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North East Blizzard

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Everything posted by North East Blizzard

  1. North East Blizzard
    I think you'll be just fine
  2. North East Blizzard
    Ladies and Gentlemen i give you the UKMO ?️?️?️?️?️
  3. North East Blizzard
    I wouldn't worry about the 850's, I'd bet my house they are cold
  4. North East Blizzard
    Yeah that's absolutely terrible for them, seen some pictures fron the Highlands, looks amazing up there.
  5. North East Blizzard
    You will have to get some photos up, think you'll be buried up there
  6. North East Blizzard
    Here is what Fairweather is referring to, these are pretty extreme to say the least
  7. North East Blizzard
    It certainly looks like by the middle of Saturday conditions turn a lot more favourable
  8. North East Blizzard
    I think someone said that they wanted the para running for 30 full days and something went wrong half way through, so its had to be started again for the full 30 days. May of dreamt that though There's really nothing in it between the two tbh
  9. North East Blizzard
    Just going off the facts. I'd still bet on the ECM over the GFS, but its such a tricky situation, who knows.
  10. North East Blizzard
    Verification stats would say otherwise, as has been posted numerous times. ECM is still the king.
  11. North East Blizzard
    Good test for it here then, its a belter of a run.
  12. North East Blizzard
    Tbh I'm not sure, i Don't have a link to the verification stats. You would like to think its better than the Gfs, seeing as it's meant to be replacing it, i believe. At 186hrs, the whole country is still bitter
  13. North East Blizzard
    GFSP is great for all, chalk and cheese to the original GFS
  14. North East Blizzard
    Gfs is going to be slower in clearing that low here than the 0z
  15. North East Blizzard
    I'd be more worried if we didn't have Mogreps (you'd imagine) GFS, GEFS (mostly), GEM, and it looks like the UKMO onboard. Of course the ECM could be right, but I'm betting against it currently.
  16. North East Blizzard
    This is so true. I've stopped looking at every run (granted, home schooling plays a part) but it is only worth comparing 12z to12z or 18z to 18z, gives a much better analysis of what's going on. Anyway its bleaching it down here, has been a few times recently I'm off to enjoy that.
  17. North East Blizzard
    Snow here now, lying without any problems
  18. North East Blizzard
    Dew points and temperature in Livingston are higher than here though, wouldn't worry too much about that.
  19. North East Blizzard
    Definitely turning sleety here now, noticeable change in the last few minutes
  20. North East Blizzard
    Was always meant to start off sleety, even up here, can't see any issues as the night progresses though
  21. North East Blizzard
    Living in the North East, I've very rarely, if ever seen a model get convective snowfall off the North sea right. Always underplayed.
  22. North East Blizzard
    Mean looks decent for early next week to me, an improvement for sure
  23. North East Blizzard
    100%. I live at 270 metres above sea level in the North East and i can guarantee we do not need - 10 850's here for snow. Many places further inland with limited altitude don't either. On the coast i agree it may be that lower 850's are needed, especially when the winds are blowing in off a relatively warm sea.
  24. North East Blizzard
    Could end up somewhere in between, which wouldn't be all bad. Guess we'll find out with a bit more certainty in the next few days
  25. North East Blizzard
    Gfs has plenty of snow showers piling in?
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