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Everything posted by Mark Neal.
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Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
132hrs on GFS 18Z has High Pressure over country but now 1020mb, Losing its grip but settled to midweek. Look at Cold air to the NE, Russia looks like it will see first real cold of the season. Iceland seeing a deep low. -
Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 18z shows the settled weather through the weekend and warmer conditions, continuing into start of next week. GFS 18Z at 114hrs, has the high starting to move southwards still settled at this stage ,but the warm uppers move southwards again. -
Thursday 19th September 2013 General Weather Chat
Mark Neal. replied to SteveB's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Clear Skies. 12.4c. 7mph NW rainfall today :- 1.2mm -
Autumn 2013: thoughts, prospects and forecasts.
Mark Neal. replied to Weather-history's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
240hrs low pressure taking charge with a system to the SW sliding along southern districts. Uppers cool in North, 0c line into Northern England. -
Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
216hrs has Cooler conditions with low pressure to the SW ( Still mild in South), looks alot less settled to me. Uppers less mild and colder air filtering to the North of UK. So as people have alluded to looking at all current model output, on where we go after Tuesday, Midweek as pressure tends to fall away and we see cooler temperatures still settled at that time. Interesting to watch next few model runs and see if they continue to show pressure falling away and a return to unsettled by this time next week. Alot of watching for now.. In mean time a lovely couple of days to come. Sunshine at times, warmer and lighter winds -
Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
168hrs, the high starts to lose its grip it seems, still pleasant but not as settled as previous model runs.. -
Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lose the really warm uppers by 144hrs aswell. Some chillier air to the North not far away from Scotland, though still benign. -
Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Who's looking forward to winter ?
Mark Neal. replied to itsnowjoke's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hear Hear! I agree with that Pete, nothing worse than temperatures being cold and not actually giving us the white stuff, a wasted oppurtunity. That said pathetic easterly earlier this year was also awful, conditions ripe for snow, but the north sea wasn't firing due to SSTS and was't potent enough -
My Ideal Climate would be a chilly start to the year followed by snowy conditions into the February. March to bring some settled and milder conditions but with colder interludes with snow. April and May to be benign with lengthy settled conditions. June & July to see aa big fat high pressure over our shores with temperatures into late 20's and early 30c's. August to start off with warm and dry weather though thundery towards end of the month. September to be mixed, some misty and chilly mornings followed by some settled weather. October to see some Stormy low pressure systems to head our way and lasting into the first part of November. December to be cold and increasingly snowy as we bulit upto Christmas Day!
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Winter 2013/2014 Forecasts/Hopes/Discussion Thread
Mark Neal. replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Dont be the scrooge of netweather Gaz Infact i see it as encouraging we see Pressure to the West Of UK, blocked atlantic with Greenland High link up as what the EUROSIP Model is showing.. Much better than a high pressure to the South I.E Bartlett, Euro High. Yuck! -
Winter 2013/2014 Forecasts/Hopes/Discussion Thread
Mark Neal. replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Matthew Hugoâ€@MattHugo81EC seasonal highlighting a possible -ve AO pattern in Jan/Feb in particular, so perhaps any cold weather later on rather than early winter. -
Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed, there seems to be model consistency (yes i did just say that!) upto at least mid next week for the high pressure to be in control of the weather. But after the end of next week some model runs hinting we could see pressure lose its grip, as we get closer to +144hrs we could see the trough drop in in future output, within the 10 day timeframe onwards. But for now it looks like high pressure is certain to return and bringing some very benign warm conditions! -
Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
Mark Neal. replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But staying settled well into next week with temperatures above average for late september. Dry conditions, warmer than of late and sunshine on offer. Thats a realistic approach at what looks the outlook for the beginning and mid next week, after that changes could occur with our high losing its grip and trough pushing in from NW. Looks summery weather to me, albeit we are in late September now! -
Who's looking forward to winter ?
Mark Neal. replied to itsnowjoke's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I cannot wait! Model Output watching ☑ Radar Watching ☑ Lampost Watching ☑ -
YOUR FAVOURITE ARCHIVED SYNOPTIC CHART
Mark Neal. replied to Tom Montalbano's topic in Historic Weather
I can remember a few flakes of snow here in oxford that xmas day around midday, only a few but the only snow falling on christmas day i can remember -
YOUR FAVOURITE ARCHIVED SYNOPTIC CHART
Mark Neal. replied to Tom Montalbano's topic in Historic Weather