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Mark Neal.

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Everything posted by Mark Neal.

  1. 132hrs on GFS 18Z has High Pressure over country but now 1020mb, Losing its grip but settled to midweek. Look at Cold air to the NE, Russia looks like it will see first real cold of the season. Iceland seeing a deep low.
  2. GFS 18z shows the settled weather through the weekend and warmer conditions, continuing into start of next week. GFS 18Z at 114hrs, has the high starting to move southwards still settled at this stage ,but the warm uppers move southwards again.
  3. 240hrs low pressure taking charge with a system to the SW sliding along southern districts. Uppers cool in North, 0c line into Northern England.
  4. 216hrs has Cooler conditions with low pressure to the SW ( Still mild in South), looks alot less settled to me. Uppers less mild and colder air filtering to the North of UK. So as people have alluded to looking at all current model output, on where we go after Tuesday, Midweek as pressure tends to fall away and we see cooler temperatures still settled at that time. Interesting to watch next few model runs and see if they continue to show pressure falling away and a return to unsettled by this time next week. Alot of watching for now.. In mean time a lovely couple of days to come. Sunshine at times, warmer and lighter winds
  5. +198hrs ECM shows the following, pressure falling away and lower heights to the North.
  6. 168hrs, the high starts to lose its grip it seems, still pleasant but not as settled as previous model runs..
  7. Lose the really warm uppers by 144hrs aswell. Some chillier air to the North not far away from Scotland, though still benign.
  8. +144hrs ECM. Still settled but low pressure not 100 million miles away to the SW. Still pleasant.
  9. Very brief rain here stopped at 1pm. Patchy mainly and was heavy for a bout 30 seconds. Ground drying up now though 13c, and Murky.
  10. Hear Hear! I agree with that Pete, nothing worse than temperatures being cold and not actually giving us the white stuff, a wasted oppurtunity. That said pathetic easterly earlier this year was also awful, conditions ripe for snow, but the north sea wasn't firing due to SSTS and was't potent enough
  11. Looks like a fine afternoon there on Friday with temperatures upto 15-17c. Saturday dry but cloudy damn north sea coasts, but with 15c-16c. Sunday looks warm with sunshine upto 20-21c! Enjoy your break !
  12. My Ideal Climate would be a chilly start to the year followed by snowy conditions into the February. March to bring some settled and milder conditions but with colder interludes with snow. April and May to be benign with lengthy settled conditions. June & July to see aa big fat high pressure over our shores with temperatures into late 20's and early 30c's. August to start off with warm and dry weather though thundery towards end of the month. September to be mixed, some misty and chilly mornings followed by some settled weather. October to see some Stormy low pressure systems to head our way and lasting into the first part of November. December to be cold and increasingly snowy as we bulit upto Christmas Day!
  13. Just started to pour! If its any consolation, after todays rain that could be it for quite a while, all hail the azores high!
  14. Dont be the scrooge of netweather Gaz Infact i see it as encouraging we see Pressure to the West Of UK, blocked atlantic with Greenland High link up as what the EUROSIP Model is showing.. Much better than a high pressure to the South I.E Bartlett, Euro High. Yuck!
  15. Matthew Hugoâ€@MattHugo81EC seasonal highlighting a possible -ve AO pattern in Jan/Feb in particular, so perhaps any cold weather later on rather than early winter.
  16. Indeed, there seems to be model consistency (yes i did just say that!) upto at least mid next week for the high pressure to be in control of the weather. But after the end of next week some model runs hinting we could see pressure lose its grip, as we get closer to +144hrs we could see the trough drop in in future output, within the 10 day timeframe onwards. But for now it looks like high pressure is certain to return and bringing some very benign warm conditions!
  17. But staying settled well into next week with temperatures above average for late september. Dry conditions, warmer than of late and sunshine on offer. Thats a realistic approach at what looks the outlook for the beginning and mid next week, after that changes could occur with our high losing its grip and trough pushing in from NW. Looks summery weather to me, albeit we are in late September now!
  18. Azores returns for one last blockbuster of summer! Warmer, lighter winds and drier that will do nicely as we head into the last week or so of September!
  19. I cannot wait! Model Output watching ☑ Radar Watching ☑ Lampost Watching ☑
  20. Its a nice afternoon and early evening. Skies have cleared and we have. 14.5c. NW -12mph. Rainfall today- 0MM
  21. I can remember a few flakes of snow here in oxford that xmas day around midday, only a few but the only snow falling on christmas day i can remember
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