Suburban Streamer
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based on the ecm 0z here's the snow charts. too early for snow charts but i'm bored! sunday: then monday afternoon/eve: and to demonstrate how much this can change from run to run here's the snow chart from yesterdays 12z, for sunday also shows how much of an upgrade the 0z ecm is for some of our region, compared to yesterdays 12z
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hi nick, the modified is similar to your analysis above. biggest snow threat monday for our region
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cheers mate its... @LondonSnowWatch https://twitter.com/LondonSnowWatch
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since some of us are blowing our own trumpets, thought i'd join in! i predicted on twitter on 3rd january that we will get cold from the 15th- 20th jan - it snowed imby on the 14th, 18th and 20th. no models, just the wonderful strat thread unfortunately, i only have 7 followers hehe but they were 7 extremely well informed followers!! the yellow warnings are in place to demonstrate what could happen if we get the colder air, rather than what will happen. despite the rather gorgeous looking modified frames posted by fergie, this remains a watch and wait situation. personally, i've been impressed this season with the bbc and met office. of course, if the weather is coming in from the west, then the further east u go across the country, the less confidence u can have in predictions/forecasts (kent etc). fingers crossed!
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Get a burst of heaviness and it turns to proper blowing snow then it turns light and goes sleety then another heavy burst comes thru with pure snow. Lovely
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13cm -2.9 -0.2
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Winter Model Output Discussion 01/02/2013 12z onwards
Suburban Streamer replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
hi si did u miss the snow we had or were u expecting something more...um...canadian? we've had a two week cold spell that delivered plenty of snow for much of the uk. a fair number of people got more snow than they did in dec 2010! i've sat through plenty of winters that failed to deliver even a flurry let alone 15cms of lying snow! If you are one of the few unlucky ones who didnt get any lying snow last month then i understand your frustration, but even then, u really cant suggest that it didnt deliver snow, regardless of synoptics -
dunno about iphone but on my android i just hit full version and do like i do on pc
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yeah i use the app on my mobile - it's very good
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i'd say stick to the radar now. but defo ignore the gfs and ignore the Will it snow because its based on each gfs run. NAE is the best model, but all about radar really - gonna be a late one!
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temps: dp's:
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another bbc update http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/21205465
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they've updated the bbc thing again http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/21205465
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i think it was nick f and the chart he posted was a metoffice chart! i think kudos to the nae. tho i'll save that til we see what really happens
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/21205463 updated at 1703
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the bbc snowcast thing has updated http://www.bbc.co.uk...atures/21205463 exactly like the nae, just bit faster to arrive
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the met office website five day does the same. it's automated and i think must be some sort of software bug. and the apps are probably fed info from that five day page. i'm guessing...
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latest nae 12z... midnight 6am
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latest nae 12z much the same, albeit slightly slower bringing it east than earlier runs but not by much midnight 6am
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no, not that i know of. Although, if you go to five day forecast and type your postcode / town, it shows any applicable warning for each time slot. (tho, as we identified earlier, its a bit slow to update, but seems accurate now) like this...
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yup.....got it http://www.bbc.co.uk...atures/21198520
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still says 11.55 for me
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i think i take snow obsession to next levels lol. It might be a shame that its getting milder but a few hours of moderate snow is what i look forward to all year! of course its better when it settles and hangs around but i still get excited about snow falling. perhaps i should get out more hehe. Many previous winters a snow to rain event like this would have been the highlight of my winter! oh how spoilt we are these days!!
