretty impressive from the ECM, Just gets to -8 at the end of the run. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I read that myself. I presume that being dry snow and falling on a dry cold surface there is no initial thaw/melt when settling on top. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just watched that about a dozen times, It`s something that will probably not be seen again for years. Bordering on scary tbh. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Interesting next frame though!! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Someone mentioned a pacman yesterday, I`m not sure what it is but the UK just about to be bitten hard. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
T72...T72.... none of this FI stuff... T72 -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Pleased for you mate, your hobby/dedication has really paid you back. Edit: Not quite yet but you know what I mean. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The poor folks in Oban, get lashed with rain all year round and miss out on the white stuff. The irony.... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not an IMBY post but it appears that most models have the brutal uppers catching East Anglia / Midlands / South on Monday. And a lovely `kinky` isobar on Tuesday... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The JMA is picturesque, HP to the West, HP to the East and a perfect funnel in between allowing a massive cold source to just.... ...perfectly flow through... Almost a dream. Edit: Or is it a nightmare of a Northerly... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I was looking for Spring and had to use the CFS (I know but heck nothing goes far enough).... I can`t find it!!!!! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Who the hell wants frozen salt? -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Corcking ECM, no North correction, looks head on! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is that `below average` Paul? I presume it`s not T2 temps... -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That Azores LP, (not often you can say that) does `Pep` up which may just hold the flow somewhat? -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks, nick but it was in relation to the strat charts posted where they had a `poor cluster`. Appreciate your help mate. Clusters from a graph is a given, just can`t see it on said chart. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You are going to have to explain further (for me anyway) regarding the poor cluster from those charts. ( a Rolph Harris job) as this is really over my head. Thanks. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks mate, I thought it basically showed stalling of the normal oscillation not a swift reversal towards the area mentioned. Cheers. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@East_England_Stormchaser91 Many thanks for your input mate. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Please correct me if I am wrong but this might delay the transition of the HP to Greenland somewhat. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What the hell has the JMA picked up on? I suppose it is an evolution which is plausible, Greeny/Scandi HP block with no shortwaves dropping into Iberia. GFS: Not a million miles away ECM: Having none of it GEM: Can`t see the UKMO but akin to the last 2 charts IMO after looking at T144. GFS/JMA are deffo worth watching closely in the next 48hrs (as they all are but...) -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry, forgot about them in my excitement / humour mate. I did say cracking though! -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All looks a bit marginal to me.... Friggin` cracking. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Stuie replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Great angle of attack from ECM, looking more of a bullseye hit!