Summer Sun

Will be interesting to see which paper (Express is my bet) runs the first cold winter story, anyone remember the story in the Express on 20th September 2011 under the headline BRITAIN FACES AN EARLY BIG FREEZE which in the end never happened http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/272457/Britain-faces-an-early-big-freeze

WeatherOnline have issued there latest monthly forecast there going for a settled start to October with the first 10 days of October dominated by high pressure http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=205&FILE=tma&DAY=20120915

Windy in north Sunshine to the south Issued: 0530hrs Tuesday 18th September 2012 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Fair through southern Europe but wind and rain to the north Tuesday Lots of showers are expected across Norway, Sweden, Denmark, northern Germany into Belgium, Holland and the far north of France. Central, southern parts of France fair, dry with good sunny spells expected across southern parts of Germany into Austria, Hungary and Poland. A dry day expected across Finland with sunny spells this fine weather extends down across the Baltic region and into Russia and the Ukraine. The weather remains settled and dry across Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey with lots of sunshine while a few scattered showers some across Greece and around the Greek Isles. More cloud to come across Portugal and Spain, into the Balearics but essentially dry today. Sunny across Corsica, Sardinia and Italy with one or two showers expected across the former Yugoslavia. Wednesday A cool and fair day through the British Isles on Wednesday. Good spells of sunshine extending through western France and into Spain and Portugal too. More sunshine through the central and eastern Mediterranean. Some showers through Germany and Poland as well as Austria and Hungary. Variable amounts of cloud here with some sunny spells too. Bulgaria and Romania should both have fine days with good spells of sunshine throughout. Unsettled through Norway and Sweden and windy here with periods of rain at times. It is likely to be windy as well with the heaviest of the rain through more northern and western areas. http://www.weatheron...us&DAY=20120918

As tonight's GFS has proved its not to late for 20c to be achieved far from it

A good run from GFS for a time next week some pleasant temps both by day and night showing this afternoon Quite warm at night for the time of year as well

Fine and Settled Eastern Europe Heavy Showers across Greece Issued: 0530hrs Monday 17th of September 2012 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Warmest across Spain and Turkey Today Me dry with sunny spells across England today. Outbreaks of heavy rain will stretch from Finland into northern parts of Sweden with showers from southern parts of Sweden and across Denmark into Holland, Belgium and northern France. Central and southern France along with most of Germany looks fair and dry with sunny spells. Lots a fine weather to come across much of eastern Europe with high pressure in charge. Lots of sunshine is expected from Russia, across into the Baltic states, Belarus and into Poland. Sunny as well across the Ukraine, Romania, into the Czech Republic and the former Yugoslavia. Unsettled across Greece, with showers and outbreaks of rain while it looks fine, sunny and warm across all of Turkey. Most of Italy and Austria to be dry with sunny spells. Very warm across Portugal and Spain with sunny spells but tend to cloud over across Portugal and the afternoon. Cold and windy across Norway few showers in the west. Tuesday lots of showers are expected across Norway, Sweden, Denmark, northern Germany into Belgium, Holland and the far north of France. Central, southern parts of France fair, dry with good sunny spells expected across southern parts of Germany into Austria, Hungary and Poland. A dry day expected across Finland with sunny spells this fine weather extends down across the Baltic region and into Russia and the Ukraine. The weather remains settled and dry across Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey with lots of sunshine while a few scattered showers some across Greece and around the Greek Isles. More cloud to come across Portugal and Spain, into the Balearics but essentially dry today. Sunny across Corsica, Sardinia and Italy with one or two showers expected across the former Yugoslavia. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20120917

Mainly dry week More unsettled end http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20120917

Could be heading for a decent weekend for some if tonight's UKMO is correct

European Snow and rainfall Accumulations for the next 3 Days European Snow and rainfall Accumulations for the next 3 to 6 Days

Aye he's been charging for a while now, now way I'd pay another one who's charging now is mark vogan - http://www.markvogan...recast-2012-13/ - £3 per month or £33 for 11 months and have one month free

Accuweather have now issued there winter forecast for the US There UK forecast shouldn't be to far away now

First pic was wrong last 2 were right I think for the UK anyway

There is still ample time for some where to get 20c yet where only in mid September remember next weekend gets very close in the south

