Mapantz
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My new toy .. -
A tiny bit of wintriness mixed in with the rain here. I did a GIF.. hang on..
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The Arome does show some wintriness for the region tomorrow, it also shows some marginal CAPE as well. It's quite possible to have some sleet/hail showers along the coast, with a rumble of thunder mixed in.
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A toasty 5 degrees at Portland.
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Temps on the rise now, and it is raining.
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It can do, but you would still need sufficient cold upper temperatures to support it. Heavier precip can help to lower the wet bulb freezing temp, but not so much in windy conditions.
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Still dropping here, too - very close to the precip now. 2.6 °C Showing as plain ol' rain on the NetWx radar.
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Do you have a temperature, humidity and pressure reading handy? I can do some calculations. However, most of the region is under -4 to -5C upper air, and that is slowly being mixed out by the approaching front.
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Unfortunately not. That's because the area of low pressure itself doesn't actually drop by 24mb. I should have probably not been so vague, but the large pressure drop is due to the fact that we're under a ridge of high pressure, before the low pressure moves in. It's still quite an impressive change in pressure in a short space of time though.
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Hi. Welcome to the forums. That's the first warm front which is sliding NW to SE. The second set of fronts will pivot across the South, leaving the occluded front wiggling in a line from East Anglia to South Wales- that is the boundary between the colder and milder air, and where the precip will linger.
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I was just looking at Brackley on my site.. https://www.warehamwx.co.uk/cumulus/ewn/forecast.php?en|2655012|GB|Brackley You lucky #@*&$%!
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It's a shame that the large pressure drop occurs halfway through my stations midnight to midnight reset. It would have been close to 35mb in 24 hours, but it looks to be around 1001mb by midnight and perhaps 977mb by midday. 24mb in 12 hours is pretty good going though! Possible wind speed/gust record may go if I am lucky, and then the windchill record on Monday morning. That should keep me entertained while other parts of the country are getting smothered in that horrible white stuff.
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USB-C FTW!
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According to the forecast on my home page, it says I have a 50% chance of snow on Monday. I'd say there's a 100% chance of it being the other 50%.
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About as good as it get's on the 12Z NetWx model:
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I don't suppose we could have a shiny new thread for the upcoming rain, snow, marginal poop, windy pops event, please moderators? If you're reading this, of course?
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For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/ Right at the top of the page. To be fair, you should use the multiquote option and then post it in the regional thread. It get's too clogged up in the model thread with people asking about snow for their area.
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That's a false statement.
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Don't believe that. It is only using model data. It showed a snow shower on me, yesterday, but it was rain.
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No change down here near the coast. 9 - 10°C and rain. By the time the temperature get down to low figures, the precip has cleared off.
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The 12Z GFS wind gusts are perfectly inline with the MetO warning.
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Wrap around anyone? That's as far as it goes at the moment.
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Something else has taken my fancy (as someone who likes weather statistics) the windchill on Monday from a strong NE/NNE wind could be very significant during the early hours. Don't take those windchill's at face value, I find nearly all public charts that show them, to be massively overplayed. However, it could be the coldest windchill for quite some time!
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A mild 4.2 °C here, but depressingly cloudy.
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I pointed out in my regional thread yesterday, there's likely to be a significant pressure drop in the 24 hours. For example, I was at 1020mb at 10am this morning. At 10am tomorrow, pressure is projected to be in the high 970's - a good 35mb + drop in 24 hours.
