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Suburban Streamer

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Everything posted by Suburban Streamer

  1. Suburban Streamer
    Good to have your company nick! Since your south of the lp, if you wouldn't mind giving the low a kick up the ass I would be very grateful
  2. Suburban Streamer
    the cloud sheet is breaking up over england - quite a few wholes appearing on sat image. this should help the showers become more widespread - i think?!
  3. Suburban Streamer
    looks like turning ENE roughly between midnight and 3 am http://www.xcweather.co.uk/
  4. Suburban Streamer
    i dont think there is a model (free one i mean) that can predict streamers. the best the nae can do is signal roughly where showers will be but there is no way it can show us intensity of showers nor lying snow depth from convective showers. looking at the 12z nae, i agree with Boar - the signal is there for streamers, the specifics will be undecided until the nowcasting commences good luck everyone
  5. Suburban Streamer
    its based on the gfs and changes after each run, 4 times a day. like you, i dont find it very accurate
  6. Suburban Streamer
    gfs 12z keeps the low pretty much on the same track - just a touch slower than the 6z
  7. Suburban Streamer
    not saying this is gonna be right....but its some sexy precipitation porn
  8. Suburban Streamer
    http://en.vedur.is/weather/forecasts/atlantic/#type=prec
  9. Suburban Streamer
    gfs and ecm now largely agree on snow for late monday we will see further changes of course
  10. Suburban Streamer
    precip further north on the ecm 12z compared to earlier
  11. Suburban Streamer
    just looking at the gefs 12z ensemble panels at t72, and its pretty much an even split in terms of the low pressure. out of 23 runs i make it 12 keeping the lp as per ukmo 12z (or further south) and 11 runs which have it more like the 12z gfs (or further north). looking at the runs which send the lp further south, these ones certainly seem to increase the flow of snow showers over our region on monday/tues (pert 9 for example) http://www.meteociel...0&mode=1&ech=72
  12. Suburban Streamer
    i'll have a bit of this pls! followed by some of this....
  13. Suburban Streamer
    totally agree Tamara - the snow zone is far from set in stone, i'm just praying we see a northward shift and none of that southward nonsense! i find just keeping my family up to date a huge responsibility lol not me! tho i have been gazing at the radar today wishing it was monday right now!
  14. Suburban Streamer
    thats the spirit mate!!
  15. Suburban Streamer
    erm...not really everyone this is a huge regional thread!
  16. Suburban Streamer
    funnily enough i'm hoping for the same! monday looks better for us but maybe we will be pleasantly surprised on sunday eve - fingers crossed!
  17. Suburban Streamer
    i think only larger meteorites (> 1km diameter) can have impacts on the environment like ozone destruction, acid rain, earthquakes, hurricanes etc but something as small as what hit Russia its highly unlikely (about 15m diameter). there must have been some very small scale effects on earth but these appear to be inconsequential
  18. Suburban Streamer
    yup nearly lost my virginia creeper last year and it wasnt even that cold! its the strength of the warm morning sun shining on frozen plants thats the real problem this time of year (rather than depth of frost) gonna spend this weekend protecting all my babies outside!!
  19. Suburban Streamer
    the thing i find even funnier is that u have been on this forum for so many years but u still look out the window expecting bbc graphics to verify!! cant help getting a bit excited about next week and have to echo earlier posts regarding just how unprecedented the agreement on the ensembles are - rarely see that! and we have the met office on board too which is comforting now just have to pray they are all correct and pray that our region hits the jackpot!
  20. Suburban Streamer
    This winter has been great imby. Had a small dusting in December - 1st time I've seen snow falling in December since 2010. Lots of snow on the 18th and again on the 20th jan plus some snow falling on other days around those dates. And the snow was light over several hours which meant roads/transport were unaffected, despite 10cm+ lying snow. The recent very cold but dry easterly was a bit disappointing for lack of snow but the depth of cold was great to see. However, I did get a dusting and therefore I can say I saw snow falling in each of the three winter months - something quite rare imby (apart from 2010). The ability to predict a Jan ssw from the end of November is really quite remarkable - two winters in a row well done to gp and chiono on that front. Another fascinating and very educational winter for me
  21. Suburban Streamer
    quite a spread hey! the control and the op go opposite ways around the 13th. uppers ranging from +10 all the way down to -12! i'll take the control pls while the uncertainty remains, i guess we are in with a fighting chance....
  22. Suburban Streamer
    snow in spain in march is not common, but just like in the uk, it does happen from time to time. i'm glad there does not seem to be much sign of early spring warmth, i enjoyed March 2012 but i've had enough of warm springs giving way to rubbish summers! hopefully, this year, a rubbish spring will give way to a long overdue warm summer fingers crossed
  23. Suburban Streamer
    i dont really have anything to say, but just posted elsewhere on the forum and realised my post count had hit an evil number (!) so i'm posting this to make it 667! phew that was close!!
  24. Suburban Streamer
    a big thanks to all those who have contributed to this thread this season - the usual suspects and the newcomers too, gets better every year
  25. Suburban Streamer
    I think people should stop copying tweets into this thread. It's like Chinese whispers. Either follow people on Twitter and read all the tweets or just give Twitter a skip
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