Summer Sun

GFS at t162 ( this time next week) is showing slow changes away from this stubborn block with pressure building over the UK and pressure also dropping slowly over Greenland t192see's the low getting forced north with high pressure from the Azores keeping it away from the UK thus pressure up north finally becomes lower

Same as every summer

BBC weather for the week ahead Staying cold (temperatures will be higher than of late though for many) Bitter winds Largely dry

Coldest Easter on record as Lapland is warmer than Britain http://www.express.c...er-than-Britain My sheep were under a 12 foot snow drift but the dog sniffed them out... http://www.express.c...niffed-them-out HERE COMES THE SUN... IN 34 DAYS http://www.dailystar...sun-in-34-days/ Coldest Easter Sunday in 100 YEARS: Temperatures plummet to -12C as Britain faces another week of bitter weather (but at least there's some signs of spring) http://www.dailymail...l#ixzz2P7pO2tK7

Easter Sunday record smashed in Scotland for the lowest temperature -12.5C was recorded in Braemar, in the Scottish Highlands The previous modern day record was Easter Monday in 1986, which dipped to -9.8C in Lagganlia (near Kingussie) Easter itself is a moveable celebration which falls on the Sunday after the spring full moon, and can fall anywhere between 22 March and 25 April. Only about 22% of Easters fall in March, a Met Office spokesman said. Looking at individual nations, March 2013 is likely to be the fourth coldest on record for England, joint third coldest for Wales, joint eighth coldest for Scotland and sixth coldest for Northern Ireland.

up to 3.0c to the 30th according to Philip Eden http://www.climate-uk.com/ Its gonna be touch and go to beat 1962 which was 2.80c

A nice Easter day here a cloudy start is now giving way to something brighter

GFS 06z has high pressure dominating for a long time this morning, 8th onwards becomes very settled and very spring like http://www.jp2webdes...o.uk/ds/gfs.htm

The met office seem to have taken the decision to extend the cold weather alerts beyond the cut off point of March 31st Current alert level: Level 2 - Alert and Readiness Issued at: 0808 on Sun 31 Mar 2013 There is an 80% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions between 0800 on Sunday and 0500 on Thursday in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action. No significant snow is expected in this period and the only significant ice will be where there is any remaining lying snow, melting during the daytime and then re-freezing at night. It will continue generally cold, though, with average temperatures of 2 degrees Celsius or below most likely to occur over northern and some central parts of England. Elsewhere, slightly higher daytime maximum temperatures means that the 2 degrees Celsius temperature threshold is less and less likely to be reached. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/

The met office seem to have taken the decision to extend the cold weather alerts beyond the cut off point of March 31st Current alert level: Level 2 - Alert and Readiness Issued at: 0808 on Sun 31 Mar 2013 There is an 80% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions between 0800 on Sunday and 0500 on Thursday in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action. No significant snow is expected in this period and the only significant ice will be where there is any remaining lying snow, melting during the daytime and then re-freezing at night. It will continue generally cold, though, with average temperatures of 2 degrees Celsius or below most likely to occur over northern and some central parts of England. Elsewhere, slightly higher daytime maximum temperatures means that the 2 degrees Celsius temperature threshold is less and less likely to be reached. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/ The South west, South east and London are no longer in the cold weather alert now

Staying cold to north Wet in south Issued: 0530hrs Sunday 31st March 2013 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Wet for southern Europe, and staying cold across the north Easter Day Cloud and some outbreaks of rain affect western parts of Portugal and southern Spain on Sunday. It should be dry through eastern Spain with sunshine here. More sunshine to come across the Balearics. Unsettled in Italy with some heavy showers or longer spells of rain. A few showers for western Greece but dry in the east. Fair for Turkey with sunny spells. Cloud and some rain affecting the south of France, this falling as snow through Switzerland and Austria, as well as Hungary. For the Low Countries and most of Germany the day should be dry with good spells of sunshine. More sunshine to come in Poland, A fair day for Denmark with some good spells of sunshine here. Sunny and dry for the Baltic States and Finland. Dry too in the south and east of Sweden. Some cloud and wintry showers in northern and western Norway. Holiday Monday Heavy showers and breezy weather across Portugal on Monday. A wet day for northeast Spain, with some rain in the Balearics too, clearing to showers. Italy will have sunny spells, but some rain in the west later. Sunny spells across Greece, but cloud and some outbreaks of rain in Turkey. Cloud and rain for the southwest of France, but for most of the country it is cold with sunny spells. Chilly too in the Low Countries and Germany with the chance of some snow showers here, Thicker cloud and some snow in Poland. Snow flurries for Hungary and Austria as well as Switzerland. Cold again through Denmark with sunny spells here. More sunshine to come for Sweden. Cloud and some snow for the Baltic States and Finland. Sunny spells and chilly in Norway with some heavy snow showers in the north. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20130331

00z ensembles continue the rise upwards in just over a weeks time

Ah that will be why must have been a bit of thicker rouge cloud over head which the radar didn't pick up on Anyway a cold night here tonight currently at -0.7°C no breeze

The ECM ensemble continues to hint at pressure becoming lower over Greenland from around a weeks time of course its well in FI but that is something that has been hinted at for a few days now Just a reminder as well tomorrow is the start of BST so all model outputs will be 1 hour later starting with the 00z runs in the morning which will update from around 04:30 for GFS 06:00 for UKMO 07:00 for ECM The 12z's will also be later and will start updating from around 16:30 for GFS 18:00 for UKMO 19:00 for ECM All times are approximate

You sure it was snow? I've just popped out to the Greenhouse and the sky is clear with nothing in the air

Until we get a pattern change in the reliable GFS provides this

Yep ECM continues the cold theme probably looking at around mid April for a pattern change to kick in fully

Get ready for a icy Easter Sunday: British Summer Time to make a chilly start as Spring Freeze continues http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2301473/Get-ready-icy-Easter-Sunday-British-Summer-Time-make-chilly-start-Spring-Freeze-continues.html#ixzz2P3F0MU5L

T240 would produce a bit of everything at t240 Quite a difference from GFS this time

Amazing to have some sort of agreement between GFS and ECM at the t216 range! ECM GFS

T168 see's high pressure setting up home in the Atlantic blocking off any break down direct from the west our best hope now is if the Azores can set up later up and forcing the low north and thus breaking down the northern blocking In the short term the low gets pushed eastwards so for many cool and dry (a few light wintry showers here and there can't be ruled out though) but feeling pleasant in any sunshine just like today where we had -8 uppers but in the sunshine and light winds it felt fine outside

ECM remains cold to t144 with north easterly winds quite possibly switching to a northerly towards the end of next week Something wintry for the south is very possible given the lower pressure close by in France, Belgium, Holland ect

GFS 12z ensembles Lots of scatter from the 8th onwards on all the ensembles at the same point precipitation increases slightly that could signal a return to winds from a westerly direction bringing milder and at times unsettled weather

Short term GFS London ensemble to the 7th remains below normal with the uppers running at an average of around -5c The continued positive again is that precipitation remains below the seasonal norm giving places a chance to dry out

The met office have given Darlo a UV index of 3 for this afternoon and again on Easter Monday from 13:00 to 16:00 a long time since I saw that http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/darlington#?tab=fiveDay&fcTime=1364770800