Sunny in south Windier north Issued: 0530hrs Sunday 16th September 2012 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Fine through the Mediterranean and southern Europe, but more unsettled and windy to north Sunday A fine morning through Spain and Portugal with good spells of sunshine. More fair weather over France, although some morning mist and fog patches are likely here too. The dry and fine weather extends through the Low Countries and Germany as well as into Poland. Austria and Switzerland will have plenty of sunshine too, this extending to northern Italy. Central and southern Italy will have more cloud and some rain. The rain could be heavy over northern and western Greece. Turkey should be dry with sunny spells throughout. Cloud and some rain in Bulgaria but fine across Romania. Breezy with sunny spells in Denmark. There could be some sunshine in the Baltic States and Finland should be dry too. More sunshine across Sweden and southern Norway, although cloud and rain affecting western Norway where it will be windy too. Monday Plenty of sunshine through Spain and Portugal today, and it should be dry too. More sunshine to come across most of France, although there will be some cloud and patchy rain in the far north. Cloudy with some showers across the Low Countries and the northern half of Germany and Poland. Brighter to the south with good spells of sunshine in Switzerland and Austria. The Balearics and Italy should have a fine day with lots of sunshine to come here. Some cloud and showers across northern Greece, but fine to the south and sunny too. More sunshine for much of Turkey, although showers are likely inland. A fair day in the Baltic States, but cloud and wind as well as rain in Finland. More cloud and rain across Sweden, but brighter weather with some heavy showers follows to Norway. Denmark should be bright with sunny spells. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?MENU=EuropeanSummary

An Unsettled Week Ahead Rain and Showers http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20120916

The ensemble for tonight shows a dip in temps from the 17th to 19th then a slow rise again Further north it looks cooler

Hints of autumn Rain central Mediterranean Issued: 0530hrs Saturday 15th September 2012 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Rain for Italy & Greece, fine western Mediterranean Saturday A fair day through Spain and Portugal with more spells of sunshine here. Further sunshine over France and dry here as well. More sunshine in the Low Countries and Germany, as well as Poland. Bright and dry across Austria, Hungary and Switzerland. Low pressure over southern Italy brings some showers and outbreaks of rain across central and southern Italy, but plenty of sunshine to the north. Some showers affecting western Greece, but drier in the east. Turkey is going to be fine and dry with more sunshine to come here throughout. Further north a strong westerly flow through Scandinavia will bring periods of rain and showers here. Most of the rain over Norway, but for Sweden and Denmark the day should be dry and breezy with sunny spells. More rain and strong winds over the Baltic States and Finland. Sunday A fine morning through Spain and Portugal with good spells of sunshine. More fair weather over France, although some morning mist and fog patches are likely here too. The dry and fine weather extends through the Low Countries and Germany as well as into Poland. Austria and Switzerland will have plenty of sunshine too, this extending to northern Italy. Central and southern Italy will have more cloud and some rain. The rain could be heavy over northern and western Greece. Turkey should be dry with sunny spells throughout. Cloud and some rain in Bulgaria but fine across Romania. Breezy with sunny spells in Denmark. There could be some sunshine in the Baltic States and Finland should be dry too. More sunshine across Sweden and southern Norway, although cloud and rain affecting western Norway where it will be windy too http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20120915

Rain to north Fairer south http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20120915

With regards to the Joe B tweet posted a few post's above Matt Hugo has tweeted the following Ian Fergusson †Hmmm.. “@BigJoe: UK beware. a heck of a winter is lurking. Water temps resemble what's going on around Alaska Matthew Hugo â€@MattHugo81 @fergieweather - Hmmm exactly. He's been wrong more than right in my opinion.

Not a bad 12z tonight with high pressure close by to the south it will be chilly at times for most but all in all a fairly dry run from GFS tonight certainly for those in the east UKMO also has high pressure edging in by the end of the week It will be chilly though with a northwesterly wind for a time this coming week

This is what Joe said a few years back most of it is for the US but I'm certain he said something similar for Europe

A lovely day here in NE England not a cloud in the sky no wind and a max of 18c is forecast Currently - 13.7°C Wind - 0.0mph Pressure - 1012.8hPa steady

Quite an unsettled end to ECM tonight

Well living that far south you have to be prepared for mild winters at times, its the same for those in Scotland who have to be prepared for heavy snow fall at some point during winter

The swear filter keeps turning bastar-di to laminate floori