Suburban Streamer
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Same here sun came out and I was waiting for a crack of thunder and then a blizzard (lol) but unfortunately it has remained as moderate-light dandruff -
Some nice flurries this morning. I've got the tiniest dusting woop(!)
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nae for 6pm gives me a bit of hope - if it's right we might see snow showers push a bit further inland, covering most of our region before retreating back se by midnight its modelled the snow currently falling quite well so lets see how it does for later midday today:
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I'll have a jd & coke pls Steve!
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I think it is still rather hit and miss, but that's probably more down to us not understanding all the different variables (as well as the restraints u mention in your own field). We know a lot (I should say they know a lot, because I don't) but there's a lot more variables at play to understand, some of which we don't even know exist yet. But taking the strat for example, I believe the 2009/10 endorsement by the metoffice of strat influences on nh weather patterns is testament to the hard work of many individuals who pioneer this type of research and experimentation.
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Couldn't disagree more about teleconnections. I have an awful lot of respect for people that use those signals and can fully understand them and the various relationships between them. Its the future of forecasting (alongside nwp) and while its still pretty much in its infancy, without people like gp, chiono, brickfielder etc it would never progress.
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Hi john I've been looking at this radar during the Jan snow events. Not that accurate really, the precip always seems somewhat exaggerated and the snow/sleet/rain line seems to change large areas randomly. Still its a nice idea and hopefully will improve with time
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I thought u disliked the nae and find it unreliable? Last snow event u were telling us all how u use the gfs over the nae? Back to tonight, Imby I'm gonna wait to see what that precip around lowestoft does before calling it a night....
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Ah what a match! Unfortunately I'm a Liverpool fan so I really need some snow now to cheer me up!
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i'd love some march snow....tho its quite difficult for us to get snow conducive air at that time of the year. anyone remember the last time our region got march snow? was it 2008? or am i confusing that year with the october early snowfall?
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The graphics Michael fish has for Saturday look tasty
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I'm just looking for my screwdriver so I can remove the hinges
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Remember that streamers aren't always heavy snow. What is forecast overnight is technically a streamer (snow along the line of convergence) but its of the light variety! Imby I've got more hope for 6pm tomorrow onwards into Sat morning, I'm prob too far north for tonight's action but I will keep my fingers crossed and eyes on the radar
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snow accum for 6pm tomorrow from simon cardy on twitter
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i thought a thames streamer was already forecast, albeit mostly light. or as ian f referred to it - a thames convergence. with the usual suspects effected in this type of streamer i.e. south of the thames with hampstead being northern extent intially (around midnight) before it slips further s and west with sw extent around Woking. of course, precise locations and depths wont be known until its falling. typing different locations into the met website/app clearly shows this. a line from Gravesend - Dartford - Croydon - Woking seems the best locations for london - currently, but the reality maybe slightly different
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good luck to all those predicted snow over the next few days. if those in s london overnight and tomorrow wouldnt mind blowing the snow north i would be very grateful imby the 6z nae looks like a very small straw for me to clutch, albeit no forecast is backing it! edit: quite an "upgrade" from 0z nae to 6z nae....fwiw 0z here:
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Winter Model Discussion 18Z 19/2/13 onwards.
Suburban Streamer replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
feb 2nd 2009?
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hi leigh its on meteociel, free
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dp's temps
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hi tom yeah i think its all over for me, but i've done better than barnet fc do in most cups! fingers crossed as always!
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feb 2nd 2009 was a big fat streamer. ideally the rarer ese streamer is best for us north londoners but feb 2009, which was ene, was fat enuff, and winds variable enough to give us a good covering north of the thames. albeit, south of london got more than we did, which is expected in a ene flow
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20-30cms for the se (locally) http://forum.netweat...40#entry2614285 anyway i'll move on now not my intention to put anyone down. just baffles me somewhat, given his obvious knowledge! personally i think if our region was to move to where france/germany is, we could see at least a foot
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he does the same super ramps every year and is always wrong. if the models predict 10cms, he'll go for 30cms! i do respect his lrf efforts as he puts a lot of work into them. i agree that some places could see a few more cms than are currently being predicted (especially the far se) but tbh some of the totals youself and rjs are suggesting are nothing short of insane! if i'm proved to be wrong, i will gladly and humbly apologise
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rjs does himself (or his reputation) no help with his annual super ramps! his research and hard work is obvious to see but he doesnt seem to realise we are an island and totally different to the lake effect snow set ups in america.
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remember gfs has a higher definition precip chart which, in theory, should be more accurate than lower def. (of course any precip chart at this stage cant be trusted with specifics). since we have lots of gfs precip charts posted from the 12z, thought i'd throw these in as well 66hrs (the timescale that steve mentioned for streamer chances) 72hrs and onto sunday at 102hrs ive not put them all in here but here's the link http://www.meteociel...tions-hd/3h.htm
